HYDROLOGIC OUTLOOK
Issue Date: 851 PM CST MON NOV 30 2009
Expiration: 800 PM CST THU DEC 03 2009

...RIVER FLOOD OUTLOOK FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTH ALABAMA AND
THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE...
MODERATE TO HEAVY RAINFALL THAT IS FORECAST OVER SOUTH ALABAMA AND THE
FLORIDA PANHANDLE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS WILL QUICKLY RUN OFF ALREADY
SATURATED SOILS. WIDESPREAD BASIN-AVERAGED RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES
WITH LOCALIZED AMOUNTS OF 5 TO 7 INCHES MAY CAUSE RIVERS
AND STREAMS TO RISE TO LEVELS THAT RESULT IN FLOODING.
THIS RIVER FLOOD OUTLOOK IS IN EFFECT DUE TO THE POTENTIAL FOR...
- MINOR FLOODING ON THE YELLOW RIVER NEAR MILLIGAN
- MINOR FLOODING ON THE CONECUH RIVER NEAR BREWTON
- MINOR FLOODING ON THE MURDER CREEK NEAR BREWTON
- MINOR FLOODING ON THE ESCAMBIA RIVER NEAR CENTURY
- MODERATE FLOODING ON THE SHOAL RIVER NEAR CRESTVIEW
- MINOR FLOODING ON THE BLACKWATER RIVER NEAR BAKER
- MINOR FLOODING ON THE BIG COLDWATER CREEK NEAR MILTON
- MINOR FLOODING ON THE PERDIDO RIVER NEAR BARRINEAU PARK
- MODERATE FLOODING ON THE STYX RIVER NEAR ELSANOR
- MINOR FLOODING ON THE FISH RIVER NEAR SILVERHILL
A RIVER FLOOD OUTLOOK MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR RIVER
FLOODING...BUT IT IS NOT IMMINENT.  FORECAST RAINFALL MAY CAUSE
RIVERS AND STREAMS TO RISE TO CRITICAL STAGES.  PERSONS WITH
INTERESTS ALONG THE AREAS MENTIONED ABOVE SHOULD REMAIN INFORMED
OF THE LATEST WEATHER AND RIVER INFORMATION AND BE PREPARED TO
TAKE ACTION AS NECESSARY.  PLEASE REFER TO NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE RIVER FLOOD WARNINGS AND STATEMENTS FOR THE LATEST
INFORMATION IN YOUR AREA.
$$

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
Issue Date: 1226 AM CST WED DEC 02 2009
Expiration: 1100 AM CST WED DEC 02 2009

