COASTAL FLOOD WATCH
Issue Date: 443 AM EST MON NOV 30 2009
Expiration: 700 AM EST THU DEC 03 2009

...A COASTAL FLOOD WATCH IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM CAPE SAN BLAS
WESTWARD TO THE SUWANNEE RIVER ENTRANCE FROM WEDNESDAY MORNING TO
THURSDAY MORNING...
.A STRONG AREA OF LOW PRESSURE IS FORECAST TO DEVELOP ACROSS THE
WESTERN GULF OF MEXICO ON TUESDAY AFTERNOON. AS THIS AREA OF LOW
PRESSURE TRACKS EASTWARD TOWARD OUR REGION...WINDS WILL BEGIN TO
INCREASE OUT OF THE SOUTHEAST. AS THESE WINDS TURN MORE ONSHORE ON
WEDNESDAY MORNING...THE POTENTIAL WILL INCREASE FOR MODERATE TO
MAJOR COASTAL FLOODING WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING AROUND THE
TIME OF HIGH TIDE...ESPECIALLY FROM THE OCHLOCKONEE RIVER ENTRANCE
EASTWARD TO THE SUWANNEE RIVER ENTRANCE.
FLZ018-027-028-034-302315-
/O.NEW.KTAE.CF.A.0002.091202T1200Z-091203T1200Z/
JEFFERSON-WAKULLA-TAYLOR-DIXIE-
443 AM EST MON NOV 30 2009
...A COASTAL FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY MORNING
THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING...
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TALLAHASSEE HAS ISSUED A COASTAL
FLOOD WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH
THURSDAY MORNING.
STRONG ONSHORE WINDS WILL BEGIN TO DEVELOP ACROSS THE GULF OF
MEXICO ON TUESDAY EVENING. THESE SOUTHEASTERLY WINDS WILL BEGIN TO
KEEP WATER LEVELS ELEVATED ALONG THE COASTLINE OF APALACHEE BAY. THE
MAGNITUDE OF THESE WINDS WILL INCREASE ON WEDNESDAY MORNING AND
AFTERNOON AND COINCIDE WITH THE NORMAL ASTRONOMICAL HIGH TIDE. THE
FORECAST LOW TIDE ON WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON IS ONLY SLIGHTLY LOWER
THAN THE HIGH TIDE IN MANY PLACES...BECAUSE THE STRONGEST ONSHORE
WINDS WILL OCCUR DURING THIS LOW AMPLITUDE TIDE RANGE...A
PROLONGED PERIOD OF INUNDATION OF LOW LYING AREAS ALONG THE COAST
IS POSSIBLE.
AT THIS TIME A PREDICTED STORM SURGE OF 2 TO 4 FEET IS POSSIBLE
FROM OCHLOCKONEE BAY EASTWARD TO THE SUWANNEE RIVER ENTRANCE. THIS
STORM SURGE COMBINED WITH THE ASTRONOMICAL TIDE WILL RESULT IN
A MAXIMUM STORM TIDE OF 5 TO 7 FEET ABOVE MEAN LOWER LOW WATER.
REMEMBER...STORM TIDE IS THE COMBINATION OF THE ASTRONOMICAL TIDE
AND STORM SURGE.
BELOW ARE SELECTED TIMES OF HIGH AND LOW TIDE ON WEDNESDAY
DECEMBER 2ND...
SAINT MARKS...LOW TIDE...717 AM...HIGH TIDE 202 PM AND 1235 AM
THURSDAY.
STEINHATCHEE RIVER ENTRANCE...LOW TIDE 618 AM...HIGH TIDE 1259 PM
AND 1142 PM.
SUWANNEE RIVER ENTRANCE...LOW TIDE 636 AM...HIGH TIDE 103 PM AND
1146 PM.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
A COASTAL FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS FAVORABLE FOR
FLOODING ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP. COASTAL RESIDENTS SHOULD BE
ALERT FOR LATER STATEMENTS OR WARNINGS...AND TAKE ACTION TO
PROTECT PROPERTY.
$$
GODSEY

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
Issue Date: 359 PM EST SUN NOV 29 2009
Expiration: 600 AM EST MON NOV 30 2009

