HYDROLOGIC OUTLOOK
Issue Date: 223 AM CST WED DEC 23 2009
Expiration: 1200 AM CST THU DEC 24 2009

...LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL AND FLOODING POSSIBLE TODAY AND THURSDAY...
A POTENT STORM SYSTEM WILL MOVING OUT OF THE SOUTHWEST STATES INTO
WESTERN TEXAS TODAY. THEN ON THURSDAY...THE STORM WILL CONTINUE TO
TRACK THROUGH SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA THEN SWING INTO SOUTH CENTRAL
MISSOURI.
AHEAD OF THIS STORM TODAY...MOISTURE AND WARMER AIR WILL
CONTINUE TO STREAM ACROSS MISSOURI AND EASTERN KANSAS...PRODUCING ONE
ROUND OF HEAVIER RAINFALL THIS MORNING WHICH WILL MOVE NORTH ACROSS
THE REGION INTO IOWA BY AFTERNOON. LIGHTER RAIN WILL STILL BE
POSSIBLE THROUGH THE AFTERNOON HOURS EVEN AFTER THE HEAVIER RAIN ENDS.
THEN TONIGHT AS THE STORM SYSTEM MOVES CLOSER...THERE WILL BE THE
POTENTIAL FOR MORE HEAVY RAINFALL...ESPECIALLY IN THE I 44 CORRIDOR
AND ALSO MOVING NORTH ACROSS EASTERN KANSAS AND WEST CENTRAL
MISSOURI...INTO NORTHWEST AND NORTH CENTRAL MISSOURI BY LATE TONIGHT.
DURING THE DAY ON THURSDAY...THE RAIN MAY NOT BE AS HEAVY...BUT ANY
ADDITIONAL RAINFALL ON TOP OF AREAS THAT RECEIVE HEAVIER AMOUNTS OF
RAIN TODAY AND TONIGHT...WILL CONTRIBUTE TO THE POSSIBILITY OF
FLOODING.
WITH THE SOIL BEING LARGELY FROZEN...THE RAINFALL WILL BE
PREDOMINANTLY RUNNING OFF INTO AREA RIVERS. TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF
1 TO 2 INCHES OVER A WIDESPREAD AREA COULD CAUSE RIVERS TO RISE ABOVE
FLOOD STAGE. AT THIS TIME...THE STRANGER CREEK...BIG CREEK...THE SOUTH
GRAND...BLACKWATER...LAMINE...MONITEAU AND PETITE SALINE RIVERS APPEAR
TO BE THE MOST SUSCEPTIBLE TO FLOODING.
PERSONS LIVING NEAR OR TRAVELING AROUND SMALLER RIVERS AND
STREAMS...AS WELL AS FLOOD PRONE AREAS ARE URGED TO MONITOR NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE FORECASTS. MORE DETAILED INFORMATION ON PARTICULAR
RIVER BASINS CAN BE FOUND ON THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WEBSITE AT
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/KC/
$$
PC

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
Issue Date: 602 AM CST WED DEC 23 2009
Expiration: 615 AM CST THU DEC 24 2009

