HYDROLOGIC OUTLOOK
Issue Date: 835 AM CST THU DEC 24 2009
Expiration: 835 AM CST FRI DEC 25 2009

HYDROLOGIC OUTLOOK
ILC033-079-101-251435-
HYDROLOGIC OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL
835 AM CST THU DEC 24 2009
THIS PRODUCT INCLUDES THE FOLLOWING RIVER...THE EMBARRAS RIVER.
THE FOLLOWING FLOOD FORECASTS ARE BASED PRIMARILY ON EXPECTED
RAINFALL OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. THERE IS SOME UNCERTAINTY IN THE
CREST FORECASTS AT THIS TIME AND SO THEY WILL LIKELY BE ADJUSTED ONCE
THE RAINFALL IS OBSERVED.
FOR THE EMBARRAS RIVER AT STE MARIE...THE LATEST STAGE IS 8.1 FEET AT
5 AM THURSDAY. FLOOD STAGE IS 19 FEET. MODERATE FLOODING IS
FORECAST...WITH A CREST OF 20.3 FEET SATURDAY EVENING...WHICH IS 1.3
FEET ABOVE FLOOD STAGE. THE RIVER SHOULD RISE ABOVE THE FLOOD STAGE
OF 19 FEET FRIDAY AFTERNOON.  THE RIVER SHOULD FALL BELOW FLOOD
STAGE MONDAY MORNING. AT 21 FEET...WATER OVERTOPS A FEW PRIVATE
LEVEES IN THE STE MARIE AREA.
FOR THE EMBARRAS RIVER AT LAWRENCEVILLE...THE LATEST STAGE IS 23
FEET AT 8 AM THURSDAY. FLOOD STAGE IS 30 FEET. MINOR FLOODING IS
FORECAST...WITH A CREST OF 34.8 FEET EARLY MONDAY MORNING...WHICH IS
4.8 FEET ABOVE FLOOD STAGE. THE RIVER SHOULD RISE ABOVE THE FLOOD
STAGE OF 30 FEET FRIDAY MORNING.  AT 36 FEET...BILLET-VINCENNES RIVER
ROAD IS INUNDATED.
FLD  OBSERVED         FORECAST 6 AM
LOCATION          STG  STG  DAY TIME    FRI    SAT    SUN
EMBARRAS RIVER
STE MARIE         19   8.1 THU 5 AM    17.0   20.1   20.0
LAWRENCEVILLE     30  23.0 THU 8 AM    29.0   33.5   34.6
$$
07

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
Issue Date: 601 AM CST FRI DEC 25 2009
Expiration: 600 AM CST SAT DEC 26 2009

...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON CST TODAY...
THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL
ILLINOIS...EAST CENTRAL ILLINOIS AND SOUTHEAST ILLINOIS.
.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT
DUE TO THE HEAVY RAINFALL WHICH OCCURRED OVER THE AREA DURING
THE PAST 24 TO 36 HOURS...MANY RIVERS...CREEKS AND STREAMS WERE
IN FLOOD. INTERESTS ALONG THE LITTLE WABASH AND EMBARRAS RIVERS
NEED TO MONITOR LATER FORECASTS WITH CLAY CITY AND LAWRENCEVILLE
ALREADY IN FLOOD.
AS THE INTENSE STORM SYSTEM PUSHES FURTHER NORTH OF OUR AREA
TODAY...COLDER AIR WILL BE DRAWN INTO THE REGION...CAUSING
LINGERING RAIN OR DRIZZLE TO CHANGE TO LIGHT SNOW OR FLURRIES.
TEMPERATURES DROPPING BELOW FREEZING BY AFTERNOON CHRISTMAS
DAY...COUPLED WITH THE FALLING SNOW...COULD PRODUCE HAZARDOUS
DRIVING CONDITIONS ACROSS THE AREA. ACCUMULATIONS OF LESS THAN
AN INCH ARE POSSIBLE LATER TODAY INTO THIS EVENING. STRONG AND
GUSTY SOUTH WINDS OF 20 TO 30 MPH...WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS AROUND
40 MPH WILL DRIVE WIND CHILLS DOWN AS WELL...ESPECIALLY THIS
AFTERNOON.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY
SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS ARE EXPECTED INTO THE WEEKEND AS THE STORM
WILL BE SLOW TO PULL OUT OF OUR AREA. ACCUMULATIONS OF AN INCH
OR LESS ARE EXPECTED ON FRIDAY INTO EARLY SATURDAY.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED THROUGH TONIGHT.
$$

