HYDROLOGIC OUTLOOK
Issue Date: 1113 AM EST THU DEC 03 2009
Expiration: 900 AM EST SUN DEC 06 2009

...RIVER FLOOD OUTLOOK FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL FLORIDA...
HEAVY RAINFALL THAT IS FORECAST OVER CENTRAL FLORIDA DURING THE NEXT
48 HOURS WILL QUICKLY RUN OFF ALREADY SATURATED SOILS. WIDESPREAD
BASIN-AVERAGED RAINFALL AMOUNTS IN EXCESS OF 3 INCHES WITH LOCALIZED
AMOUNTS OF 4 TO 5 INCHES MAY CAUSE RIVERS AND STREAMS TO RISE TO
LEVELS THAT RESULT IN FLOODING.
THIS RIVER FLOOD OUTLOOK IS IN EFFECT DUE TO THE POTENTIAL FOR...
- MINOR FLOODING ON THE MANATEE RIVER NEAR MYAKKA HEAD
- MINOR FLOODING ON THE LITTLE MANATEE RIVER NEAR WIMAUMA
- MINOR FLOODING ON THE ANCLOTE RIVER NEAR ELFERS
A RIVER FLOOD OUTLOOK MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR RIVER
FLOODING...BUT IT IS NOT IMMINENT.  FORECAST RAINFALL MAY CAUSE
RIVERS AND STREAMS TO RISE TO CRITICAL STAGES.  PERSONS WITH
INTERESTS ALONG THE AREAS MENTIONED ABOVE SHOULD REMAIN INFORMED
OF THE LATEST WEATHER AND RIVER INFORMATION AND BE PREPARED TO
TAKE ACTION AS NECESSARY.  PLEASE REFER TO NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE RIVER FLOOD WARNINGS AND STATEMENTS FOR THE LATEST
INFORMATION IN YOUR AREA.
$$

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
Issue Date: 730 AM EST FRI DEC 04 2009
Expiration: 500 AM EST SAT DEC 05 2009

Expires:200912051000;;
FLUS42 KTBW 041012
HWOTBW
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY RUSKIN FL
512 AM EST FRI DEC 4 2009
FLZ039-042-043-048>052-055>057-060>062-065-GMZ830-850-853-856-870-
873-876-051000-
LEVY-CITRUS-SUMTER-HERNANDO-PASCO-PINELLAS-HILLSBOROUGH-POLK-
MANATEE-HARDEE-HIGHLANDS-SARASOTA-DE SOTO-CHARLOTTE-LEE-
TAMPA BAY WATERS-TARPON SPRINGS TO SUWANNEE RIVER OUT 20 NM-
ENGLEWOOD TO TARPON SPRINGS OUT 20 NM-
BONITA BEACH TO ENGLEWOOD OUT 20 NM-
TARPON SPRINGS TO SUWANNEE RIVER OUT 20 TO 60 NM-
ENGLEWOOD TO TARPON SPRINGS OUT 20 TO 60 NM-
BONITA BEACH TO ENGLEWOOD OUT 20 TO 60 NM-
512 AM EST FRI DEC 4 2009
THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST
FLORIDA.
.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.
...THUNDERSTORM IMPACT...
A LARGE AREA OF RAIN WITH EMBEDDED THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT THE
REGION TODAY AND TONIGHT. A COOL AND STABLE AIRMASS IN THE LOWER
LEVELS OF THE ATMOSPHERE WILL INHIBIT THE DEVELOPMENT OF STRONG
STORMS TODAY...THEN A WARM FRONT WILL LIFT NORTHWARD OVERNIGHT AND
COULD INCREASE THE RISK OF STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS LATER THIS
EVENING.
...FLOOD IMPACT...
HEAVY RAINS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP TODAY AND CONTINUE THROUGH
TONIGHT. FLOODING IS POSSIBLE ALONG RIVERS...STREAMS...AND IN POOR
DRAINAGE AREAS.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.
...THUNDERSTORM IMPACT...
A COLD FRONT WILL BE NEAR THE TAMPA BAY AREA SATURDAY MORNING AND
THEN RACE SOUTHEASTWARD TO THE FORT MYERS AREA BY EARLY
AFTERNOON. SOME STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE AHEAD OF THE
BOUNDARY DURING THE MORNING HOURS.
...FLOOD IMPACT...
LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS WILL CONTINUE UNTIL DRIER AIR MOVES IN BEHIND
THE COLD FRONT DURING THE FIRST HALF OF SATURDAY.
...WIND AND SEA IMPACT...
GUSTY NORTHERLY WINDS WILL FOLLOW IN THE WAKE OF THE COLD FRONT
SATURDAY AND SATURDAY NIGHT. WINDS OF 15 TO 20 KNOTS AND SEAS UP
TO 6 OR 7 FEET WILL CREATE ROUGH CONDITIONS FOR MARINERS. WINDS
AND SEAS WILL BEGIN TO SUBSIDE ON SUNDAY.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED TODAY.
$$

FLOOD WATCH
Issue Date: 318 PM EST THU DEC 03 2009
Expiration: 100 PM EST SAT DEC 05 2009

...FLOOD WATCH FRIDAY MORNING THROUGH SATURDAY AFTERNOON FOR WEST
CENTRAL FLORIDA...
.OVER RUNNING RAINS AHEAD OF A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL ALLOW FOR
WIDESPREAD RAINFALL ACROSS MUCH OF WEST CENTRAL FLORIDA FRIDAY
THROUGH SATURDAY AFTERNOON.
FLZ042-043-048>052-055-056-060-061-041100-
/O.NEW.KTBW.FA.A.0005.091204T1200Z-091205T1800Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
CITRUS-SUMTER-HERNANDO-PASCO-PINELLAS-HILLSBOROUGH-POLK-MANATEE-
HARDEE-SARASOTA-DE SOTO-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CRYSTAL RIVER...INVERNESS...BUSHNELL...
THE VILLAGES...BROOKSVILLE...SPRING HILL...NEW PORT RICHEY...
ZEPHYRHILLS...CLEARWATER...ST. PETERSBURG...BRANDON...TAMPA...
LAKELAND...WINTER HAVEN...BRADENTON...WAUCHULA...SARASOTA...
VENICE...ARCADIA
318 PM EST THU DEC 3 2009
...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY MORNING THROUGH SATURDAY
AFTERNOON...
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL HAS
ISSUED A
* FLOOD WATCH FOR A PORTION OF WEST CENTRAL FLORIDA...INCLUDING
THE FOLLOWING AREAS...CITRUS...DE SOTO...HARDEE...HERNANDO...
HILLSBOROUGH...MANATEE...PASCO...PINELLAS...POLK...SARASOTA
AND SUMTER.
* FROM FRIDAY MORNING THROUGH SATURDAY AFTERNOON
* A WIDESPREAD AREA OF 2 TO 4 INCHES OF RAIN IS EXPECTED TO FALL
AS AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE DEVELOPS ALONG THE STALLED FRONTAL
BOUNDARY ACROSS SOUTH FLORIDA AND LIFTS OVER THE AREA THROUGH
SATURDAY AFTERNOON. LOCALIZED AMOUNTS OF 4 TO 6 INCHES WILL BE
POSSIBLE. FLOODING OF STREETS AND URBAN AREAS IS LIKELY.
SIGNIFICANT RISES OF CREEKS AND STREAMS AND RIVERS IS ALSO
POSSIBLE.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
A FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT FLOODING IS POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT
24 TO 36 HOURS. RESIDENTS LIVING IN FLOOD PRONE AREAS SHOULD TAKE
ACTION TO PROTECT PROPERTY.
$$