Expires:200912241215;;
FLUS43 KEAX 231201
HWOEAX
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
601 AM CST WED DEC 23 2009
KSZ025-057-060-102>105-MOZ001>008-011>017-020>025-028>033-037>040-
043>046-053-054-241215-
ATCHISON KS-MIAMI-LINN KS-DONIPHAN-LEAVENWORTH-WYANDOTTE-
JOHNSON KS-ATCHISON MO-NODAWAY-WORTH-GENTRY-HARRISON-MERCER-
PUTNAM-SCHUYLER-HOLT-ANDREW-DE KALB-DAVIESS-GRUNDY-SULLIVAN-ADAIR-
BUCHANAN-CLINTON-CALDWELL-LIVINGSTON-LINN MO-MACON-PLATTE-CLAY-
RAY-CARROLL-CHARITON-RANDOLPH-JACKSON-LAFAYETTE-SALINE-HOWARD-
CASS-JOHNSON MO-PETTIS-COOPER-BATES-HENRY-
601 AM CST WED DEC 23 2009
THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST...NORTH CENTRAL
AND WEST CENTRAL MISSOURI...AS WELL AS EXTREME EASTERN KANSAS.
.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT
ISOLATED TO SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT AREAS GENERALLY
ALONG AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM ST JOSEPH TO BETHANY THIS MORNING AND
EARLY AFTERNOON. NO SEVERE WEATHER IS EXPECTED...HOWEVER POCKETS OF
HEAVY RAINFALL IS POSSIBLE WHICH MAY LEAD TO LOCAL MINOR FLOODING OF
SMALLER CREEKS AND STREAMS.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY
THERE IS A CHANCE OF EMBEDDED THUNDERSTORMS ONCE AGAIN EARLY THURSDAY
MORNING...GENERALLY SOUTH OF A KANSAS CITY TO KIRKSVILLE LINE. SIMILAR
TO TODAY...SEVERE WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED BUT AREAS OF HEAVY RAINFALL
WILL BE POSSIBLE. WITH RAIN TODAY SATURATING SOILS ACROSS THE OUTLOOK
AREA...ANY ADDITIONAL HEAVY RAINFALL THURSDAY MORNING COULD LEAD TO
EXCESSIVE RUNOFF AND FURTHER FLOODING OF AREA RIVERS AND STREAMS.
AS LOW PRESSURE DEEPENS OVER NORTHWEST ARKANSAS THURSDAY
AFTERNOON...AND MOVES INTO NORTHEAST MISSOURI BY THURSDAY
NIGHT...COLDER AIR WILL QUICKLY BE PULLED EAST INTO THE MAJORITY OF
THE OUTLOOK AREA. THIS WILL CAUSE A RAPID TRANSITION FROM RAIN...TO A
WINTRY MIX OF RAIN...FREEZING RAIN...SLEET...AND EVENTUALLY ALL SNOW
THROUGHOUT THE DAY THURSDAY. LOCATIONS ACROSS FAR NORTHWEST MISSOURI
WOULD BE THE FIRST TO EXPERIENCE THIS MIX OF PRECIPITATION AS EARLY AS
MIDNIGHT TONIGHT...BUT MOST LIKELY TOWARDS SUNRISE THURSDAY. MINOR
ICE AND SLEET ACCUMULATIONS WILL BE POSSIBLE THROUGHOUT THE DAYLIGHT
HOURS...BEFORE THE CHANGE OVER TO ALL SNOW BY LATE THURSDAY
AFTERNOON. LOCATIONS ALONG THE KANSAS AND MISSOURI STATE LINE MAY SEE
THIS MIX OF RAIN...SLEET...AND SNOW AS EARLY AS NOON THURSDAY...WITH
POINTS EAST THROUGH WESTERN MISSOURI EXPERIENCING THE SLEET AND SNOW
MIX LATER THURSDAY AFTERNOON. MINOR ACCUMULATIONS OF SLEET MAY BE
POSSIBLE BEFORE SWITCHING TO ALL SNOW BY EARLY THURSDAY EVENING.
SNOW WILL CONTINUE FOR MUCH OF THE OUTLOOK AREA THROUGH THURSDAY
NIGHT...AND BECOME MOST PERSISTENT ACROSS NORTHERN MISSOURI
THROUGHOUT THE DAY FRIDAY. BRIEF PERIODS OF HEAVY SNOW WILL BE
POSSIBLE...ESPECIALLY THURSDAY EVENING FOR AREAS NORTH OF THE
MISSOURI RIVER. SNOWFALL ACCUMULATIONS MAY RANGE FROM AS LITTLE AS A
COUPLE INCHES OVER CENTRAL MISSOURI...TO AS MUCH AS 10 INCHES ALONG
THE IOWA BORDER WHEN ALL IS SAID AND DONE SATURDAY MORNING.
EXACERBATING THE WINTER STORM IMPACTS WILL BE THE INTRODUCTION OF
STRONG WESTERLY TO NORTHWESTERLY WINDS WITH THE SNOWFALL. SUSTAINED
WINDS MAY REACH 30 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS ACROSS MUCH OF THE
AREA...CREATING EXTENSIVE BLOWING AND DRIFTING OF
SNOW...SIGNIFICANTLY REDUCED VISIBILITIES...AND NEAR BLIZZARD
CONDITIONS. TRAVEL MAY BECOME EXTREMELY DANGEROUS THURSDAY NIGHT AND
FRIDAY.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED...HOWEVER REPORTS OF MIXED
WINTER PRECIPITATION ONSET AND SNOWFALL TOTALS WOULD BE MUCH
APPRECIATED.
$$

WINTER STORM WATCH
Issue Date: 337 AM CST WED DEC 23 2009
Expiration: 600 PM CST FRI DEC 25 2009

