HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
Issue Date: 453 AM CST TUE DEC 01 2009
Expiration: 500 AM CST WED DEC 02 2009

/453 AM CST TUE DEC 1 2009/
THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHEAST ALABAMA...
SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH CENTRAL GEORGIA...AND THE FLORIDA BIG BEND
AND PANHANDLE...AND ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS.
.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT...
A STRONG AREA OF LOW PRESSURE WILL DEVELOP OVER THE WESTERN GULF
OF MEXICO LATER TODAY. THIS AREA OF LOW PRESSURE WILL TRACK
NORTHEASTWARD TOWARD THE CENTRAL GULF STATES AND BEGIN TO SPREAD
AN AREA OF RAIN OVER OUR REGION LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING.
AS A WARM FRONTAL BOUNDARY LIFTS NORTHWARD ACROSS THE REGION
TONIGHT...THE POTENTIAL WILL INCREASE FOR SEVERE WEATHER ALONG THE
FLORIDA PANHANDLE COAST AND POSSIBLY SPREADING INTO EXTREME
SOUTHEASTERN ALABAMA. THE PREDOMINANT THREAT WITH ANY STORMS
MOVING ASHORE WILL BE ISOLATED TORNADOES AND DAMAGING WINDS.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY...
THIS SAME STORM SYSTEM WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT THE REGION ON
WEDNESDAY. A SWATH OF VERY HEAVY RAIN IS ANTICIPATED WITH THIS
SYSTEM. RAINFALL TOTALS THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT COULD REACH 6 OR
MORE INCHES IN SOME AREAS AND AS A RESULT A FLASH FLOOD WATCH HAS
BEEN ISSUED FOR A LARGE PORTION OF THE REGION. IN ADDITION VERY
STRONG SOUTHERLY WINDS ARE EXPECTED OVER THE COASTAL WATERS
BEGINNING EARLY WEDNESDAY AND CONTINUING THROUGH THE DAY. AS A
RESULT A GALE WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THIS TIME PERIOD. THESE
WINDS WILL CREATE VERY HAZARDOUS MARINE CONDITIONS...AS WELL AS
THE POSSIBILITY OF HIGH SURF...LIFE THREATENING RIP CURRENTS...BEACH
EROSION...AND COASTAL FLOODING.
BASED ON THE LATEST FORECAST TRACK OF THE STORM...STORM TIDES
OF 4 TO 7 FEET ARE EXPECTED FROM WAKULLA COUNTY EASTWARD DURING
THE TIMES OF HIGH TIDE BOTH WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND WEDNESDAY
NIGHT. STORM TIDES OF 3 TO 4 FEET WILL BE POSSIBLE FROM FRANKLIN
COUNTY WESTWARD. WHILE STORM TIDES MAY NOT BE AS HIGH ALONG THE
PANHANDLE COASTLINE...LARGE AND BATTERING SURF IS EXPECTED...WHICH
MAY RESULT IN BEACH EROSION AND WASH OUT VULNERABLE COASTAL
ROADWAYS.
AS THE LOW PRESSURE AREA APPROACHES AND THEN MOVES NORTH OF THE
FORECAST AREA ON WEDNESDAY...A MODESTLY UNSTABLE AIR MASS IS
ANTICIPATED TO MOVE INLAND. THIS INSTABILITY WILL COMBINE WITH
STRONG WIND SHEAR TO PROMOTE THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SQUALL LINE OF
STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS. DAMAGING STRAIGHT LINE
WINDS...LARGE HAIL AND ISOLATED TORNADOES WILL ALL BE POSSIBLE
WITH THIS SCENARIO. THIS SQUALL LINE SHOULD EXIT EAST OF THE
REGION DURING WEDNESDAY NIGHT.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED LATE TONIGHT AND
CONTINUING INTO WEDNESDAY.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION...VISIT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
WEBSITE ON THE INTERNET AT WEATHER.GOV...THEN CLICK ON YOUR AREA
OF INTEREST ON THE NATIONAL MAP.
$$

FLASH FLOOD WATCH
Issue Date: 320 AM CST TUE DEC 01 2009
Expiration: 1200 AM CST THU DEC 03 2009

