HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
Issue Date: 617 AM CST FRI NOV 27 2009
Expiration: 600 AM CST SAT NOV 28 2009

Expires:200911281200;;
FLUS44 KMOB 271213
HWOMOB
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
612 AM CST FRI NOV 27 2009
ALZ051>064-FLZ001>006-GMZ630-650-655-670-675-MSZ067-075-076-078-
079-281200-
CHOCTAW-WASHINGTON-CLARKE-WILCOX-MONROE-CONECUH-BUTLER-CRENSHAW-
ESCAMBIA-COVINGTON-UPPER MOBILE-UPPER BALDWIN-LOWER MOBILE-
LOWER BALDWIN-INLAND ESCAMBIA-COASTAL ESCAMBIA-INLAND SANTA ROSA-
COASTAL SANTA ROSA-INLAND OKALOOSA-COASTAL OKALOOSA-MOBILE BAY-
COASTAL WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM-WAYNE-PERRY-
GREENE-STONE-GEORGE-
612 AM CST FRI NOV 27 2009
THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTH CENTRAL
ALABAMA...SOUTHWEST ALABAMA...THE COASTAL WATERS OF ALABAMA AND
NORTHWEST FLORIDA...NORTHWEST FLORIDA AND SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI.
.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT
MODERATE OFFSHORE FLOW THIS MORNING WILL CREATE POTENTIAL PROBLEMS
FOR THE NAVIGATION OF SMALLER MARINE CRAFT. CONDITIONS OVER THE
COASTAL WATERS ARE FORECAST TO IMPROVE THROUGH THE DAY AS HIGH
PRESSURE MOVES EAST ACROSS THE GULF COAST.
DUE TO DRY CONDITIONS THIS AFTERNOON...THERE IS AN INCREASED RISK OF
WILDFIRE.
LOW TEMPERATURES TONIGHT OVER THE INTERIOR ARE FORECAST TO BE NEAR
FREEZING.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY
NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS ANTICIPATED OVER THE WEEKEND.
A COLD FRONTAL PASSAGE IS FORECAST LATER IN THE DAY MONDAY AND WILL
BE THE SOURCE REGION FOR THE NEXT WEATHER SYSTEM TO IMPACT THE AREA.
ON THE FRONT...A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO FORM OVER THE
WESTERN GULF LATE MONDAY INTO TUESDAY.
THERE ARE A VARIETY OF SOLUTIONS AMONGST THE WEATHER MODELS...ON
PLACEMENT...STRENGTH AND TRACK OF THE FRONTAL LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM.
THE LATEST OFFICIAL FORECAST CALLS FOR THE LOW TO LIFT NORTHEAST
ACROSS THE MISSISSIPPI SOUND TUESDAY NIGHT AND OUT OF THE AREA
THROUGH THE COURSE OF THE DAY WEDNESDAY. GIVEN THIS TRACK...THE
PREDOMINANT WEATHER CHARACTER LOOKS TO BE RAIN WITH ONLY A SLIGHT
CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. SOME OF THE RAINS COULD BE LOCALLY
HEAVY.
IF THE LOW COMES IN MORE TO THE WEST...THEN ATMOSPHERIC INSTABILITY
COULD RECOVER ENOUGH ALONG WITH BETTER MOISTURE TO SUPPORT A HIGHER
COVERAGE OF THUNDERSTORMS.
DUE TO THE UNCERTAINTIES IN THE TRACK OF THE LOW BY THE MIDDLE OF
NEXT WEEK AND GIVEN THIS TO OCCUR SEVERAL DAYS OUT...THERE IS LOW
CONFIDENCE PREDICTABILITY OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS. AS THE EVENT
DRAWS CLOSER IN TIME...MORE SPECIFIC DETAILS WILL BECOME AVAILABLE.
STAY TUNED.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT AGENCIES FOR
SEVERE WEATHER WILL NOT BE NEEDED OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS.
$$

RED FLAG WARNING
Issue Date: 552 AM CST FRI NOV 27 2009
Expiration: 500 PM CST FRI NOV 27 2009

...A RED FLAG WARNING IS IN EFFECT FROM NOON UNTIL 5 PM CST TODAY
FOR A SUSTAINED PERIOD OF LOW SURFACE HUMIDITY OVER THE WEST FLORIDA
PANHANDLE...
.HIGH PRESSURE MOVING EAST ACROSS THE AREA WAS BRINGING DRIER AIR TO
THE REGION. SURFACE HUMIDITY IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN LESS THAN 35
PERCENT FROM NOON UNTIL 5 PM TODAY.
FLZ001>006-272000-
/O.UPG.KMOB.FW.A.0043.091127T1700Z-091127T2200Z/
/O.NEW.KMOB.FW.W.0055.091127T1800Z-091127T2300Z/
INLAND ESCAMBIA-COASTAL ESCAMBIA-INLAND SANTA ROSA-
COASTAL SANTA ROSA-INLAND OKALOOSA-COASTAL OKALOOSA-
552 AM CST FRI NOV 27 2009
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 5 PM CST THIS
AFTERNOON...
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOBILE HAS ISSUED A RED FLAG
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 5 PM CST THIS
AFTERNOON.
A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CST THIS EVENING.
SURFACE HUMIDITY IS EXPECTED TO BE LESS THAN 35 PERCENT FOR A
SUSTAINED PERIOD THIS AFTERNOON OVER THE WEST FLORIDA PANHANDLE.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS
ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. LOW RELATIVE
HUMIDITY WILL CREATE RAPID FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL.
$$

FIRE WEATHER WATCH
Issue Date: 157 PM CST THU NOV 26 2009
Expiration: 400 PM CST FRI NOV 27 2009

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CST THIS AFTERNOON FOR A
SUSTAINED PERIOD OF LOW SURFACE HUMIDITY OVER THE WEST FLORIDA
PANHANDLE...
.A LARGE HIGH IS POSITIONED ACROSS THE SOUTHERN STATES BRINGING
DRY AIR TO THE REGION THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THIS AFTERNOON.
HUMIDITY HAS BEEN DROPPING BELOW CRITERIA AND WILL CONTINUE TO
DECREASE THIS AFTERNOON.
FLZ001>006-271200-
/O.NEW.KMOB.FW.A.0043.091127T1700Z-091127T2200Z/
/O.CON.KMOB.FW.W.0054.000000T0000Z-091127T0000Z/
INLAND ESCAMBIA-COASTAL ESCAMBIA-INLAND SANTA ROSA-
COASTAL SANTA ROSA-INLAND OKALOOSA-COASTAL OKALOOSA-
157 PM CST THU NOV 26 2009
...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CST THIS
EVENING FOR A LONG PERIOD OF SUSTAINED LOW SURFACE HUMIDITY
OVER THE WEST FLORIDA PANHANDLE...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY MORNING THROUGH
FRIDAY AFTERNOON FOR A LONG PERIOD OF SUSTAINED LOW SURFACE
HUMIDITY OVER THE WEST FLORIDA PANHANDLE...
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOBILE HAS ISSUED A FIRE WEATHER
WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY MORNING THROUGH FRIDAY
AFTERNOON. A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CST
THIS EVENING.
A LARGE HIGH IS POSITIONED ACROSS THE SOUTHERN STATES BRINGING
DRY AIR TO THE REGION THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THIS AFTERNOON.
HUMIDITY HAS BEEN DROPPING BELOW CRITERIA AND WILL CONTINUE TO
DECREASE THIS AFTERNOON..
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF
STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES WILL
CREATE EXPLOSIVE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL.
A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE FORECAST TO OCCUR. LISTEN FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE
RED FLAG WARNINGS.
$$