FLOOD WATCH
Issue Date: 413 AM CST FRI DEC 25 2009
Expiration: 1200 PM CST FRI DEC 25 2009

...AN INTENSE WINTER STORM WILL CONTINUE THE THREAT FOR HEAVY
RAINFALL OVER CENTRAL ILLINOIS THROUGH THIS MORNING...
.A LOW PRESSURE CENTER WILL MOVE TRACK JUST TO OUR WEST TODAY.
AHEAD OF THE SYSTEM... ABUNDANT GULF MOISTURE WILL CONTINUE
MOVING INTO THE NORTHERN MISSISSIPPI RIVER VALLEY. TOTAL RAINFALL
AMOUNTS WILL RANGE FROM 2 TO 3 INCHES. SOME LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS
MAY BE POSSIBLE. THE RAIN SHOULD DIMINISH LATER THIS MORNING.
ILZ027>031-036>038-040>050-052>057-061>063-066>068-071>073-251800-
/O.EXT.KILX.FA.A.0004.000000T0000Z-091225T1800Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
KNOX-STARK-PEORIA-MARSHALL-WOODFORD-FULTON-TAZEWELL-MCLEAN-
SCHUYLER-MASON-LOGAN-DE WITT-PIATT-CHAMPAIGN-VERMILION-CASS-
MENARD-SCOTT-MORGAN-CHRISTIAN-MACON-MOULTRIE-DOUGLAS-COLES-EDGAR-
SHELBY-CUMBERLAND-CLARK-EFFINGHAM-JASPER-CRAWFORD-CLAY-RICHLAND-
LAWRENCE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...GALESBURG...PEORIA...BLOOMINGTON...
NORMAL...HAVANA...LINCOLN...CHAMPAIGN...URBANA...DANVILLE...
JACKSONVILLE...TAYLORVILLE...DECATUR...CHARLESTON...MATTOON...
SHELBYVILLE...EFFINGHAM...FLORA...LAWRENCEVILLE
413 AM CST FRI DEC 25 2009
...FLOOD WATCH NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON CST TODAY...
THE FLOOD WATCH IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR
* PORTIONS OF CENTRAL ILLINOIS...EAST CENTRAL ILLINOIS AND
SOUTHEAST ILLINOIS...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS...IN
CENTRAL ILLINOIS...CASS...CHRISTIAN...DE WITT...FULTON...
KNOX...LOGAN...MACON...MARSHALL...MASON...MCLEAN...MENARD...
MORGAN...MOULTRIE...PEORIA...PIATT...SCHUYLER...SCOTT...
SHELBY...STARK...TAZEWELL AND WOODFORD. IN EAST CENTRAL
ILLINOIS...CHAMPAIGN...CLARK...COLES...CUMBERLAND...DOUGLAS...
EDGAR AND VERMILION. IN SOUTHEAST ILLINOIS...CLAY...CRAWFORD...
EFFINGHAM...JASPER...LAWRENCE AND RICHLAND.
* UNTIL NOON CST TODAY
* EXPECT PERIODS OF MODERATE TO LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL. TOTAL
RAINFALL WILL RANGE FROM 2 TO 3 INCHES...WITH SOME LOCALLY
HIGHER AMOUNTS.
*  THE COMBINATION OF THE EXPECTED RAINFALL COUPLED WITH THE
FROZEN TOPSOIL WILL HELP TO PRODUCE SIGNIFICANT RUNOFF INTO AREA
RIVERS...CREEKS AND STREAMS.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
A FLOOD WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING BASED ON
CURRENT FORECASTS.
YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE ALERT FOR POSSIBLE
FLOOD WARNINGS. THOSE LIVING IN AREAS PRONE TO FLOODING SHOULD BE
PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLOODING DEVELOP.
$$
SMITH