...A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM EST (9 PM CST)
THIS EVENING UNTIL 1 AM EST (MIDNIGHT CST) THURSDAY MORNING FOR
SOUTHEAST ALABAMA THE EASTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE SOUTHWESTERN
GEORGIA AND THE WESTERN FLORIDA BIG BEND...
ALZ065>069-FLZ007>018-026-027-GAZ120>127-142>146-155>158-021100-
/O.NEW.KTAE.FF.A.0003.091202T0300Z-091203T0600Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
COFFEE-DALE-HENRY-GENEVA-HOUSTON-INLAND WALTON-COASTAL WALTON-
HOLMES-WASHINGTON-JACKSON-BAY-CALHOUN-GULF-FRANKLIN-GADSDEN-LEON-
JEFFERSON-LIBERTY-WAKULLA-QUITMAN-CLAY-RANDOLPH-TERRELL-DOUGHERTY-
LEE-WORTH-EARLY-MILLER-BAKER-MITCHELL-COLQUITT-SEMINOLE-DECATUR-
GRADY-THOMAS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ENTERPRISE...OZARK...FORT RUCKER...
DALEVILLE...HEADLAND...ABBEVILLE...GENEVA...HARTFORD...SAMSON...
SLOCOMB...MALVERN...TAYLOR...ASHFORD...KINSEY...COWARTS...WEBB...
COTTONWOOD...REHOBETH...DE FUNIAK SPRINGS...INWOOD...HUDSON...
BONIFAY...CRYSTAL LAKE...CHIPLEY...FIVE POINTS...MARIANNA...
GRACEVILLE...MALONE...SNEADS...PANAMA CITY...CALLAWAY...
LYNN HAVEN...UPPER GRAND LAGOON...BLOUNTSTOWN...WHITE CITY...
PORT ST. JOE...WEWAHITCHKA...APALACHICOLA...CARRABELLE...QUINCY...
CHATTAHOOCHEE...TALLAHASSEE...SPRING HILL...MONTICELLO...
SWEETWATER...SOPCHOPPY...ST. MARKS...GEORGETOWN...FORT GAINES...
CUTHBERT...SHELLMAN...ARLINGTON...MORGAN...EDISON...LEARY...
DAWSON...ALBANY...LEESBURG...SMITHVILLE...SYLVESTER...
DOUGLASVILLE...BLAKELY...COLQUITT...NEWTON...CAMILLA...PELHAM...
MOULTRIE...DONALSONVILLE...BAINBRIDGE...CAIRO...THOMASVILLE
420 AM EST TUE DEC 1 2009 /320 AM CST TUE DEC 1 2009/
...A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH
LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TALLAHASSEE HAS ISSUED A
* FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST ALABAMA...FLORIDA
AND GEORGIA...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS...IN SOUTHEAST
ALABAMA...COFFEE...DALE...GENEVA...HENRY AND HOUSTON. IN
FLORIDA...BAY...CALHOUN...COASTAL WALTON...FRANKLIN...
GADSDEN...GULF...HOLMES...INLAND WALTON...JACKSON...
JEFFERSON...LEON...LIBERTY...WAKULLA AND WASHINGTON. IN
GEORGIA...BAKER...CALHOUN...CLAY...COLQUITT...DECATUR...
DOUGHERTY...EARLY...GRADY...LEE...MILLER...MITCHELL...
QUITMAN...RANDOLPH...SEMINOLE...TERRELL...THOMAS AND WORTH.
* FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT
* HEAVY RAINFALL IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP ACROSS THE REGION TONIGHT
AND SPREAD ACROSS THE REGION ON WEDNESDAY AHEAD OF A STRONG AREA
OF LOW PRESSURE MOVING ACROSS THE NORTHERN GULF OF MEXICO.
RAINFALL AMOUNTS WILL LIKELY BE HEAVIEST ALONG AND WEST OF A
LINE FROM ALBANY TO TALLAHASSEE. IN THESE LOCATIONS ACROSS
SOUTHEAST ALABAMA AND THE EASTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE...STORM
TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 4 TO 6 INCHES WITH LOCALLY HIGHER
AMOUNTS UP TO 8 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE. FURTHER WEST...LESSER
AMOUNTS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS SOUTHWESTERN
GEORGIA AND THE WESTERN FLORIDA BIG BEND.
* AS SOME OF THIS RAIN IS EXPECTED TO OCCUR IN A VERY SHORT
PERIOD OF TIME...THE POTENTIAL EXISTS FOR FLASH FLOODING IN
URBANIZED OR POORLY DRAINING AREAS ON WEDNESDAY AS A SQUALL LINE
MOVES THROUGH THE REGION.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT HEAVY RAINFALL IS POSSIBLE WHICH
COULD LEAD TO FLOODING OF URBANIZED OR LOW LYING AREAS. NEVER
ATTEMPT TO DRIVE THROUGH AN AREA THAT IS FLOODED. THE DEPTH OF THE
WATER MAY BE TOO GREAT FOR YOUR CAR TO PASS SAFELY.
REMEMBER...TURN AROUND...DON`T DROWN.
MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD
FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED.
$$
GODSEY

