HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK Issue Date: 101 PM CST SUN DEC 06 2009 Expiration: 115 PM CST MON DEC 07 2009 Expires:200912071915;;
FLUS43 KEAX 061901
HWOEAX
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
101 PM CST SUN DEC 6 2009
KSZ025-057-060-102>105-MOZ001>008-011>017-020>025-028>033-037>040-
043>046-053-054-071915-
ATCHISON KS-MIAMI-LINN KS-DONIPHAN-LEAVENWORTH-WYANDOTTE-
JOHNSON KS-ATCHISON MO-NODAWAY-WORTH-GENTRY-HARRISON-MERCER-
PUTNAM-SCHUYLER-HOLT-ANDREW-DE KALB-DAVIESS-GRUNDY-SULLIVAN-ADAIR-
BUCHANAN-CLINTON-CALDWELL-LIVINGSTON-LINN MO-MACON-PLATTE-CLAY-
RAY-CARROLL-CHARITON-RANDOLPH-JACKSON-LAFAYETTE-SALINE-HOWARD-
CASS-JOHNSON MO-PETTIS-COOPER-BATES-HENRY-
101 PM CST SUN DEC 6 2009
THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST...NORTH CENTRAL
AND WEST CENTRAL MISSOURI...AS WELL AS EXTREME EASTERN KANSAS.
.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT
A FAST MOVING UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE MOVING ACROSS KANSAS INTO
WESTERN MISSOURI BY MIDNIGHT IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE ONE TO POSSIBLY TWO
INCHES OF SNOW IN AREAS MAINLY NORTH OF HIGHWAY 36 TONIGHT.
SNOW MAY BE MIX WITH LIGHT RAIN OR DRIZZLE IN AREAS FURTHER SOUTH
EARLY THIS EVENING. AS TEMPERATURES FALL BELOW FREEZING IN AREAS
BETWEEN HIGHWAY 36 SOUTH TO INTERSTATE 70 THIS EVENING...THERE MAY
BE PATCHES OF FREEZING DRIZZLE OR LIGHT FREEZING RAIN...BUT
SIGNIFICANT ICE ACCUMULATION IS NOT EXPECTED. SNOW AMOUNTS ARE
EXPECTED TO BE UNDER AN INCH.
AREAS ALONG 50 HIGHWAY...SOUTHWARD...MAY NOT SEE MUCH PRECIPITATION
AT ALL. THROUGH THE EVENING...ANY PRECIPITATION IN THIS AREA SHOULD
BE DRIZZLE OR LIGHT RAIN...BUT AS TEMPERATURES FALL IN THE WAKE OF A
SURFACE FRONT MOVING FROM THE MISSOURI KANSAS BORDER AT MIDNIGHT...TO
CENTRAL MISSOURI BY 3 AM...THE PRECIPITATION COULD BRIEFLY BECOME
FREEZING DRIZZLE OR LIGHT FREEZING RAIN OR VERY LIGHT SNOW.
DRY WEATHER IS EXPECTED BY DAYBREAK ACROSS THE ENTIRE OUTLOOK AREA.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY
A STRONG STORM SYSTEM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING SIGNIFICANT SNOWFALL WILL
BEGIN TO IMPACT THE OUTLOOK AREA LATE MONDAY NIGHT AND EXITING
TUESDAY NIGHT. AREAS OF LIGHT SNOW ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP ACROSS
EASTERN KANSAS AND NORTHERN MISSOURI AFTER MIDNIGHT MONDAY. AS THIS
AREA OF PRECIPITATION LIFTS NORTHWARD...WARMER AIR ALOFT WILL ALSO
BEGIN TO PUSH INTO THE REGION. WHILE PRECIPITATION IS MAINLY EXPECTED
TO REMAIN IN THE FORM OF SNOW IN AREAS NORTH OF HIGHWAY 36...THIS
WARMER AIR WILL ALLOW FOR MIXED PRECIPITATION AREA OF RAIN...SNOW AND
PERHAPS SLEET IN AREAS FROM KANSAS CITY TO MOBERLY. TO THE SOUTH...IN
AREAS ALONG AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM CLINTON TO
SEDALIA...PRECIPITATION MAY REMAIN IN THE FORM OF RAIN THROUGH
TUESDAY EVENING.
