HYDROLOGIC OUTLOOK
Issue Date: 424 PM CST FRI DEC 11 2009
Expiration: 430 AM CST SAT DEC 12 2009

...THE POTENTIAL FOR FLASH FLOODING AND RIVER FLOODING MAY INCREASE...
TWO RAIN PRODUCING SYSTEMS WILL AFFECT THE AREA OVER THE NEXT 72
HOURS. THE FIRST WILL OCCUR ON SATURDAY INTO SATURDAY NIGHT AND THE
SECOND WILL OCCUR FROM MONDAY INTO TUESDAY. EACH SYSTEM HAS THE
POTENTIAL TO PRODUCE AROUND TWO INCHES OF RAINFALL. EVEN THOUGH ALL
OF THE AREA SHOULD SEE HEAVY RAINFALL...THE GREATEST RISK FOR
FLOODING WILL REMAIN ALONG AND NORTH OF INTERSTATE 20. SOIL MOISTURE
OVER THIS AREA IS TWO TO FOUR INCHES ABOVE NORMAL FOR THIS TIME OF
THE YEAR. THE UPPER PEARL RIVER AND TRIBUTARIES IS AT OR NEAR FLOOD
STAGE. THE BIG BLACK RIVER IS NEAR OR ABOVE FLOOD. THE LOWER YAZOO
RIVER AND TRIBUTARIES ARE RUNNING AROUND THREE QUARTERS FLOOD STAGE.
RIVERS AND BAYOUS IN NORTHEAST LOUISIANA AND SOUTHEAST ARKANSAS ARE
ALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BUT COULD BE SUBJECT TO FLOODING. THE MOST
VULNERABLE AREA FOR FLOODING IS IN NORTHEAST MISSISSIPPI ALONG THE
TOMBIGBEE RIVER SYSTEM WHERE TIBBEE CREEK AND NOXUBEE RIVER ARE JUST
BELOW FLOOD STAGE WHILE THE LUXAPALLILA CREEK IS ABOVE FLOOD STAGE.
THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR MINOR TO MODERATE RIVER FLOODING TO DEVELOP
OVER ALL AREAS NORTH OF INTERSTATE 20. THERE IS POTENTIAL FOR RIVERS
SOUTH OF INTERSTATE 20 TO SEE SOME MINOR RIVER FLOODING AS WELL. DUE
TO LOW SOIL INFILTRATION RATES...THE POTENTIAL FOR FLASH FLOODING
COULD DEVELOP OVER THE ENTIRE AREA IF HEAVY RAINFALL RATES
MATERIALIZE. STAY TUNED FOR UPDATES AND THE POSSIBLE ISSUANCE OF A
FLOOD WATCH OR FLASH FLOOD WATCH DURING THE NEXT FEW DAYS.
$$
EC

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
Issue Date: 308 PM CST FRI DEC 11 2009
Expiration: 315 PM CST SAT DEC 12 2009

Expires:200912122115;;
FLUS44 KJAN 112104
HWOJAN
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
304 PM CST FRI DEC 11 2009
MSZ072>074-122115-
MARION-LAMAR-FORREST-
304 PM CST FRI DEC 11 2009
THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI...
NORTHEAST LOUISIANA...AND EXTREME SOUTHEAST ARKANSAS.
.DAY ONE...TONIGHT AND SATURDAY
WIDESPREAD RAIN WILL DEVELOP ACROSS THE REGION BY EARLY SATURDAY AND
PERSIST INTO AT LEAST EARLY SATURDAY EVENING IN MOST AREAS. MODERATE
TO LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL IS EXPECTED AND EMBEDDED THUNDERSTORMS WILL
BE CAPABLE OF THE HEAVIEST DOWNPOURS. TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF
1 TO 3 INCHES WILL BE POSSIBLE. THIS COULD RESULT IN PONDING OF WATER
IN LOW LYING AND POOR DRAINAGE AREAS.
IN ADDITION...A FEW STRONG STORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING SMALL HAIL AND
GUSTY WINDS OVER 40 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND
SATURDAY EVENING ACROSS PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI ALONG THE
HIGHWAY 98 CORRIDOR.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY
ALSO...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING HEAVY RAINFALL
WILL BE POSSIBLE MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT ACROSS THE ENTIRE AREA AS A
STRONG COLD FRONT MOVES INTO AND THROUGH THE REGION. FLOODING WILL BE A
CONCERN WITH THIS ACTIVITY...SINCE GROUNDS WILL BE SATURATED FROM
EARLIER RAINS AND MANY LOCAL CREEKS...RIVERS AND STREAMS WILL BE AT
HIGH LEVELS.THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.
.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
THE ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS...HAM RADIO OPERATORS...AND
EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL IN SUPPORT OF SEVERE WEATHER
OPERATIONS IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH NEXT THURSDAY.
$$