HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
Issue Date: 1257 PM CST TUE DEC 15 2009
Expiration: 500 AM CST WED DEC 16 2009

Expires:200912161100;;
FLUS44 KTSA 151856
HWOTSA
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
1256 PM CST TUE DEC 15 2009
ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-161100-
ADAIR OK-BENTON AR-CARROLL AR-CHEROKEE OK-CHOCTAW OK-CRAIG OK-
CRAWFORD AR-CREEK OK-DELAWARE OK-FRANKLIN AR-HASKELL OK-LATIMER OK-
LE FLORE OK-MADISON AR-MAYES OK-MCINTOSH OK-MUSKOGEE OK-NOWATA OK-
OKFUSKEE OK-OKMULGEE OK-OSAGE OK-OTTAWA OK-PAWNEE OK-PITTSBURG OK-
PUSHMATAHA OK-ROGERS OK-SEBASTIAN AR-SEQUOYAH OK-TULSA OK-WAGONER OK-
WASHINGTON OK-WASHINGTON AR-
1230 PM CST TUE DEC 15 2009
THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS AS WELL AS
MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA.
.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.
FIRE WEATHER DANGER.
	RISK...LIMITED...SPREADINDEX=35.
	AREA...SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA.
	ONSET...MID AFTERNOON.
DISCUSSION...
DRY AIR AND NORTH WINDS OF 10 TO 15 MILES AN HOUR WILL
BRING THE SPREAD INDEX CLOSE TO 35 FOR A FEW HOURS THIS
AFTERNOON IN SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA. WINDS WILL DIMINISH
BY SUNSET.
SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION NOT EXPECTED.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.
WEDNESDAY...NO HAZARDS.
THURSDAY...NO HAZARDS.
FRIDAY...WINTER WEATHER POTENTIAL.
SATURDAY...WINTER WEATHER POTENTIAL.
SUNDAY...NO HAZARDS.
MONDAY...NO HAZARDS.
EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
ALL NUMERICAL MODELS AGREE THAT AN UPPER TROUGH WILL PASS OVER
OUR REGION FRIDAY AND FRIDAY NIGHT. MODELS DIFFER ON THE AMOUNT
OF MOISTURE THAT WILL BE AVAILABLE...AND THUS IF PRECIPITATION
WILL OR WILL NOT OCCUR. COMPOUNDING THE SITUATION IS THAT
TEMPERATURES WILL BE COLD ENOUGH...ESPECIALLY NORTH...FRIDAY NIGHT
FOR SNOW OR A RAIN SNOW MIX.
THE ONE CERTAINTY IS THAT THIS SITUATION IS UNLIKELY TO RESULT
IN A SIGNIFICANT WEATHER EVENT. THE WORST OUTCOME IS MORE LIKELY
TO BE A NUISANCE WINTER WEATHER EVENT.
WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/TULSA CONTAINS ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.
$$