HYDROLOGIC OUTLOOK
Issue Date: 522 AM CST TUE DEC 22 2009
Expiration: 530 PM CST TUE DEC 22 2009 ...LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL AND FLOODING POSSIBLE WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY...
A POTENT STORM SYSTEM WILL MOVE TOWARDS EASTERN KANSAS AND MISSOURI
THIS WEEK...PULLING AN UNSEASONABLY WARM MOIST AIR MASS INTO THE
REGION. PERIODS OF MODERATE TO HEAVY RAINFALL ARE POSSIBLE BOTH
WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY...ALONG WITH A FEW ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS.
RAINFALL AMOUNTS WILL BE ENHANCED IN ANY OF THESE THUNDERSTORMS...AND
COULD LEAD TO FLOODING CONCERNS ON SMALLER RIVERS AND STREAMS.
THERE IS THE POTENTIAL FOR IN EXCESS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES OF TOTAL
RAINFALL ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE OUTLOOK AREA. WITH DORMANT VEGETATION
AND LARGELY FROZEN SOILS...THIS AMOUNT OF RAINFALL WOULD LEAD TO
EXCESS RUNOFF INTO AREA RIVERS AND STREAMS. THERE REMAINS SOME
UNCERTAINTY AS TO THE TOTAL POSSIBLE RAINFALL AMOUNTS...AND AREAS
MOST LIKELY TO RECEIVE HEAVIER RAINFALL. HOWEVER AT THIS TIME...BIG
CREEK...BLACKWATER...SOUTH GRAND...PETITE SALINE...MONITEAU...AND
LAMINE RIVER BASINS APPEAR MOST SUSCEPTIBLE.
PERSONS LIVING NEAR OR TRAVELING AROUND SMALLER RIVERS AND
STREAMS...AS WELL AS FLOOD PRONE AREAS ARE URGED TO MONITOR NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE FORECASTS THIS WEEK. MORE DETAILED INFORMATION ON
PARTICULAR RIVER BASINS CAN BE FOUND ON THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
WEBSITE AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/KC/
$$
21
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
Issue Date: 604 AM CST TUE DEC 22 2009
Expiration: 615 AM CST WED DEC 23 2009 Expires:200912231215;;
FLUS43 KEAX 221202
HWOEAX
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
602 AM CST TUE DEC 22 2009
KSZ025-057-060-102>105-MOZ001>008-011>017-020>025-028>033-037>040-
043>046-053-054-231215-
ATCHISON KS-MIAMI-LINN KS-DONIPHAN-LEAVENWORTH-WYANDOTTE-
JOHNSON KS-ATCHISON MO-NODAWAY-WORTH-GENTRY-HARRISON-MERCER-
PUTNAM-SCHUYLER-HOLT-ANDREW-DE KALB-DAVIESS-GRUNDY-SULLIVAN-ADAIR-
BUCHANAN-CLINTON-CALDWELL-LIVINGSTON-LINN MO-MACON-PLATTE-CLAY-
RAY-CARROLL-CHARITON-RANDOLPH-JACKSON-LAFAYETTE-SALINE-HOWARD-
CASS-JOHNSON MO-PETTIS-COOPER-BATES-HENRY-
602 AM CST TUE DEC 22 2009
THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST...NORTH CENTRAL
AND WEST CENTRAL MISSOURI...AS WELL AS EXTREME EASTERN KANSAS.
.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT
FREEZING DRIZZLE OR VERY LIGHT FREEZING RAIN MAY BE POSSIBLE LATER
THIS MORNING THROUGH TONIGHT ACROSS FAR NORTHERN MISSOURI...GENERALLY
NORTH OF HIGHWAY 36. ONLY VERY MINOR ACCUMULATIONS APPEAR
POSSIBLE...PRIMARILY ON EXPOSED SURFACES SUCH AS TREES AND CARS.
EMBEDDED ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS MAY BE POSSIBLE LATE TONIGHT SOUTH OF
THE MISSOURI RIVER. SEVERE WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY
EMBEDDED ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE BOTH WEDNESDAY
MORNING...AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING...GENERALLY
ALONG AND SOUTH OF THE MISSOURI RIVER. NO SEVERE WEATHER IS
EXPECTED...HOWEVER ANY OF THE STORMS WOULD LIKELY CAUSE LOCALLY HEAVY
RAINFALL. WITH MUCH OF THE GROUND PARTIALLY OR TOTALLY FROZEN...ANY
HEAVY RAINFALL MAY QUICKLY LEAD TO FLOODING CONCERNS ON SMALLER
RIVERS AND STREAMS. LOCATIONS TOWARDS CENTRAL MISSOURI APPEAR MOST
SUSCEPTIBLE TO EXCESSIVE RAINFALL.
THE HEART OF THE STORM SYSTEM RESPONSIBLE FOR THE RAINFALL IS
EXPECTED TO PASS INTO NORTHERN MISSOURI THURSDAY EVENING. THIS SHOULD
CAUSE A RAPID TRANSITION FROM RAIN TO SNOW...FIRST OCCURRING OVER
NORTHWEST MISSOURI AND EASTERN KANSAS...THEN QUICKLY PROGRESSING EAST
ACROSS THE ENTIRE OUTLOOK AREA THURSDAY EVENING. IT STILL APPEARS
THAT THE BEST POTENTIAL FOR HEAVY SNOW ACCUMULATIONS WILL FALL ACROSS
THE NORTHWEST CORNER OF MISSOURI...WITH LESSER ACCUMULATIONS FROM
EAST CENTRAL KANSAS THROUGH NORTHEAST MISSOURI. PERIODIC SNOW SHOWERS
MAY CONTINUE THROUGH THE DAY ON FRIDAY...CONTRIBUTING TO ADDITIONAL
MINOR ACCUMULATIONS.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED...HOWEVER REPORTS OF FREEZING
DRIZZLE AND FREEZING RAIN WOULD BE APPRECIATED TODAY AND TONIGHT. IN
ADDITION...SNOWFALL ACCUMULATIONS LATER THIS WEEK WOULD BE WELCOME.
$$
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