Expires:200912021700;;
FLUS44 KMOB 020625 AAA
HWOMOB
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
1145 PM CST TUE DEC 1 2009
ALZ051>064-FLZ001>006-GMZ630-650-655-670-675-MSZ067-075-076-078-
079-021700-
CHOCTAW-WASHINGTON-CLARKE-WILCOX-MONROE-CONECUH-BUTLER-CRENSHAW-
ESCAMBIA-COVINGTON-UPPER MOBILE-UPPER BALDWIN-LOWER MOBILE-
LOWER BALDWIN-INLAND ESCAMBIA-COASTAL ESCAMBIA-INLAND SANTA ROSA-
COASTAL SANTA ROSA-INLAND OKALOOSA-COASTAL OKALOOSA-MOBILE BAY-
COASTAL WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM-WAYNE-PERRY-
GREENE-STONE-GEORGE-
1145 PM CST TUE DEC 1 2009
THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST
MISSISSIPPI...SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH CENTRAL ALABAMA...THE WESTERN
FLORIDA PANHANDLE...AND THE ADJACENT GULF COASTAL WATERS OF ALABAMA
AND NORTHWEST FLORIDA.
.DAY ONE...TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY.
PRIMARY LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM JUST OFFSHORE OF SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA
LATE THIS EVENING...WITH SMALLER MESO LOW NOTED JUST OFF THE
MISSISSIPPI COAST. THE MESO LOW IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN AS IT MOVES
NORTHEAST TONIGHT...WITH THE PRIMARY LOW LIFTING NORTHEAST ACROSS
EASTERN LOUISIANA AND INTO MISSISSIPPI THROUGH MID MORNING
WEDNESDAY. AS THIS OCCURS...THIS WEATHER SYSTEM WILL BRING A VARIETY
OF HAZARDS TO THE REGION.
WITH THE LOW FORECAST TO TRACK TO THE WEST OF THE LOCAL AREA...WARM
MOIST AIR WILL BEGIN TO MOVE NORTH LATE TONIGHT...CREATING AN
INCREASINGLY UNSTABLE ATMOSPHERE...ESPECIALLY TOWARD SUNRISE. LARGE
AREA OF RAIN WITH ISOLATED TO SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS...PRIMARILY
OVER COASTAL COUNTIES OF ALABAMA AND FLORIDA AND OFFSHORE GULF
WATERS WILL MOVE INLAND LATER TONIGHT. ANOTHER ROUND OF RAIN WITH
EMBEDDED STORMS WILL ALSO BE APPROACHING FROM THE WEST LATE TONIGHT.
BOTH OF THESE AREAS WILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL FOR A FEW STORMS TO
BECOME SEVERE ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE FORECAST AREA...PRIMARILY SOUTH
OF HIGHWAY 84 AND FURTHER SOUTH TOWARD THE COAST. THE BEST THREAT
WILL CONTINUE TO EXIST CLOSER TO THE COASTLINE...WHERE A GREATER
AMOUNT OF INSTABILITY WILL BE ABLE TO DEVELOP. THERE REMAINS A RISK
OF AN ISOLATED TORNADO AND DAMAGING WIND GUSTS WITH ANY SEVERE
THUNDERSTORM THAT DEVELOPS...ESPECIALLY AFTER ABOUT 4 AM.
THERE IS THE POTENTIAL FOR VERY HEAVY RAINFALL STILL EXISTS...
ESPECIALLY ALONG AND SOUTHEAST OF INTERSTATE 65. MOST LOCATIONS WILL
SEE RAINFALL TOTALS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS
POSSIBLE. EARLIER FORECAST OF LOCALIZED 5 TO 8 INCHES OF RAINFALL
LOOK TO BE SOMEWHAT HIGH...BUT WITH THE NEXT ROUND TO THE WEST
EXPECTED TO MOVE IN LATE TONIGHT AND EARLY WEDNESDAY...AN ADDITIONAL
3 TO 5 INCHES COULD STILL OCCUR ACROSS PARTS OF THE FORECAST AREA. A
FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT.
WINDS HAVE INCREASED THIS EVENING...WITH GUSTS OF 30 TO 35 KNOTS
COMMON ALONG THE COAST. SOME GUSTS TO AS HIGH AS 49 KNOTS HAVE
OCCURRED IN ASSOCIATION WITH SOME OF THE STRONGER CONVECTION. WE
EXPECT THAT SIMILAR WIND SPEEDS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE REMAINDER
OF THE NIGHT...BUT THE WIND DIRECTION WILL BE CHANGING FROM EASTERLY
TO MORE OF A SOUTHERLY DIRECTION THROUGH THE EARLY MORNING HOURS.
AS WINDS TURN MORE SOUTHERLY...THE THREAT OF COASTAL FLOODING WILL
INCREASE...EVEN THOUGH THE TIMES OF ASTRONOMICAL HIGH TIDES OCCURRED
EARLIER IN THE EVENING. AT MIDNIGHT...TIDES WERE RUNNING ABOUT 2
FEET ABOVE PREDICTED LEVELS AT MOST LOCATIONS. TOTAL TIDE HEIGHTS OF
3 TO 5 FEET WILL BE POSSIBLE WEST OF PENSACOLA...WITH TOTAL TIDE
HEIGHTS EAST OF PENSACOLA TO DESTIN RANGING FROM 2 TO 3 FEET. A
COASTAL FLOOD WARNING IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM WEDNESDAY. IN ADDITION
TO THE HIGH WATER LEVELS...A LARGE POUNDING SURF WILL OCCUR TONIGHT
THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING.
HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE FOR SMALL CRAFT...WITH FREQUENT
GUSTS TO GALE FORCE OVER THE MARINE THROUGH EARLY WEDNESDAY.
OFFSHORE WAVE HEIGHTS HAVE BUILT TO NEAR 12 FEET THIS EVENING...AND
MAY CLIMB TO AROUND 15 FEET LATE TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY. GALE
WARNINGS ARE IN EFFECT.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.
A FEW STRONG OR POSSIBLY SEVERE STORMS MAY BE OCCURRING OVER THE
NORTHWEST FLORIDA PANHANDLE AND SOUTH CENTRAL ALABAMA EARLY
WEDNESDAY...BUT THE WEATHER WILL IMPROVE BY MIDDAY AS THE LOW
QUICKLY MOVES NORTHEAST OF THE REGION.
OVER THE MARINE AREA...THE STRONG WINDS WILL GRADUALLY DIMINISH
DURING THE DAY WEDNESDAY BUT SMALL CRAFT ADVISORIES WILL BE NEEDED
AFTER GALE CONDITIONS EASE ON WEDNESDAY. WAVE HEIGHTS WILL SUBSIDE
BELOW 7 FEET BY THURSDAY AFTERNOON. NORTHERLY WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO
INCREASE AGAIN LATER IN THE WEEK...CREATING HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS FOR
SMALL CRAFT AGAIN.
A STRONG HIGH PRESSURE SYSTEM BUILDS INTO THE REGION LATER IN THE
WEEK AND BRINGS THE RISK OF FREEZING TEMPERATURES BOTH FRIDAY AND
SATURDAY MORNINGS.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT FOR SEVERE
WEATHER MAY BE REQUIRED TONIGHT TRHOUGH EARLY WEDNESDAY.
$$