HYDROLOGIC OUTLOOK
Issue Date: 418 PM CST MON NOV 30 2009
Expiration: 330 PM CST TUE DEC 01 2009

/418 PM CST MON NOV 30 2009/
..GULF COAST STORM TO BRING HEAVY RAINS AND POTENTIAL RIVER FLOODING...
SOIL CONDITIONS ARE WET ACROSS THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE...ALABAMA AND
MUCH OF GEORGIA HAS KEPT RIVER FLOWS NEAR OR ABOVE NORMAL ACROSS
THE AREA THE PAST TWO MONTHS.
BEGINNING TUESDAY EVENING...A STRONG WET STORM WILL DEVELOP ALONG THE GULF
COAST. EXTREMELY HEAVY RAINFALL IS LIKELY OVER SOUTHEAST ALABAMA...THE
FLORIDA PANHANDLE AND SOUTHWEST GEORGIA AS THIS SYSTEM UNFOLDS.
HEAVY RAINFALL WILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO GENERATE RAPID LOCAL
RISES ON SMALL CREEKS AND STREAMS AND RAPID RISES ON MAINSTEM
RIVERS ACROSS THE AREA.
BY WEDNESDAY...THE PEA...YELLOW...CHOCTAWHATCHEE...CHATTAHOOCHEE
AND FLINT RIVERS DRAINAGES AND SMALLER DRAINAGES SUCH AS
MOSSYHEAD...SPRING CREEK AND OTHERS ACROSS THE AREA MAY EXPERIENCE
SHARP RAPID RISES REACHING OR EXCEEDING CRITICAL STAGES.
SIGNIFICANT ROUTED FLOWS ON THE CHATTAHOOCHEE AND FLINT RIVER
DRAINAGES WILL ALSO OCCUR LATER THIS WEEK PARTICULARLY IF HEAVY
RAIN FALL REACHES THE WETTER CENTRAL AND NORTH GEORGIA BASINS.
RESULTING FLOWS FROM THE CHATTAHOOCHEE AND FLINT BASINS WILL
LIKELY GENERATE HIGH FLOWS ON THE APALACHICOLA RIVER LATER THIS
WEEK AND NEXT WEEK.
PERSONS WITH INTERESTS ALONG THE AREAS MENTIONED ABOVE SHOULD
REMAIN INFORMED OF THE LATEST WEATHER AND RIVER INFORMATION AND BE
PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION AS NECESSARY. PLEASE REFER TO NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE RIVER FLOOD WARNINGS AND STATEMENTS FOR THE LATEST
INFORMATION IN YOUR AREA.
A FLOOD WATCH WILL LIKELY BE ISSUED TUESDAY MORNING FOR THE AREAS
THAT ARE EXPECTED TO BE AFFECTED.
THE HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK PRODUCT WILL BE UPDATED WITH THE
LATEST INFORMATION TONIGHT. ANOTHER SOURCE OF CURRENT WEATHER
INFORMATION FOR THE AREA IS ON OUR WEB PAGE AT:
WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/TAE/.
$$
LANIER