/258 PM CST SUN NOV 29 2009/
THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHEAST ALABAMA...
SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH CENTRAL GEORGIA...AND THE FLORIDA BIG BEND
AND PANHANDLE...AND ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS.
.DAY ONE...TONIGHT...
NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY...
A STRONG LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO DEVELOP OVER THE GULF
OF MEXICO EARLY THIS WEEK AND TRACK NORTHEAST INTO THE
SOUTHEASTERN STATES BY WEDNESDAY. WHILE THE EXACT STRENGTH AND
TRACK OF THE SYSTEM WILL DETERMINE THE SEVERITY OF THE
IMPACT...THERE ARE MULTIPLE CONCERNS AS THIS SYSTEM APPROACHES THE
TRI-STATE AREA. A SWATH OF VERY HEAVY RAIN IS ANTICIPATED TO
ACCOMPANY THIS SYSTEM. RAINFALL TOTALS THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT
COULD REACH 5 OR MORE INCHES IN SOME AREAS. AT THIS TIME THE
LOCATION OF HEAVIEST RAINFALL IS MOST LIKELY TO FALL ACROSS THE
WESTERN HALF OF THE FORECAST AREA. IN ADDITION VERY STRONG
SOUTHERLY WINDS ARE EXPECTED OVER THE COASTAL WATERS BEGINNING
LATE TUESDAY AND CONTINUING INTO WEDNESDAY. AT LEAST HIGH END
ADVISORY LEVEL WINDS ARE ANTICIPATED WITH THE GALE FORCE WINDS NOT
OUT OF THE QUESTION. THESE WINDS WILL CREATE VERY HAZARDOUS
MARINE CONDITIONS...AS WELL AS THE POSSIBILITY OF HIGH SURF...LIFE
THREATENING RIP CURRENTS...BEACH EROSION...AND COASTAL FLOODING.
THE EXACT TRACK AND STRENGTH OF THE LOW WILL DETERMINE THE EXTENT
OF THE COASTAL FLOODING THREAT. HOWEVER...STORM TIDES OF 4 TO 6
FEET ARE CERTAINLY POSSIBLE FROM WAKULLA COUNTY EASTWARD DURING
THE TIMES OF HIGH TIDE BOTH WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND WEDNESDAY
NIGHT. STORM TIDES OF 2 TO 4 FEET WILL BE POSSIBLE FROM FRANKLIN
COUNTY WESTWARD. WHILE STORM TIDES MAY NOT BE AS HIGH ALONG THE
PANHANDLE COASTLINE...LARGE AND BATTERING SURF IS POSSIBLE...WHICH
MAY RESULT IN BEACH EROSION AND WASH OUT VULNERABLE COASTAL
ROADWAYS.
AS THE LOW PRESSURE AREA APPROACHES AND THEN MOVES NORTH OF THE
FORECAST AREA ON WEDNESDAY...A MODESTLY UNSTABLE AIR MASS IS
ANTICIPATED TO MOVE INLAND. THIS INSTABILITY WILL COMBINED WITH
STRONG WINDS SHEAR TO PROMOTE THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SQUALL LINE OF
STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS. DAMAGING STRAIGHT LINE
WINDS...LARGE HAIL AND ISOLATED TORNADOES WILL ALL BE POSSIBLE
WITH THIS SCENARIO. THIS SQUALL LINE SHOULD EXIT EAST OF THE
REGION DURING WEDNESDAY NIGHT.
IN THE WAKE OF THIS STORM...RIVER FLOODING MAY BECOME A CONCERN
OVER PORTIONS OF THE REGION DUE TO RUNOFF FROM ANY EXCESSIVE
RAINFALL.
ALL INTERESTS IN THE REGION SHOULD CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE LATEST
FORECASTS FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE REGARDING THIS
POTENTIALLY DANGEROUS SYSTEM.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED THROUGH AT LEAST MONDAY.
DEPENDING ON THE EVOLUTION OF THE GULF LOW THIS WEEK...SPOTTER
ACTIVATION MAY BECOME NECESSARY TUESDAY NIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION...VISIT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
WEBSITE ON THE INTERNET AT WEATHER.GOV...THEN CLICK ON YOUR AREA
OF INTEREST ON THE NATIONAL MAP.
$$