HYDROLOGIC OUTLOOK
Issue Date: 1220 PM CST THU DEC 24 2009
Expiration: 1220 PM CST FRI DEC 25 2009
HYDROLOGIC OUTLOOK
ILC057-123-125-143-155-179-203-251820-
HYDROLOGIC OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL
1220 PM CST THU DEC 24 2009
THIS PRODUCT INCLUDES THE FOLLOWING RIVER...THE ILLINOIS RIVER.
THE FOLLOWING FLOOD FORECASTS ARE BASED PRIMARILY ON EXPECTED
RAINFALL OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. THERE IS SOME UNCERTAINTY IN THE
CREST FORECASTS AT THIS TIME AND SO THEY WILL LIKELY BE ADJUSTED ONCE
THE RAINFALL IS OBSERVED.
FOR THE ILLINOIS RIVER AT HENRY...THE LATEST STAGE IS 15.0 FEET AT 11
AM THURSDAY. FLOOD STAGE IS 23 FEET. MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST...
WITH A CREST OF 23.8 FEET WEDNESDAY EVENING...WHICH IS 0.8 FEET ABOVE
FLOOD STAGE. THE RIVER SHOULD RISE ABOVE THE FLOOD STAGE OF 23 FEET
EARLY TUESDAY MORNING. AT 23 FEET...WATER BEGINS TO AFFECT THE
MARINA IN HENRY ALONG WITH MINOR FLOODING OF LAND ADJACENT TO THE
RIVER.
FOR THE ILLINOIS RIVER NEAR PEORIA...THE LATEST STAGE IS 11.3 FEET AT
11 AM THURSDAY. FLOOD STAGE IS 18 FEET. MINOR FLOODING IS
FORECAST...WITH A CREST OF 20.4 FEET EARLY THURSDAY MORNING...WHICH
IS 2.4 FEET ABOVE FLOOD STAGE. THE RIVER SHOULD RISE ABOVE THE FLOOD
STAGE OF 18 FEET MONDAY AFTERNOON.
FOR THE ILLINOIS RIVER AT HAVANA...THE LATEST STAGE IS 12.4 FEET AT
11 AM THURSDAY. FLOOD STAGE IS 14 FEET. MODERATE FLOODING IS
FORECAST...WITH A CREST OF 20.4 FEET THURSDAY MORNING...WHICH IS 6.4
FEET ABOVE FLOOD STAGE. THE RIVER SHOULD RISE ABOVE THE FLOOD STAGE
OF 14 FEET FRIDAY MORNING.
FLD OBSERVED FORECAST 6 AM
LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME FRI SAT SUN
ILLINOIS RIVER
HENRY 23 15.0 THU 11 AM 16.3 18.0 20.0
PEORIA 18 11.3 THU 11 AM 13.1 14.8 16.4
HAVANA 14 12.4 THU 11 AM 13.5 16.2 17.2
$$
07
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
Issue Date: 1126 AM CST THU DEC 24 2009
Expiration: 600 AM CST FRI DEC 25 2009 ...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS EVENING...
THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL
ILLINOIS...EAST CENTRAL ILLINOIS AND SOUTHEAST ILLINOIS.
.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT
PERIODS OF RAIN AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE ACROSS
CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST ILLINOIS THROUGH TONIGHT...WITH ADDITIONAL
AMOUNTS OF RAIN BETWEEN 1 AND 2 INCHES. THIS AMOUNT OF RAIN WILL
LIKELY LEAD TO LOCALIZED FLOODING. PLEASE CONTINUE TO MONITOR
LATER FORECASTS AND STATEMENTS INCLUDING RIVERS FOR MORE
INFORMATION.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY
AS THE SYSTEM PUSHES FURTHER NORTHEAST ON CHRISTMAS DAY...COLDER
AIR WILL BE DRAWN INTO THE REGION...CAUSING LINGERING RAIN OR
DRIZZLE TO CHANGE TO LIGHT SNOW OR FLURRIES. TEMPERATURES DROPPING
BELOW FREEZING BY AFTERNOON CHRISTMAS DAY...COUPLED WITH THE
FALLING SNOW...COULD PRODUCE HAZARDOUS DRIVING CONDITIONS ACROSS
THE AREA.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED THROUGH TONIGHT.
