HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
Issue Date: 456 AM CST WED DEC 23 2009
Expiration: 500 AM CST THU DEC 24 2009

Expires:200912241100;;
FLUS44 KLZK 231046
HWOLZK
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
500 AM CST WED DEC 23 2009
ARZ003>007-012>016-021>025-030>034-037>047-052>057-062>069-241100-
ARKANSAS-BAXTER-BOONE-BRADLEY-CALHOUN-CLARK-CLEBURNE-CLEVELAND-
CONWAY-DALLAS-DESHA-DREW-FAULKNER-FULTON-GARLAND-GRANT-HOT SPRING-
INDEPENDENCE-IZARD-JACKSON-JEFFERSON-JOHNSON-LINCOLN-LOGAN-LONOKE-
MARION-MONROE-MONTGOMERY-NEWTON-OUACHITA-PERRY-PIKE-POLK-POPE-
PRAIRIE-PULASKI-SALINE-SCOTT-SEARCY-SHARP-STONE-VAN BUREN-WHITE-
WOODRUFF-YELL-
500 AM CST WED DEC 23 2009
THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR A LARGE PART OF ARKANSAS.
.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE TO DEVELOP AND OVERSPREAD
ARKANSAS TODAY...AS A POWERFUL STORM SYSTEM CONTINUES TO DEVELOP OUT
IN THE SOUTHERN PLAINS. THE SYSTEM WILL MOVE CLOSER TO ARKANSAS
TODAY AND TONIGHT...AND ALLOW FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TO
PERSIST.
SOME STORMS THAT DEVELOP...ESPECIALLY THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT...
MAY BE STRONG TO SEVERE. ANY SEVERE STORMS THIS AFTERNOON AND
EVENING WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING PENNY SIZE HAIL. AS A SQUALL
LINE DEVELOPS ALONG OR AHEAD OF A STRONG COLD FRONT LATE TONIGHT...
THE THREAT WILL PRIMARILY BECOME STRAIGHT LINE WINDS.
UNFORTUNATELY...THE SYSTEM HAS A LARGE AMOUNT OF WIND ENERGY WITH
IT...AND TORNADO DEVELOPMENT CANNOT BE RULED OUT. THE GREATEST
THREAT FOR ANY TORNADO DEVELOPMENT WILL BE IN AREAS WEST OF A LINE
FROM WALDRON...TO MALVERN...TO MONTICELLO. THE FRONT WILL ENTER
ARKANSAS LATE TONIGHT OR EARLY THURSDAY MORNING.
ALSO...ANY STRONGER STORMS WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING HEAVY
RAINFALL. THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...TWO TO THREE INCHES OF RAIN IS
POSSIBLE IN A LARGE PART OF THE AREA...WITH LOCALLY UP TO FOUR
INCHES POSSIBLE. WITH THE AMOUNT OF RAIN EXPECTED FALLING ON LARGELY
DORMANT VEGETATION...A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT THIS AFTERNOON
THROUGH NOON THURSDAY.
THE STRENGTH OF THIS SYSTEM AND CLOSE PROXIMITY TO HIGH PRESSURE TO
THE EAST AND WEST OF IT WILL ALLOW FOR GUSTY WINDS TODAY AND
TONIGHT. WINDS OF 10 TO 20 MPH...WITH GUSTS AS HIGH AS 30 MPH WILL
BE COMMON ACROSS THE AREA. FOR THIS REASON...A LAKE WIND ADVISORY
HAS BEEN POSTED FOR A LARGE PART OF ARKANSAS THROUGH FRIDAY.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY
THE LINE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL MOVE THROUGH ARKANSAS
DURING THE DAY THURSDAY. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL PERSIST
ALONG AND AHEAD OF THE FRONT. AGAIN...SOME OF THE STORMS COULD
BECOME SEVERE. ANY SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING
HAIL. DAMAGING STRAIGHT LINE WINDS WILL BE A THREAT...AND AN
ISOLATED TORNADO CANNOT BE RULED OUT. THE GREATEST POSSIBILITY OF
ANY SEVERE STORMS WILL BE IN AREAS SOUTH OF INTERSTATE 40 AND EAST
OF INTERSTATE 30.
STRONGER STORMS WILL ALSO BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING LOCALLY HEAVY
RAINFALL...WITH PORTIONS OF ARKANSAS RECEIVING AN ADDITIONAL INCH OR
MORE ON THURSDAY. THIS WILL INCREASE THE POSSIBILITY OF FLASH
FLOODING.