...SIGNIFICANT WINTER STORM POSSIBLE THURSDAY AND FRIDAY...
.A POTENT WEATHER SYSTEM CURRENTLY OVER THE DESERT SOUTHWEST WILL
EJECT INTO THE SOUTHERN PLAINS EARLY THURSDAY...AND EVENTUALLY TURN
NORTH INTO CENTRAL MISSOURI THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY.
INITIALLY...THE ATMOSPHERE WILL BE WARM ENOUGH TO KEEP PRECIPITATION
ENTIRELY LIQUID...HOWEVER AS AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE TRAVELS FROM
CENTRAL THROUGH NORTHEAST MISSOURI...COLDER AIR WILL RAPIDLY BE
PULLED INTO EASTERN KANSAS AND WESTERN MISSOURI...CHANGING RAIN OVER
TO FREEZING RAIN...SLEET...AND SNOW. THERE REMAINS SOME UNCERTAINTY
ON THE TRACK OF THIS LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM...AND WHICH LOCATIONS WOULD
EXPERIENCE THE WORST WINTER WEATHER. HOWEVER...WITH TRAVEL PEAKING
DURING THE HOLIDAY...VERY SIGNIFICANT IMPACTS MAY BE POSSIBLE OVER
MUCH OF THE AREA.
MOZ005>007-014>016-022>024-029>032-037>039-043>045-053-054-231745-
/O.NEW.KEAX.WS.A.0004.091224T1800Z-091226T0000Z/
HARRISON-MERCER-PUTNAM-DAVIESS-GRUNDY-SULLIVAN-CALDWELL-
LIVINGSTON-LINN MO-CLAY-RAY-CARROLL-CHARITON-JACKSON-LAFAYETTE-
SALINE-CASS-JOHNSON MO-PETTIS-BATES-HENRY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BETHANY...PRINCETON...UNIONVILLE...
GALLATIN...JAMESPORT...TRENTON...MILAN...GREEN CITY...HAMILTON...
POLO...CHILLICOTHE...BROOKFIELD...LIBERTY...EXCELSIOR SPRINGS...
RICHMOND...CARROLLTON...SALISBURY...KEYTESVILLE...KANSAS CITY...
INDEPENDENCE...LEXINGTON...CONCORDIA...MARSHALL...RAYMORE...
HARRISONVILLE...PLEASANT HILL...WARRENSBURG...SEDALIA...BUTLER...
RICH HILL...CLINTON
337 AM CST WED DEC 23 2009
...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
FRIDAY AFTERNOON...
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL HAS
ISSUED A WINTER STORM WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY
AFTERNOON THROUGH FRIDAY AFTERNOON.
* RAIN MAY CHANGE TO A MIX OF SLEET AND SNOW AS EARLY AS THURSDAY
AFTERNOON...BEFORE TRANSITIONING TO ALL SNOW BY THURSDAY EVENING.
* MINOR SLEET ACCUMULATIONS WILL BE POSSIBLE THROUGH THURSDAY
AFTERNOON...BEFORE THE RAPIDLY CHANGE OVER TO SNOW. AFTER CHANGING
TO SNOW BY THURSDAY EVENING...TOTAL SNOWFALL ACCUMULATIONS THROUGH
FRIDAY AFTERNOON MAY BE IN THE 3 TO 9 INCH RANGE.
* STRONG NORTHWEST TO WEST WINDS WILL DEVELOP THURSDAY AFTERNOON
THROUGH FRIDAY...WITH SUSTAINED WINDS POSSIBLY REACHING 30 MPH WITH
A FEW HIGHER GUSTS. THIS WILL CREATE EXTENSIVE BLOWING AND DRIFTING
OF SNOW AND NEAR BLIZZARD CONDITIONS.
* TRAVEL MAY BECOME EXTREMELY DANGEROUS LATE THURSDAY AFTERNOON
THROUGH FRIDAY...WITH PERIODS OF HEAVY SNOW POSSIBLE AND
SIGNIFICANTLY REDUCED VISIBILITIES. PERSONS PLANNING ON TRAVELING
FOR THE HOLIDAY SHOULD EITHER LEAVE TODAY...OR MAKE ALTERNATIVE
PLANS.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
A WINTER STORM WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT
SNOW...SLEET...OR ICE ACCUMULATIONS THAT MAY IMPACT TRAVEL.
CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE LATEST FORECASTS.
$$
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