WIND ADVISORY
Issue Date: 316 PM CST TUE DEC 01 2009
Expiration: 1200 PM CST WED DEC 02 2009

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH NOON WEDNESDAY FOR PORTIONS OF
SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH CENTRAL ALABAMA AND ALL OF THE NORTHWEST FLORIDA
PANHANDLE...
.A STRENGTHENING LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM OVER THE WESTERN GULF WILL MOVE
NORTHEAST TOWARD THE NORTH CENTRAL GULF COAST TONIGHT. AS THE LOW
APPROACHES...WINDS WILL INCREASE ACROSS THE REGION...ESPECIALLY ALONG
AND TO THE EAST OF THE LOW TRACK. SUSTAINED WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 15
TO 25 MPH WITH FREQUENT GUSTS TO NEAR 40 MPH ALONG THE COAST AND NEAR
30 MPH INLAND.
ALZ055>064-FLZ001>006-020600-
/O.NEW.KMOB.WI.Y.0006.091202T0000Z-091202T1800Z/
MONROE-CONECUH-BUTLER-CRENSHAW-ESCAMBIA-COVINGTON-UPPER MOBILE-
UPPER BALDWIN-LOWER MOBILE-LOWER BALDWIN-INLAND ESCAMBIA-
COASTAL ESCAMBIA-INLAND SANTA ROSA-COASTAL SANTA ROSA-
INLAND OKALOOSA-COASTAL OKALOOSA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...HOMEWOOD...MONROEVILLE...EVERGREEN...
GREENVILLE...LUVERNE...BRANTLEY...ATMORE...BREWTON...
EAST BREWTON...ANDALUSIA...OPP...MOBILE...PRICHARD...SARALAND...
BAY MINETTE...TILLMANS CORNER...THEODORE...DAPHNE...FAIRHOPE...
FOLEY...SPANISH FORT...CENTURY...FLOMATON...MOLINO...PENSACOLA...
FERRY PASS...BRENT...WEST PENSACOLA...BELLVIEW...ENSLEY...
MYRTLE GROVE...JAY...PACE...MILTON...CRESTVIEW...WRIGHT...
SEMINOLE...EGLIN AFB...VALPARAISO
316 PM CST TUE DEC 1 2009
...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO NOON CST
WEDNESDAY...
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOBILE HAS ISSUED A WIND
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO NOON CST
WEDNESDAY.
A STRENGTHENING LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM OVER THE WESTERN GULF WILL MOVE
NORTHEAST TOWARD THE NORTH CENTRAL GULF COAST TONIGHT. AS THE LOW
APPROACHES...WINDS WILL INCREASE ACROSS THE REGION...ESPECIALLY ALONG
AND TO THE EAST OF THE LOW TRACK. SUSTAINED WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 15
TO 25 MPH TONIGHT WITH FREQUENT GUSTS TO NEAR 40 MPH ALONG THE COAST
AND NEAR 30 MPH INLAND. WINDS WILL GRADUALLY SUBSIDE BY LATE
WEDNESDAY MORNING AS THE LOW MOVES QUICKLY NORTHEAST...BUT BREEZY
CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST THROUGH WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WINDS OR FREQUENT GUSTS OF 25
TO 39 MPH ARE EXPECTED. WINDS THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING
DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. USE EXTRA CAUTION.
IN ADDITION...IT IS ALSO A GOOD IDEA TO SECURE ANY LOOSE OUTDOOR
OBJECTS SUCH A TRASH CANS...PATIO FURNITURE...AND HOLIDAY
DECORATIONS.
$$