AS THE FRONT MOVES EAST AND NORTHEAST OF THE AREA ON THURSDAY
AFTERNOON AND EVENING...CONSIDERABLY COLDER AIR WILL SWEEP INTO THE
STATE. AS THE COLDER AIR MIXES IN...SOME SNOW WILL BE POSSIBLE
THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH EARLY CHRISTMAS DAY ACROSS THE NORTH.
SNOWFALL AMOUNTS DO NOT APPEAR TO BE SIGNIFICANT AT THIS TIME...BUT
SOME AREAS COULD SEE A DUSTING TO MAYBE A FEW TENTHS OF AN INCH OF
SNOW...ESPECIALLY CLOSE TO THE MISSOURI BORDER. OVER CENTRAL
ARKANSAS...LIGHT SNOW WILL BE POSSIBLE...WITH A LIGHT DUSTING ON
GRASSY AREAS OR ELEVATED SURFACES NOT OUT OF THE QUESTION. ALL
PRECIPITATION WILL COME TO AN END BY LATE FRIDAY AFTERNOON.
GUSTY WINDS WILL PERSIST THURSDAY AND INTO FRIDAY...WITH THE HIGHEST
WINDS THURSDAY AND THURSDAY NIGHT. GUSTS OF 35 MPH OR HIGHER WILL BE
POSSIBLE. THE WINDS WILL SUBSIDE FRIDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING...AS
THE STORM SYSTEM MOVES UP INTO THE MID MISSISSIPPI VALLEY.
THE NEXT CHANCE OF RAIN WILL BE EARLY NEXT WEEK...AS A SYSTEM
DEVELOPS IN THE WESTERN GULF OF MEXICO AND SENDS MOISTURE UP INTO
THE REGION. AT THIS POINT...IT APPEARS THERE COULD BE A WINTRY MIX
IN PORTIONS OF THE AREA ON TUESDAY.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED THIS AFTERNOON...TONIGHT...AND
POSSIBLY THURSDAY MORNING.
&&
VISIT NWS LITTLE ROCK ON THE WEB. GO TO WEATHER.GOV AND CLICK ON
CENTRAL ARKANSAS.
$$

LAKE WIND ADVISORY
Issue Date: 320 AM CST WED DEC 23 2009
Expiration: 600 PM CST FRI DEC 25 2009

...A LAKE WIND ADVISORY HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR MUCH OF ARKANSAS
THROUGH FRIDAY...
.A POWERFUL STORM SYSTEM OUT IN THE SOUTHERN PLAINS WILL AFFECT
ARKANSAS DURING THE NEXT FEW DAYS. THE SYSTEM WILL ALLOW FOR GUSTY
WINDS IN MUCH OF THE STATE.
ARZ003>007-012>016-021>025-030>034-037>047-052>057-062>069-232200-
/O.NEW.KLZK.LW.Y.0026.091223T0920Z-091226T0000Z/
ARKANSAS-BAXTER-BOONE-BRADLEY-CALHOUN-CLARK-CLEBURNE-CLEVELAND-
CONWAY-DALLAS-DESHA-DREW-FAULKNER-FULTON-GARLAND-GRANT-HOT SPRING-
INDEPENDENCE-IZARD-JACKSON-JEFFERSON-JOHNSON-LINCOLN-LOGAN-LONOKE-
MARION-MONROE-MONTGOMERY-NEWTON-OUACHITA-PERRY-PIKE-POLK-POPE-
PRAIRIE-PULASKI-SALINE-SCOTT-SEARCY-SHARP-STONE-VAN BUREN-WHITE-
WOODRUFF-YELL-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ARKADELPHIA...ASH FLAT...AUGUSTA...
BATESVILLE...BEEBE...BENTON...BOONEVILLE...BRINKLEY...BRYANT...
BULL SHOALS...CABOT...CALICO ROCK...CAMDEN...CAVE CITY...
CLARENDON...CLARKSVILLE...CLINTON...CONWAY...COTTON PLANT...
DANVILLE...DARDANELLE...DE VALLS BLUFF...DE WITT...DES ARC...
DUMAS...FAIRFIELD BAY...FLIPPIN...FORDYCE...GLENWOOD...GOULD...
HAMPTON...HARDY...HARRISON...HAZEN...HEBER SPRINGS...
HORSESHOE BEND...HOT SPRINGS...JASPER...LESLIE...LITTLE ROCK...
