HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
Issue Date: 453 AM EST TUE DEC 01 2009
Expiration: 445 PM EST TUE DEC 01 2009

Expires:200912012145;;
FLUS42 KTBW 010945
HWOTBW
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY RUSKIN FL
445 AM EST TUE DEC 1 2009
FLZ039-042-043-048>052-055>057-060>062-065-GMZ830-850-853-856-870-
873-876-012145-
LEVY-CITRUS-SUMTER-HERNANDO-PASCO-PINELLAS-HILLSBOROUGH-POLK-
MANATEE-HARDEE-HIGHLANDS-SARASOTA-DE SOTO-CHARLOTTE-LEE-
TAMPA BAY WATERS-TARPON SPRINGS TO SUWANNEE RIVER OUT 20 NM-
ENGLEWOOD TO TARPON SPRINGS OUT 20 NM-
BONITA BEACH TO ENGLEWOOD OUT 20 NM-
TARPON SPRINGS TO SUWANNEE RIVER OUT 20 TO 60 NM-
ENGLEWOOD TO TARPON SPRINGS OUT 20 TO 60 NM-
BONITA BEACH TO ENGLEWOOD OUT 20 TO 60 NM-
445 AM EST TUE DEC 1 2009
THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST
FLORIDA.
.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.
NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.
...THUNDERSTORM IMPACT...
A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM DEVELOPING IN THE WESTERN GULF WILL LIFT NORTH
OF THE AREA ON WEDNESDAY. THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP ALONG AND
JUST AHEAD OF THE ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT AND WILL BEGIN TO PUSH
INTO THE NATURE COAST BY WEDNESDAY NIGHT BEFORE SPREADING
SOUTHWARD THROUGH THE REGION ON THURSDAY MORNING. THE POTENTIAL
EXISTS FOR SOME STRONG OR MARGINALLY SEVERE STORMS EARLY THURSDAY
WHICH MAY PRODUCE STRONG WINDS...HEAVY RAINFALL AND DEADLY CLOUD
TO GROUND LIGHTNING. STRONG SHEAR ALONG THE BOUNDARY WILL INCREASE
THE RISK FOR AN ISOLATED TORNADO. RESIDENTS SHOULD CONTINUE TO
MONITOR UPCOMING FORECASTS AND STATEMENTS REGARDING THIS
POTENTIALLY HAZARDOUS WEATHER SITUATION.
...COASTAL FLOOD IMPACT...
A STRONG SOUTHERLY WIND WILL DEVELOP BY WEDNESDAY AS A DEVELOPING
SURFACE LOW MOVES NORTHEAST THROUGH THE GULF. WINDS AND SEAS WILL
BE INCREASING THROUGH WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON PRODUCING A POTENTIAL
FOR COASTAL FLOODING ESPECIALLY NEAR SOUTH FACING SHORES OR
COASTAL AREAS AROUND LEVY COUNTY. CURRENT FORECAST TIDES ARE
RUNNING 1-3 FT ABOVE NORMAL VALUES FROM PINELLAS TO LEVY COUNTY ON
WEDNESDAY MORNING AND AFTERNOON. A COASTAL FLOOD WATCH IS
CURRENTLY IN EFFECT AND WILL LIKELY BE UPGRADED TO A WARNING LATER
TODAY.
...RIP CURRENT IMPACT...
THERE WILL BE THE RISK OF RIP CURRENTS...STRONG UNDERTOWS...AND
LARGE BREAKING WAVES ALONG AREA BEACHES MUCH OF THE DAY WEDNESDAY
AND THURSDAY AS SOUTH WINDS AND ABOVE NORMAL TIDES AFFECT
SOUTHWEST FLORIDA. ALWAYS SWIM NEAR A LIFEGUARD...OR PLAN ON OTHER
ACTIVITIES AWAY FROM THE BEACH.
...WATERSPOUT IMPACT...
STRONG LOW LEVEL SHEAR WILL ACCOMPANY THUNDERSTORMS PUSHING
THROUGH THE GULF WATERS ON WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY. THE RISK
OF WATERSPOUTS CANNOT BE RULED OUT AS THESE STORMS APPROACH THE
SHORE. MARINERS SHOULD CLOSER MONITOR THE CHANGING WEATHER PATTERN.
...WIND AND SEA IMPACT...
WINDS AND SEAS ACROSS THE GULF OF MEXICO WILL INCREASE IN RESPONSE
TO THE DEVELOPING STORM SYSTEM. AS WINDS INCREASE TO 25 TO 30
KNOTS IN THE OFF SHORE WATERS AND 15 TO 20 KNOTS IN THE NEAR
SHORE...HAZARDOUS BOATING CONDITIONS WILL BE LIKELY ACROSS THE
GULF WATERS BY TUESDAY NIGHT AND LASTING THROUGH FRIDAY.
THUNDERSTORMS ASSOCIATED WITH THIS SYSTEM WILL CARRY THE POTENTIAL
FOR STRONG WINDS...HEAVY RAINFALL AND DEADLY CLOUD TO WATER
LIGHTNING. CHOPPY OR ROUGH CONDITIONS WILL BE LIKELY NEAR
THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED TODAY.
$$

