HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
Issue Date: 553 AM EST TUE DEC 01 2009
Expiration: 600 AM EST WED DEC 02 2009

/453 AM CST TUE DEC 1 2009/
THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHEAST ALABAMA...
SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH CENTRAL GEORGIA...AND THE FLORIDA BIG BEND
AND PANHANDLE...AND ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS.
.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT...
A STRONG AREA OF LOW PRESSURE WILL DEVELOP OVER THE WESTERN GULF
OF MEXICO LATER TODAY. THIS AREA OF LOW PRESSURE WILL TRACK
NORTHEASTWARD TOWARD THE CENTRAL GULF STATES AND BEGIN TO SPREAD
AN AREA OF RAIN OVER OUR REGION LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING.
AS A WARM FRONTAL BOUNDARY LIFTS NORTHWARD ACROSS THE REGION
TONIGHT...THE POTENTIAL WILL INCREASE FOR SEVERE WEATHER ALONG THE
FLORIDA PANHANDLE COAST AND POSSIBLY SPREADING INTO EXTREME
SOUTHEASTERN ALABAMA. THE PREDOMINANT THREAT WITH ANY STORMS
MOVING ASHORE WILL BE ISOLATED TORNADOES AND DAMAGING WINDS.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY...
THIS SAME STORM SYSTEM WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT THE REGION ON
WEDNESDAY. A SWATH OF VERY HEAVY RAIN IS ANTICIPATED WITH THIS
SYSTEM. RAINFALL TOTALS THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT COULD REACH 6 OR
MORE INCHES IN SOME AREAS AND AS A RESULT A FLASH FLOOD WATCH HAS
BEEN ISSUED FOR A LARGE PORTION OF THE REGION. IN ADDITION VERY
STRONG SOUTHERLY WINDS ARE EXPECTED OVER THE COASTAL WATERS
BEGINNING EARLY WEDNESDAY AND CONTINUING THROUGH THE DAY. AS A
RESULT A GALE WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THIS TIME PERIOD. THESE
WINDS WILL CREATE VERY HAZARDOUS MARINE CONDITIONS...AS WELL AS
THE POSSIBILITY OF HIGH SURF...LIFE THREATENING RIP CURRENTS...BEACH
EROSION...AND COASTAL FLOODING.
BASED ON THE LATEST FORECAST TRACK OF THE STORM...STORM TIDES
OF 4 TO 7 FEET ARE EXPECTED FROM WAKULLA COUNTY EASTWARD DURING
THE TIMES OF HIGH TIDE BOTH WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND WEDNESDAY
NIGHT. STORM TIDES OF 3 TO 4 FEET WILL BE POSSIBLE FROM FRANKLIN
COUNTY WESTWARD. WHILE STORM TIDES MAY NOT BE AS HIGH ALONG THE
PANHANDLE COASTLINE...LARGE AND BATTERING SURF IS EXPECTED...WHICH
MAY RESULT IN BEACH EROSION AND WASH OUT VULNERABLE COASTAL
ROADWAYS.
AS THE LOW PRESSURE AREA APPROACHES AND THEN MOVES NORTH OF THE
FORECAST AREA ON WEDNESDAY...A MODESTLY UNSTABLE AIR MASS IS
ANTICIPATED TO MOVE INLAND. THIS INSTABILITY WILL COMBINE WITH
STRONG WIND SHEAR TO PROMOTE THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SQUALL LINE OF
STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS. DAMAGING STRAIGHT LINE
WINDS...LARGE HAIL AND ISOLATED TORNADOES WILL ALL BE POSSIBLE
WITH THIS SCENARIO. THIS SQUALL LINE SHOULD EXIT EAST OF THE
REGION DURING WEDNESDAY NIGHT.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED LATE TONIGHT AND
CONTINUING INTO WEDNESDAY.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION...VISIT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
WEBSITE ON THE INTERNET AT WEATHER.GOV...THEN CLICK ON YOUR AREA
OF INTEREST ON THE NATIONAL MAP.
$$

HYDROLOGIC OUTLOOK
Issue Date: 518 PM EST MON NOV 30 2009
Expiration: 430 PM EST TUE DEC 01 2009

