SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
Issue Date: 138 PM EST SUN NOV 29 2009
Expiration: 500 AM EST MON NOV 30 2009

...POTENTIAL FOR SEVERE STORMS AND COASTAL HAZARDS WEDNESDAY THROUGH
THURSDAY...
AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP OVER THE WESTERN
GULF OF MEXICO ON TUESDAY. THIS LOW IS THEN EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY
AS IT MOVES NORTHEAST TOWARD THE NORTHERN GULF COAST TUESDAY NIGHT
AND INTO THE SOUTHEASTERN STATES ON WEDNESDAY...THEN UP ALONG THE
MID ATLANTIC COAST WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY. AHEAD OF THE LOW
AN INCREASING MOIST SOUTHERLY WIND FLOW WILL DEVELOP OVER WEST
CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST FLORIDA DURING TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY.
THIS INCREASING SOUTHERLY FLOW WILL HELP TO BUILD SEAS OVER THE
ADJACENT GULF WATERS. THESE BUILDING SEAS WILL GENERATE LARGE
BREAKING WAVES...DANGEROUS RIP CURRENTS AND HIGH SURF ALONG AREA
BEACHES WEDNESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY WITH ABOVE NORMAL TIDES CAUSING
SOME COASTAL FLOODING AT TIMES OF HIGH TIDE.
THE STRONG SOUTHERLY WIND FLOW AND INCREASING SEAS WILL MAKE FOR
HAZARDOUS BOATING CONDITIONS OVER THE ADJACENT GULF WATERS...AND
MARINERS...FISHERMEN...AND BOATING ENTHUSIASTS MAY WANT TO POSTPONE
TRIPS INTO THE GULF UNTIL CONDITIONS IMPROVE LATE IN THE WEEK.
AS THE LOW PRESSURE AREA LIFTS NORTHEAST INTO THE SOUTHEASTERN STATES
ON WEDNESDAY A TRAILING COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH FROM THE WEST DURING
THE DAY. AN INCREASINGLY MOIST AND UNSTABLE AIR MASS AHEAD OF THIS
FRONT WILL SET THE STAGE FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TO DEVELOP
ALONG AND AHEAD OF THE FRONT AS IT MOVES TOWARD WEST CENTRAL AND
SOUTHWEST FLORIDA. CURRENT TIMING OF THIS FRONT WOULD BRING SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS INTO THE NATURE COAST BY EARLY AFTERNOON ON
WEDNESDAY...WITH THIS ACTIVITY SPREADING SOUTH TOWARD THE TAMPA
BAY AREA BY MID TO LATE AFTERNOON...AND THEN ACROSS SOUTHWEST FLORIDA
WEDNESDAY NIGHT.
AT THE CURRENT TIME SUFFICIENT LOW LEVEL MOISTURE COMBINED WITH
STRONG PREFRONTAL CONVERGENCE AND INCREASING WIND SHEAR WITHIN THE
ATMOSPHERE MAY SUPPORT SOME STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS AS THE FRONT
MOVES SOUTH THROUGH THE REGION...ESPECIALLY FROM THE BAY AREA NORTH
THROUGH THE NATURE COAST...WITH THE MAIN HAZARDS BEING DAMAGING
WINDS AND POSSIBLE TORNADOES AND MARINE WATERSPOUTS. IN ADDITION
LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL AND DEADLY LIGHTNING STRIKES WILL ACCOMPANY
THE STORMS.
ALL RESIDENTS AND VISITORS OF WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST FLORIDA
SHOULD REMAIN ALERT TO RAPIDLY CHANGING WEATHER CONDITIONS DURING
WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT.
STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR LOCAL MEDIA FOR FURTHER
UPDATES ON THIS DEVELOPING WEATHER SITUATION.
$$
MCMICHAEL/JILLSON

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
Issue Date: 524 AM EST SUN NOV 29 2009
Expiration: 530 PM EST SUN NOV 29 2009

Expires:200911292230;;
FLUS42 KTBW 291021
HWOTBW
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY RUSKIN FL
521 AM EST SUN NOV 29 2009
FLZ039-042-043-048>052-055>057-060>062-065-292230-
LEVY-CITRUS-SUMTER-HERNANDO-PASCO-PINELLAS-HILLSBOROUGH-POLK-
MANATEE-HARDEE-HIGHLANDS-SARASOTA-DE SOTO-CHARLOTTE-LEE-
521 AM EST SUN NOV 29 2009
THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST
FLORIDA.
.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.
...FIRE WEATHER IMPACT...
CONDITIONS THIS AFTERNOON ACROSS INTERIOR PORTIONS OF WEST CENTRAL
AND SOUTHWEST FLORIDA WILL BE MARGINALLY CRITICAL FOR WILDFIRES.
RELATIVE HUMIDITY COULD FALL BELOW 35 PERCENT FOR ONE TO THREE
HOURS THIS AFTERNOON.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.
...THUNDERSTORM IMPACT...
A STORM SYSTEM DEVELOPING ACROSS THE NORTHWESTERN GULF BY TUESDAY
WILL MOVE EAST AND ACROSS THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE BY LATE WEDNESDAY
AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT. IT IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE THUNDERSTORMS
ACROSS THE AREA AT THIS TIME. WHILE IT REMAINS TOO EARLY FOR
SPECIFIC DETAILS...CONDITIONS APPEAR FAVORABLE FOR THE POSSIBLE
DEVELOPMENT OF STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN THE REGION
WEDNESDAY NIGHT. RESIDENTS SHOULD CONTINUE TO MONITOR UPCOMING
FORECASTS AND STATEMENTS REGARDING THIS POTENTIALLY HAZARDOUS
WEATHER SITUATION.
...COASTAL FLOOD IMPACT...
THE DEVELOPING LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM IN THE NORTHWESTERN GULF WILL
PRODUCE SEVERAL DAYS OF SOUTHERLY WINDS. THIS WILL HAVE THE
POTENTIAL TO CREATE MINOR COASTAL FLOOD IMPACTS ALONG SOUTH
FACING SHORELINES...PARTICULARLY IN LEVY COUNTY BY WEDNESDAY
AFTERNOON.
...WIND AND SEA IMPACT...
WINDS AND SEAS ACROSS THE GULF OF MEXICO WILL INCREASE IN RESPONSE
TO THE DEVELOPING STORM SYSTEM. HAZARDOUS BOATING CONDITIONS WILL
BE LIKELY ACROSS THE GULF WATERS BY TUESDAY NIGHT AND LASTING
THROUGH FRIDAY.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED TODAY.
$$