LONOKE...MALVERN...MAMMOTH SPRING...MARSHALL...MCCRORY...
MCGEHEE...MELBOURNE...MENA...MONTICELLO...MORRILTON...MOUNT IDA...
MOUNTAIN HOME...MOUNTAIN VIEW...MURFREESBORO...NEWPORT...NORMAN...
NORTH LITTLE ROCK...OLA...OXFORD...PARIS...PERRYVILLE...
PINE BLUFF...RUSSELLVILLE...SEARCY...SHERIDAN...STAR CITY...
STUTTGART...SUMMIT...THORNTON...VIOLA...WALDRON...WARREN...
WESTERN GROVE...YELLVILLE
320 AM CST WED DEC 23 2009
...LAKE WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CST FRIDAY...
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN LITTLE ROCK HAS ISSUED A LAKE
WIND ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CST FRIDAY.
* WINDS WILL INCREASE THROUGH THE DAY TODAY...AS A POWERFUL STORM
SYSTEM DEVELOPS OUT IN THE SOUTHERN PLAINS AND MOVES TOWARD THE
REGION.
* WINDS OF 15 TO 25 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS WILL DEVELOP THIS
MORNING. WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 20 TO 25 MPH...WITH GUSTS TO 35
MPH BY TONIGHT. A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE REGION DURING
THE DAY THURSDAY...WITH WINDS SWITCHING TO THE NORTHWEST.
HOWEVER...WINDS WILL REMAIN AT 15 TO 25 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS
THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT AND MUCH OF FRIDAY. BY FRIDAY EVENING...
WINDS WILL SUBSIDE AS THE STORM SYSTEM MOVES AWAY FROM THE
REGION AND INTO THE CENTRAL PLAINS.
* WINDY CONDITIONS WILL CREATE DANGEROUS CONDITIONS ON AREA BODIES
OF WATER. SMALL CRAFT WILL BE ESPECIALLY PRONE TO CAPSIZING.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
BOATERS WILL NEED TO EXERCISE EXTREME CAUTION IF THEY DECIDE TO GO
OUT ON THE WATER. REMEMBER...DUE TO REDUCED FRICTION...WINDS OVER
OPEN WATER ARE STRONGER THAN THOSE REPORTED AT STATIONS ON LAND.
$$
57

FLASH FLOOD WATCH
Issue Date: 321 PM CST TUE DEC 22 2009
Expiration: 1200 PM CST THU DEC 24 2009

.A POWERFUL STORM SYSTEM WILL APPROACH FROM THE PLAINS ON
WEDNESDAY...AND WILL DRAG A COLD FRONT INTO ARKANSAS ON THURSDAY.
AHEAD OF THE FRONT...RAIN WILL BECOME WIDESPREAD AND WILL BE HEAVY
AT TIMES. THERE WILL BE SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS AS WELL.
PRECIPITATION MAY BECOME EXCESSIVE IN SOME AREAS.
ARZ003>007-012>016-021>025-030>034-037>047-052>057-062>069-231030-
/O.NEW.KLZK.FF.A.0019.091224T0000Z-091224T1800Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
ARKANSAS-BAXTER-BOONE-BRADLEY-CALHOUN-CLARK-CLEBURNE-CLEVELAND-
CONWAY-DALLAS-DESHA-DREW-FAULKNER-FULTON-GARLAND-GRANT-HOT SPRING-
INDEPENDENCE-IZARD-JACKSON-JEFFERSON-JOHNSON-LINCOLN-LOGAN-LONOKE-
MARION-MONROE-MONTGOMERY-NEWTON-OUACHITA-PERRY-PIKE-POLK-POPE-
PRAIRIE-PULASKI-SALINE-SCOTT-SEARCY-SHARP-STONE-VAN BUREN-WHITE-
WOODRUFF-YELL-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ALTHEIMER...AMITY...ARKADELPHIA...
ARKANSAS CITY...ASH FLAT...AUGUSTA...AVILLA...BATESVILLE...
BAUXITE...BEARDEN...BEE BRANCH...BEEBE...BENTON...BISMARCK...
BONNERDALE...BOONEVILLE...BRINKLEY...BRYANT...BULL SHOALS...
CABOT...CALICO ROCK...CAMDEN...CAVE CITY...CENTER RIDGE...
CHIDESTER...CLARENDON...CLARKSVILLE...CLINTON...CONWAY...