/418 PM CST MON NOV 30 2009/
..GULF COAST STORM TO BRING HEAVY RAINS AND POTENTIAL RIVER FLOODING...
SOIL CONDITIONS ARE WET ACROSS THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE...ALABAMA AND
MUCH OF GEORGIA HAS KEPT RIVER FLOWS NEAR OR ABOVE NORMAL ACROSS
THE AREA THE PAST TWO MONTHS.
BEGINNING TUESDAY EVENING...A STRONG WET STORM WILL DEVELOP ALONG THE GULF
COAST. EXTREMELY HEAVY RAINFALL IS LIKELY OVER SOUTHEAST ALABAMA...THE
FLORIDA PANHANDLE AND SOUTHWEST GEORGIA AS THIS SYSTEM UNFOLDS.
HEAVY RAINFALL WILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO GENERATE RAPID LOCAL
RISES ON SMALL CREEKS AND STREAMS AND RAPID RISES ON MAINSTEM
RIVERS ACROSS THE AREA.
BY WEDNESDAY...THE PEA...YELLOW...CHOCTAWHATCHEE...CHATTAHOOCHEE
AND FLINT RIVERS DRAINAGES AND SMALLER DRAINAGES SUCH AS
MOSSYHEAD...SPRING CREEK AND OTHERS ACROSS THE AREA MAY EXPERIENCE
SHARP RAPID RISES REACHING OR EXCEEDING CRITICAL STAGES.
SIGNIFICANT ROUTED FLOWS ON THE CHATTAHOOCHEE AND FLINT RIVER
DRAINAGES WILL ALSO OCCUR LATER THIS WEEK PARTICULARLY IF HEAVY
RAIN FALL REACHES THE WETTER CENTRAL AND NORTH GEORGIA BASINS.
RESULTING FLOWS FROM THE CHATTAHOOCHEE AND FLINT BASINS WILL
LIKELY GENERATE HIGH FLOWS ON THE APALACHICOLA RIVER LATER THIS
WEEK AND NEXT WEEK.
PERSONS WITH INTERESTS ALONG THE AREAS MENTIONED ABOVE SHOULD
REMAIN INFORMED OF THE LATEST WEATHER AND RIVER INFORMATION AND BE
PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION AS NECESSARY. PLEASE REFER TO NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE RIVER FLOOD WARNINGS AND STATEMENTS FOR THE LATEST
INFORMATION IN YOUR AREA.
A FLOOD WATCH WILL LIKELY BE ISSUED TUESDAY MORNING FOR THE AREAS
THAT ARE EXPECTED TO BE AFFECTED.
THE HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK PRODUCT WILL BE UPDATED WITH THE
LATEST INFORMATION TONIGHT. ANOTHER SOURCE OF CURRENT WEATHER
INFORMATION FOR THE AREA IS ON OUR WEB PAGE AT:
WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/TAE/.
$$
LANIER

COASTAL FLOOD WATCH
Issue Date: 443 AM EST MON NOV 30 2009
Expiration: 700 AM EST THU DEC 03 2009

...A COASTAL FLOOD WATCH IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM CAPE SAN BLAS
WESTWARD TO THE SUWANNEE RIVER ENTRANCE FROM WEDNESDAY MORNING TO
THURSDAY MORNING...
.A STRONG AREA OF LOW PRESSURE IS FORECAST TO DEVELOP ACROSS THE
WESTERN GULF OF MEXICO ON TUESDAY AFTERNOON. AS THIS AREA OF LOW
PRESSURE TRACKS EASTWARD TOWARD OUR REGION...WINDS WILL BEGIN TO
INCREASE OUT OF THE SOUTHEAST. AS THESE WINDS TURN MORE ONSHORE ON
WEDNESDAY MORNING...THE POTENTIAL WILL INCREASE FOR MODERATE TO
MAJOR COASTAL FLOODING WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING AROUND THE
TIME OF HIGH TIDE...ESPECIALLY FROM THE OCHLOCKONEE RIVER ENTRANCE
EASTWARD TO THE SUWANNEE RIVER ENTRANCE.
FLZ018-027-028-034-302315-
/O.NEW.KTAE.CF.A.0002.091202T1200Z-091203T1200Z/
JEFFERSON-WAKULLA-TAYLOR-DIXIE-
443 AM EST MON NOV 30 2009
...A COASTAL FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY MORNING
THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING...
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TALLAHASSEE HAS ISSUED A COASTAL
FLOOD WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH
THURSDAY MORNING.
STRONG ONSHORE WINDS WILL BEGIN TO DEVELOP ACROSS THE GULF OF
MEXICO ON TUESDAY EVENING. THESE SOUTHEASTERLY WINDS WILL BEGIN TO
KEEP WATER LEVELS ELEVATED ALONG THE COASTLINE OF APALACHEE BAY. THE
MAGNITUDE OF THESE WINDS WILL INCREASE ON WEDNESDAY MORNING AND
AFTERNOON AND COINCIDE WITH THE NORMAL ASTRONOMICAL HIGH TIDE. THE
FORECAST LOW TIDE ON WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON IS ONLY SLIGHTLY LOWER
THAN THE HIGH TIDE IN MANY PLACES...BECAUSE THE STRONGEST ONSHORE
WINDS WILL OCCUR DURING THIS LOW AMPLITUDE TIDE RANGE...A
PROLONGED PERIOD OF INUNDATION OF LOW LYING AREAS ALONG THE COAST
IS POSSIBLE.
AT THIS TIME A PREDICTED STORM SURGE OF 2 TO 4 FEET IS POSSIBLE
FROM OCHLOCKONEE BAY EASTWARD TO THE SUWANNEE RIVER ENTRANCE. THIS
STORM SURGE COMBINED WITH THE ASTRONOMICAL TIDE WILL RESULT IN
A MAXIMUM STORM TIDE OF 5 TO 7 FEET ABOVE MEAN LOWER LOW WATER.
REMEMBER...STORM TIDE IS THE COMBINATION OF THE ASTRONOMICAL TIDE
AND STORM SURGE.
BELOW ARE SELECTED TIMES OF HIGH AND LOW TIDE ON WEDNESDAY
DECEMBER 2ND...
SAINT MARKS...LOW TIDE...717 AM...HIGH TIDE 202 PM AND 1235 AM
THURSDAY.
STEINHATCHEE RIVER ENTRANCE...LOW TIDE 618 AM...HIGH TIDE 1259 PM
AND 1142 PM.
SUWANNEE RIVER ENTRANCE...LOW TIDE 636 AM...HIGH TIDE 103 PM AND
1146 PM.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
A COASTAL FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS FAVORABLE FOR
FLOODING ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP. COASTAL RESIDENTS SHOULD BE
ALERT FOR LATER STATEMENTS OR WARNINGS...AND TAKE ACTION TO
PROTECT PROPERTY.
$$
GODSEY