COASTAL FLOOD WATCH
Issue Date: 450 AM CST MON NOV 30 2009
Expiration: 600 AM CST WED DEC 02 2009

...STRONG ONSHORE WINDS MAY LEAD TO COASTAL FLOODING LATE
TUESDAY...
.A STRONG LOW PRESSURE AREA IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP IN THE
NORTHWEST GULF OF MEXICO TONIGHT AND MOVE ACROSS THE CENTRAL GULF
COAST REGION LATE TUESDAY THROUGH EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING.
MODERATE TO STRONG NORTHEAST WINDS TONIGHT AND TUESDAY MORNING
WILL BECOMING EAST TO SOUTHEAST AND CONTINUE TO INCREASE TUESDAY
AFTERNOON...THEN REMAIN STRONG OUT OF THE SOUTH AND SOUTHEAST
THROUGH MUCH OF TUESDAY NIGHT. THE COMBINATION OF WIND DRIVEN
TIDES AND HIGH ASTRONOMICAL TIDES ARE EXPECTED TO CAUSE A RAPID
RISE IN WATER LEVELS TUESDAY...AND COASTAL FLOODING IS LIKELY TO
DEVELOP OUTSIDE OF HURRICANE PROTECTION LEVEES NEAR THE TIDAL
LAKES AND COAST.
LAZ038-040-058-060>062-064-066>070-MSZ080>082-301900-
/O.NEW.KLIX.CF.A.0006.091201T1800Z-091202T1200Z/
TANGIPAHOA-ST. TAMMANY-ST. JOHN THE BAPTIST-ST. CHARLES-
UPPER JEFFERSON-ORLEANS-UPPER ST. BERNARD-LOWER TERREBONNE-
LOWER LAFOURCHE-LOWER JEFFERSON-LOWER PLAQUEMINES-
LOWER ST. BERNARD-HANCOCK-HARRISON-JACKSON-
450 AM CST MON NOV 30 2009
...COASTAL FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
LATE TUESDAY NIGHT...
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN NEW ORLEANS HAS ISSUED A COASTAL
FLOOD WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
LATE TUESDAY NIGHT.
A STRONG LOW PRESSURE AREA...WITH GALE FORCE WINDS UP TO 40 MPH
WITH HIGHER GUSTS...IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP IN THE NORTHWEST GULF
OF MEXICO TONIGHT AND MOVE ACROSS THE CENTRAL GULF COAST REGION
LATE TUESDAY THROUGH EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING. MODERATE TO STRONG
NORTHEAST WINDS TONIGHT AND TUESDAY MORNING WILL BECOMING EAST TO
SOUTHEAST AND CONTINUE TO INCREASE TUESDAY AFTERNOON...THEN REMAIN
STRONG OUT OF THE SOUTH AND SOUTHEAST 30 TO 40 MPH WITH SOME
HIGHER GUSTS IN COASTAL SECTIONS THROUGH MUCH OF TUESDAY NIGHT.
THE COMBINATION OF WIND DRIVEN TIDES AND LARGE ASTRONOMICAL TIDE
RANGES ARE EXPECTED TO CAUSE A RAPID RISE IN WATER LEVELS OF 3 TO
4 FEET FROM LOW TIDE IN THE MORNING TO HIGH TIDE IN THE EVENING
TUESDAY. AREAS OF COASTAL FLOODING ARE LIKELY TO DEVELOP OUTSIDE
OF HURRICANE PROTECTION LEVEES NEAR THE TIDAL LAKES AND COAST.
WATER LEVELS WILL DROP AND END THE COASTAL FLOODING THREAT LATE
TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY MORNING AS WINDS SHIFT TO WESTERLY.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
A COASTAL FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS FAVORABLE FOR
FLOODING ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP. COASTAL RESIDENTS SHOULD BE
ALERT FOR LATER STATEMENTS OR WARNINGS...AND TAKE ACTION TO
PROTECT PROPERTY.
$$
22/TD

HYDROLOGIC OUTLOOK
Issue Date: 446 AM CST MON NOV 30 2009
Expiration: 500 PM CST MON NOV 30 2009

...LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL POSSIBLE ACROSS SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA AND
SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI THIS WEEK...
A MOIST TROPICAL AIR MASS WILL MOVE INTO THE REGION AS A SURFACE
LOW DEVELOPS IN THE WESTERN GULF OF MEXICO. SHOWERS AND A FEW
THUNDERSTORMS ALONG THE COAST ARE EXPECTED TO MOVE INTO THE AREA
AS THIS LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM TRACKS ACROSS SOUTHEASTERN LOUISIANA.
THE HEAVIEST RAIN CAN BE EXPECTED TUESDAY EVENING THROUGH
WEDNESDAY MORNING. DUE TO THE HIGH MOISTURE CONTENT OF THE
ATMOSPHERE...RAIN PRODUCTION FROM THESE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
WILL BE VERY EFFICIENT.
AREA AVERAGE RAINFALL TOTALS FOR THE TUESDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY PERIOD
ARE GENERALLY EXPECTED TO BE IN THE 4 TO 6 INCH RANGE. HOWEVER...
LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS WILL BE POSSIBLE.
WATER LEVELS IN AREA RIVERS ARE CURRENTLY LOW...AND NO RIVER
FLOODING IS EXPECTED AS A RESULT OF THIS RAINFALL. HOWEVER...
ELEVATED FLOWS MAY BE EXPERIENCED ON SOME OF THE FASTER RESPONDING
STREAMS AND RIVERS.
ADDITIONALLY...SOME OF THESE STORMS WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING
VERY HIGH RAINFALL RATES...UPWARDS OF TWO INCHES PER HOUR.
WIDESPREAD FLASH FLOODING IS NOT EXPECTED. HOWEVER...LOCALIZED
EFFECTS WILL LIKELY ACCOMPANY THE HEAVIEST STORMS. THIS WILL
INCLUDE PONDING OF WATER ON ROADWAYS AND IN AREAS OF POOR
DRAINAGE.
PEOPLE IN THE AFFECTED AREAS SHOULD BE AWARE OF THE FLOODING
POTENTIAL...AND MONITOR THE LATEST INFORMATION FOR ANY
STATEMENTS...WATCHES OR WARNINGS THAT MAY BE ISSUED.
$$

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
Issue Date: 1107 AM CST SUN NOV 29 2009
Expiration: 1115 AM CST MON NOV 30 2009

Expires:200911301715;;
FLUS44 KLIX 291705
HWOLIX
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA
1105 AM CST SUN NOV 29 2009
GMZ530-550-555-570-575-LAZ034>040-046>050-056>070-MSZ068>071-077-
080>082-301715-
LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN AND LAKE MAUREPAS-
COASTAL WATERS FROM THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER
TO LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER LA OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM PASCAGOULA MS TO THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE
MISSISSIPPI RIVER OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER
TO LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER LA FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM PASCAGOULA MS TO THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE
MISSISSIPPI RIVER FROM 20 TO 60 NM-POINTE COUPEE-WEST FELICIANA-
EAST FELICIANA-ST. HELENA-TANGIPAHOA-WASHINGTON-ST. TAMMANY-
IBERVILLE-WEST BATON ROUGE-EAST BATON ROUGE-ASCENSION-LIVINGSTON-
ASSUMPTION-ST. JAMES-ST. JOHN THE BAPTIST-UPPER LAFOURCHE-
ST. CHARLES-UPPER JEFFERSON-ORLEANS-UPPER PLAQUEMINES-
UPPER ST. BERNARD-UPPER TERREBONNE-LOWER TERREBONNE-
LOWER LAFOURCHE-LOWER JEFFERSON-LOWER PLAQUEMINES-
LOWER ST. BERNARD-WILKINSON-AMITE-PIKE-WALTHALL-PEARL RIVER-
HANCOCK-HARRISON-JACKSON-
1105 AM CST SUN NOV 29 2009
THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST
LOUISIANA AND SOUTH MISSISSIPPI...AND ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS.
.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT
RIVER FLOODING WILL CONTINUE ALONG THE ATCHAFALAYA RIVER NEAR
MORGAN CITY. PLEASE REFER TO THE LATEST RIVER FLOOD STATEMENT FOR
DETAILS. OTHERWISE...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY
A STRONG SURFACE LOW WILL MOVE THROUGH THE AREA TUESDAY
NIGHT...BRINGING STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS TO THE GULF
COASTAL WATERS. THE POTENTIAL FOR STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
OVER LAND REMAINS LOW AT THIS TIME BUT WILL DEPEND GREATLY ON THE
EXACT PATH OF THE LOW. HEAVY RAINFALL IS ALSO EXPECTED AS THIS LOW
MOVES THROUGH THE REGION.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORIES MAY BE POSTED TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY
AS A STRONG SURFACE RIDGE BUILDS INTO THE COASTAL WATERS BEHIND A
COLD FRONT.
STRONG WINDS MAY ALSO PROVIDE A SHORT PERIOD OF ABOVE NORMAL TIDE
LEVELS ON EAST FACING COASTLINES TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT. LATER
OUTLOOKS AND FORECASTS WILL REFINE DETAILS ON THIS POTENTIAL
THREAT.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED.
$$