COTTON PLANT...DANVILLE...DARDANELLE...DE VALLS BLUFF...DE WITT...
DEER...DES ARC...DONALDSON...DRASCO...DUMAS...EL PASO...ENGLAND...
FAIRFIELD BAY...FLIPPIN...FORDYCE...FOURCHE JUNCTION...
GASSVILLE...GEORGETOWN...GILLETT...GLENWOOD...GOULD...GRADY...
GRAVELLY...GREENBRIER...GREERS FERRY...GURDON...HAMPTON...HARDY...
HARRISON...HASKELL...HAZEN...HEBER SPRINGS...HECTOR...HERMITAGE...
HORSESHOE BEND...HOT SPRINGS...HOT SPRINGS VILLAGE...HOUSTON...
HUMNOKE...HUMPHREY...JACKSONVILLE...JASPER...JESSIEVILLE...
KINGSLAND...LACEY...LEAD HILL...LEOLA...LESLIE...LITTLE ROCK...
LONOKE...MALVERN...MAMMOTH SPRING...MARSHALL...MAUMELLE...
MAYFLOWER...MCCRORY...MCGEHEE...MELBOURNE...MENA...MONTICELLO...
MORO BAY...MORRILTON...MOUNT IDA...MOUNT MAGAZINE...
MOUNTAIN HOME...MOUNTAIN VIEW...MURFREESBORO...NEWPORT...
NORFORK...NORMAN...NORTH LITTLE ROCK...OIL TROUGH...OKOLONA...
OLA...OMAHA...OXFORD...OZONE...PARIS...PARON...PELSOR...
PERRYVILLE...PINE BLUFF...PINE RIDGE...PLEASANT PLAINS...POYEN...
PRATTSVILLE...REDFIELD...RISON...ROHWER...ROSE BUD...
RUSSELLVILLE...SALEM...SEARCY...SHERIDAN...SHERWOOD...STAR CITY...
STEPHENS...STUTTGART...SUMMIT...SWIFTON...THORNTON...TUCKERMAN...
VILONIA...VIOLA...WALDRON...WARREN...WESTERN GROVE...WICKES...
WRIGHTSVILLE...Y CITY...YELLVILLE
321 PM CST TUE DEC 22 2009
...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY EVENING THROUGH
THURSDAY MORNING...
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN LITTLE ROCK HAS ISSUED A
* FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL ARKANSAS...EASTERN
ARKANSAS...NORTH CENTRAL ARKANSAS...SOUTHEAST ARKANSAS...
SOUTHWEST ARKANSAS AND WESTERN ARKANSAS...INCLUDING THE
FOLLOWING AREAS...IN CENTRAL ARKANSAS...CONWAY...FAULKNER...
GARLAND...GRANT...LONOKE...PERRY...POPE...PRAIRIE...PULASKI...
SALINE...WHITE AND YELL. IN EASTERN ARKANSAS...JACKSON...
MONROE AND WOODRUFF. IN NORTH CENTRAL ARKANSAS...BAXTER...
BOONE...CLEBURNE...FULTON...INDEPENDENCE...IZARD...MARION...
NEWTON...SEARCY...SHARP...STONE AND VAN BUREN. IN SOUTHEAST
ARKANSAS...ARKANSAS...BRADLEY...CLEVELAND...DESHA...DREW...
JEFFERSON AND LINCOLN. IN SOUTHWEST ARKANSAS...CALHOUN...
CLARK...DALLAS...HOT SPRING...OUACHITA AND PIKE. IN WESTERN
ARKANSAS...JOHNSON...LOGAN...MONTGOMERY...POLK AND SCOTT.
* FROM WEDNESDAY EVENING THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING
* RAIN WILL BECOME HEAVY AT TIMES...MAINLY WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND
THURSDAY MORNING. WIDESPREAD TWO TO THREE INCH AMOUNTS ARE
EXPECTED...WITH LOCALLY MORE. THIS MAY CAUSE FLASH FLOODING IN
SOME AREAS.
* VEGETATION HAS BECOME MOSTLY DORMANT...AND WILL NOT USE NEARLY
AS MUCH WATER AS DURING THE GROWING SEASON. GIVEN THIS... RAIN
WILL NOT GO INTO THE SOIL AS READILY...WITH HIGH WATER PROBLEMS
BECOMING MORE OF A CONCERN.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD
TO FLASH FLOODING. MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO
TAKE ACTION IF FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS ARE ISSUED.
$$
46