SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT Issue Date: 305 PM MST FRI NOV 27 2009 Expiration: 1100 AM MST SAT NOV 28 2009 ...A WINTRY MIX OF WEATHER WILL OCCUR OVER SOUTHERN NEW MEXICO AND
FAR WEST TEXAS FOR THE LATTER PART OF THE WEEKEND...
A PACIFIC LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL APPROACH THE LOCAL AREA FROM
THE WEST DURING THE WEEKEND. SOUTHWEST FLOW AHEAD OF THE SYSTEM
WILL BRING IN ADDITIONAL MOISTURE THAT WILL RESULT IN THE
FORMATION OF SHOWERS BY SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING. SHOWERS
WILL CONTINUE ON SUNDAY AS THE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM MOVES CLOSER TO
THE STATE. SNOW LEVELS WILL REMAIN ABOVE 7500 FEET WITH SPOTTY
ACCUMULATIONS IN THE MOUNTAINS.
A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL MOVE INTO THE STATE ON SUNDAY AND WILL
REACH SOUTHERN NEW MEXICO BY LATE SUNDAY AFTERNOON. MUCH COLDER
TEMPERATURES WILL OCCUR BEHIND THE FRONT THAT WILL RESULT IN SNOW
LEVELS DROPPING ALL THE WAY TO THE DESERT FLOOR BY MONDAY MORNING.
THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR QUITE A BIT OF PRECIPITATION AS THE
MOIST SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW OVERRUNS THE COLDER AIR AT THE SURFACE.
THESE FACTORS CREATE A POTENTIAL FOR A POSSIBLE HEAVY SNOW EVENT
FOR SOUTHERN NEW MEXICO AND FAR WEST TEXAS FOR MONDAY. AS MUCH AS
4 TO 8 INCHES IN THE MOUNTAINS AND 1 TO 4 INCHES IN THE LOWLANDS
MAY OCCUR. THERE ARE SOME MITIGATING FACTORS THAT MAY PREVENT
WIDESPREAD SNOW AND KEEP FUTURE EVENTS UNCERTAIN. IF TEMPERATURES
DO NOT GET COOL ENOUGH PRECIPITATION WILL BE IN THE FORM OF A RAIN
SNOW MIXTURE WITH LITTLE TO NO ACCUMULATION. CHANGES IN THE TRACK
OF THE LOW COULD PLACE THE LOCAL AREA IN A LESS FAVORABLE POSITION
FOR ANY KIND OF SIGNIFICANT PRECIPITATION. LATER MODEL RUNS WILL
HELP RESOLVE THIS WEATHER SCENARIO FURTHER.
STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
WEBSITE...OR YOUR LOCAL MEDIA FOR FURTHER UPDATES ON THIS
DEVELOPING WINTER WEATHER SITUATION.
$$ HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK Issue Date: 608 AM MST FRI NOV 27 2009 Expiration: 600 AM MST SAT NOV 28 2009 Expires:200911281300;;
FLUS44 KEPZ 271308
HWOEPZ
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA NM
545 AM MST FRI NOV 27 2009
NMZ022>025-030>032-TXZ055-056-281300-
SOUTHWEST MOUNTAINS/LOWER GILA REGION-SIERRA COUNTY LAKES REGION-
TULAROSA BASIN/SOUTHERN DESERT-SOUTHERN SACRAMENTO MOUNTAINS-
SOUTHWEST DESERT/BOOTHEEL-SOUTHWEST DESERT/MIMBRES BASIN-
SOUTHERN DESERT-EL PASO-HUDSPETH-
545 AM MST FRI NOV 27 2009
THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTH CENTRAL
NEW MEXICO...SOUTHWEST NEW MEXICO AND SOUTHWEST TEXAS.
.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.
NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY
POTENTIAL FOR A SIGNIFICANT WINTER STORM SUNDAY EVENING THROUGH
TUESDAY MORNING.
SCATTERED RAIN SHOWERS WILL MOVE INTO THE GILA WILDERNESS BY
SATURDAY EVENING THEN SPREAD ACROSS THE LOWLANDS SUNDAY. SNOW WILL
START FALLING ABOVE 8000 FEET SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY IN THE GILAS
AND SPREAD TO ALL MOUNTAINS BY SUNDAY NIGHT. A CHANCE OF RAIN MIXED
SNOW WILL EXIST OVER THE LOWLANDS SUNDAY NIGHT. MUCH COLDER AIR AT
THE SURFACE WILL MOVE INTO THE BORDERLAND FROM THE EAST MONDAY WITH
TEMPERATURES FALLING THROUGHOUT THE DAY AND RAIN CHANGING TO SNOW BY
AFTERNOON OVER ALL THE LOWLANDS. SNOW LIKELY MONDAY EVENING AND
NIGHT WITH 1 TO 3 INCHES LOWLANDS AND 6 TO 10 INCHES POSSIBLE
MOUNTAINS (SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT). EARLY TUESDAY MORNING
THE STORM SYSTEM SHOULD START TO MOVE EASTWARD WITH SNOW ENDING
EXCEPT FOR SOME LIGHT RESIDUAL SNOW ON THE BACKSIDE OF THE LOW
EASTERN OTERO AND HUDSPETH COUNTIES.
WARMER AND DRIER WEATHER IS EXPECTED WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
SPOTTERS MAY BE REQUIRED TO REPORT SNOW AMOUNTS MAINLY SUNDAY NIGHT
THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING...ESPECIALLY AROUND MOUNTAIN LOCATIONS.
$$
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