COASTAL FLOOD WATCH
Issue Date: 227 PM EST MON NOV 30 2009
Expiration: 1000 AM EST THU DEC 03 2009

...POTENTIAL FOR COASTAL FLOODING WEDNESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY...
.AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP OVER THE WESTERN
GULF OF MEXICO ON TUESDAY. THIS LOW IS THEN EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY
AS IT MOVES NORTHEAST TOWARD THE NORTHERN GULF COAST TUESDAY NIGHT
AND INTO THE SOUTHEASTERN STATES ON WEDNESDAY...THEN UP THE MID
ATLANTIC COAST WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY. AHEAD OF THIS LOW AN
INCREASING SOUTHERLY WIND FLOW WILL DEVELOP OVER THE ADJACENT GULF
WATERS ON WEDNESDAY. THESE INCREASING WINDS WILL HELP TO BUILD
SEAS AND GENERATE LARGE BREAKING WAVES...DANGEROUS RIP CURRENTS
AND HIGH SURF ALONG AREA BEACHES DURING WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY...WITH
ABOVE NORMAL TIDES LIKELY TO CAUSE SOME COASTAL FLOODING AT TIMES
OF HIGH TIDE ON WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY.
THE STRONG SOUTHERLY WIND FLOW AND INCREASING SEAS WILL ALSO MAKE
FOR HAZARDOUS BOATING CONDITIONS...AND MARINERS...FISHERMEN...AND
BOATING ENTHUSIASTS MAY WANT TO POSTPONE TRIPS INTO THE GULF UNTIL
CONDITIONS IMPROVE LATE IN THE WEEK.
FLZ039-042-048>051-012100-
/O.NEW.KTBW.CF.A.0001.091202T1500Z-091203T1500Z/
LEVY-CITRUS-HERNANDO-PASCO-PINELLAS-HILLSBOROUGH-
227 PM EST MON NOV 30 2009
...COASTAL FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH
THURSDAY MORNING...
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN RUSKIN HAS ISSUED A COASTAL FLOOD
WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH THURSDAY
MORNING.
AN INCREASING SOUTHERLY WIND FLOW AHEAD OF AN INTENSIFYING LOW PRESSURE
AREA OVER THE WESTERN GULF WILL HELP TO BUILD SEAS OVER THE ADJACENT
GULF WATERS DURING WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY. THE STRONG WIND FLOW
AND INCREASING SEAS MAY PRODUCE COASTAL FLOODING AT TIMES OF HIGH
TIDE ON WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY...WITH LARGE BREAKING WAVE ACTION
POSSIBLY PRODUCING ADDITIONAL OVERWASH AND FLOODING IN SOME LOCATIONS.
AT THE CURRENT TIME TIDES ARE EXPECTED TO RUN SOME 2 TO 4 FEET ABOVE
NORMAL AT TIMES OF HIGH TIDE ON WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY. COASTAL
RESIDENTS SHOULD REVIEW EVACUATION PLANS...AND BE READY TO MOVE AT
A MOMENT`S NOTICE...SHOULD ACTION BE REQUIRED.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
A COASTAL FLOOD WATCH IS ISSUED FOR THE POSSIBILITY OF COASTAL
FLOODING.
STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR LOCAL MEDIA FOR FURTHER
UPDATES ON THIS DEVELOPING WEATHER SITUATION.
$$
MCMICHAEL