$$
FLOOD WATCH
Issue Date: 310 PM CST TUE DEC 22 2009
Expiration: 1200 AM CST FRI DEC 25 2009 ...INTENSE WINTER STORM TO BRING THE THREAT FOR HEAVY RAINFALL
TO CENTRAL ILLINOIS LATER WEDNESDAY THROUGH CHRISTMAS EVE...
.LOW PRESSURE WILL TRACK SLOWLY OUT OF THE SOUTHERN PLAINS TOMORROW
AND TAP ABUNDANT GULF MOISTURE AS IT HEADS TOWARD CENTRAL ILLINOIS
CHRISTMAS EVE. RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF FROM 2 TO 3 INCHES WILL BE
POSSIBLE BY THURSDAY NIGHT...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE
IF THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOP ACROSS THE AREA.
ILZ027>031-036>038-040>057-061>063-066>068-071>073-230500-
/O.NEW.KILX.FA.A.0004.091223T1800Z-091225T0600Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
KNOX-STARK-PEORIA-MARSHALL-WOODFORD-FULTON-TAZEWELL-MCLEAN-
SCHUYLER-MASON-LOGAN-DE WITT-PIATT-CHAMPAIGN-VERMILION-CASS-
MENARD-SCOTT-MORGAN-SANGAMON-CHRISTIAN-MACON-MOULTRIE-DOUGLAS-
COLES-EDGAR-SHELBY-CUMBERLAND-CLARK-EFFINGHAM-JASPER-CRAWFORD-
CLAY-RICHLAND-LAWRENCE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...GALESBURG...PEORIA...BLOOMINGTON...
NORMAL...HAVANA...LINCOLN...CHAMPAIGN...URBANA...DANVILLE...
JACKSONVILLE...SPRINGFIELD...TAYLORVILLE...DECATUR...CHARLESTON...
MATTOON...SHELBYVILLE...EFFINGHAM...FLORA...LAWRENCEVILLE
310 PM CST TUE DEC 22 2009
...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
THURSDAY EVENING...
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN LINCOLN HAS ISSUED A
* FLOOD WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL ILLINOIS...EAST CENTRAL
ILLINOIS AND SOUTHEAST ILLINOIS...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING
AREAS...IN CENTRAL ILLINOIS...CASS...CHRISTIAN...DE WITT...
FULTON...KNOX...LOGAN...MACON...MARSHALL...MASON...MCLEAN...
MENARD...MORGAN...MOULTRIE...PEORIA...PIATT...SANGAMON...
SCHUYLER...SCOTT...SHELBY...STARK...TAZEWELL AND WOODFORD. IN
EAST CENTRAL ILLINOIS...CHAMPAIGN...CLARK...COLES...
CUMBERLAND...DOUGLAS...EDGAR AND VERMILION. IN SOUTHEAST
ILLINOIS...CLAY...CRAWFORD...EFFINGHAM...JASPER...LAWRENCE AND
RICHLAND.
* FROM WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING
* PERIODS OF MODERATE TO LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL WITH ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS.
* THE LATEST SOIL TEMPERATURES ACROSS CENTRAL ILLINOIS INDICATE
THE FROST DEPTH AT BETWEEN 3 TO 5 INCHES. THE COMBINATION OF THE
EXPECTED RAINFALL COUPLED WITH THE FROZEN TOPSOIL WILL HELP TO
PRODUCE SIGNIFICANT RUNOFF INTO AREA RIVERS...CREEKS AND
STREAMS.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
A FLOOD WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING BASED ON
CURRENT FORECASTS.
YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE ALERT FOR POSSIBLE
FLOOD WARNINGS. THOSE LIVING IN AREAS PRONE TO FLOODING SHOULD BE
PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLOODING DEVELOP.
$$
SMITH
|