FLASH FLOOD WATCH
Issue Date: 354 PM CST MON NOV 30 2009
Expiration: 1200 PM CST WED DEC 02 2009

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH
CENTRAL ALABAMA AND ALL OF THE NORTHWEST FLORIDA PANHANDLE FROM
TUESDAY EVENING THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING...
.A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO DEVELOP OVER THE WESTERN GULF
OF MEXICO EARLY TUESDAY AND TRACK TOWARD THE NORTHERN GULF COAST TUESDAY
NIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY MORNING. AS THE LOW MOVES NORTHEAST TOWARD THE
REGION...IT WILL ALLOW A WARM FRONT TO MOVE INLAND. THIS BOUNDARY
ALONG WITH THE STRENGTHENING LOW WILL RESULT IN THE POTENTIAL FOR
VERY HEAVY RAINFALL...ESPECIALLY ALONG AND SOUTHEAST OF THE
INTERSTATE 65 CORRIDOR. MOST LOCATIONS WILL SEE RAINFALL TOTALS OF 2
TO 4 INCHES WITH BANDS OF 5 TO 8 INCHES POSSIBLE.
ALZ055>064-FLZ001>006-011100-
/O.NEW.KMOB.FF.A.0010.091202T0000Z-091202T1800Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
MONROE-CONECUH-BUTLER-CRENSHAW-ESCAMBIA-COVINGTON-UPPER MOBILE-
UPPER BALDWIN-LOWER MOBILE-LOWER BALDWIN-INLAND ESCAMBIA-
COASTAL ESCAMBIA-INLAND SANTA ROSA-COASTAL SANTA ROSA-
INLAND OKALOOSA-COASTAL OKALOOSA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...HOMEWOOD...MONROEVILLE...EVERGREEN...
GREENVILLE...LUVERNE...BRANTLEY...ATMORE...BREWTON...
EAST BREWTON...ANDALUSIA...OPP...MOBILE...PRICHARD...SARALAND...
BAY MINETTE...TILLMANS CORNER...THEODORE...DAPHNE...FAIRHOPE...
FOLEY...SPANISH FORT...CENTURY...FLOMATON...MOLINO...PENSACOLA...
FERRY PASS...BRENT...WEST PENSACOLA...BELLVIEW...ENSLEY...
MYRTLE GROVE...JAY...PACE...MILTON...CRESTVIEW...WRIGHT...
SEMINOLE...EGLIN AFB...VALPARAISO
354 PM CST MON NOV 30 2009
...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY EVENING THROUGH
WEDNESDAY MORNING...
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOBILE HAS ISSUED A
* FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF ALABAMA AND NORTHWEST
FLORIDA...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS...IN ALABAMA...
BUTLER...CONECUH...COVINGTON...CRENSHAW...ESCAMBIA...LOWER
BALDWIN...LOWER MOBILE...MONROE...UPPER BALDWIN AND UPPER
MOBILE. IN NORTHWEST FLORIDA...COASTAL ESCAMBIA...COASTAL
OKALOOSA...COASTAL SANTA ROSA...INLAND ESCAMBIA...INLAND
OKALOOSA AND INLAND SANTA ROSA.
* FROM TUESDAY EVENING THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING
* A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO DEVELOP OVER THE WESTERN GULF
OF MEXICO EARLY TUESDAY AND TRACK TOWARD THE NORTHERN GULF COAST
TUESDAY NIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY MORNING. AS THE LOW MOVES NORTHEAST
TOWARD THE REGION...IT WILL ALLOW A WARM FRONT TO MOVE INLAND. THIS
BOUNDARY ALONG WITH THE STRENGTHENING LOW WILL RESULT IN THE
POTENTIAL FOR VERY HEAVY RAINFALL...ESPECIALLY ALONG AND SOUTHEAST
OF THE INTERSTATE 65 CORRIDOR. MOST LOCATIONS WILL SEE RAINFALL
TOTALS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES WITH BANDS OF 5 TO 8 INCHES POSSIBLE.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD
TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION.
YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION
SHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED.
$$