COLDER AIR WILL BEGIN TO ROTATE EASTWARD INTO THE OUTLOOK AREA BY
TUESDAY EVENING...RAPIDLY TRANSITIONING AREAS OF MIXED PRECIPITATION
BACK TO SNOW. CURRENTLY...AREAS ALONG AND NORTH OF A LINE FROM
ATCHISON KANSAS TO KIRKSVILLE MISSOURI HAVE THE POTENTIAL OF
RECEIVING SIGNIFICANT SNOWFALL AMOUNTS GREATER THAN 6 INCHES. SOUTH
OF THIS LINE...SNOWFALL AMOUNTS WILL BE HIGHLY DEPENDENT ON THE
AMOUNT OF WARM AIR WHICH LIFTS NORTHWARD AND THE INTENSITY OF
SNOWFALL TUESDAY NIGHT.
A CHANGE IN THE TRACK OF THE STORM SYSTEM BY AS LITTLE AS 50 MILES
COULD LEAD TO A SIGNIFICANT CHANGE IN LOCATION AND AMOUNTS OF THE
HEAVIEST SNOWFALL. INTERESTED PARTIES SHOULD CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE
LATEST FORECASTS AND OUTLOOKS REGARDING THIS POTENTIAL WINTER STORM.
IN ADDITION STRONG NORTHWEST WINDS WILL DEVELOP TUESDAY NIGHT AND
WEDNESDAY AS THIS STORM EXITS. THIS WILL LEAD TO SIGNIFICANTLY
REDUCED VISIBILITIES DUE TO BLOWING SNOW.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
SPOTTERS ARE URGED TO REPORT ANY SNOW OR ICE ACCUMULATIONS THEY RECEIVE
FROM THE STORM SYSTEMS THIS EVENING...AND MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH
TUESDAY NIGHT.
$$ WINTER STORM WATCH Issue Date: 430 AM CST SUN DEC 06 2009 Expiration: 600 AM CST WED DEC 09 2009 ...SIGNIFICANT WINTER WEATHER EXPECTED MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...
.A POTENT WINTER STORM SYSTEM WILL MOVE ACROSS THE AREA MONDAY NIGHT
THROUGH LATE TUESDAY NIGHT. THIS SYSTEM WILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO
PRODUCE WIDESPREAD ACCUMULATING SNOW. AT THIS TIME THE TRACK WILL
TAKE THE HEAVIEST SNOWFALL ACROSS NORTHERN MISSOURI AND FAR NORTHEAST
KANSAS...WHERE MORE THAN 6 INCHES OF SNOW IS POSSIBLE. A SHIFT IN THE TRACK
OF THIS STORM WILL SIGNIFICANTLY AFFECT THE LOCATION OF THE HEAVY
SNOW BAND. IN ADDITION...VISIBILITIES MAY BE SIGNIFICANT REDUCED IN
BLOWING SNOW LATE TUESDAY THROUGH AT LEAST EARLY WEDNESDAY AS
NORTHERLY WINDS OF 20 TO 30 MPH AND HIGHER GUSTS OVERSPREAD THE
REGION.
KSZ025-102-MOZ001>008-011>017-020>025-062200-
/O.NEW.KEAX.WS.A.0003.091208T0000Z-091209T1200Z/
ATCHISON KS-DONIPHAN-ATCHISON MO-NODAWAY-WORTH-GENTRY-HARRISON-
MERCER-PUTNAM-SCHUYLER-HOLT-ANDREW-DE KALB-DAVIESS-GRUNDY-
SULLIVAN-ADAIR-BUCHANAN-CLINTON-CALDWELL-LIVINGSTON-LINN MO-MACON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ATCHISON...TROY...TARKIO...MARYVILLE...
GRANT CITY...ALBANY...STANBERRY...BETHANY...PRINCETON...
UNIONVILLE...LANCASTER...MOUND CITY...OREGON...SAVANNAH...
CAMERON...GALLATIN...JAMESPORT...TRENTON...MILAN...GREEN CITY...
KIRKSVILLE...ST. JOSEPH...PLATTSBURG...HAMILTON...POLO...
CHILLICOTHE...BROOKFIELD...MACON...LA PLATA
430 AM CST SUN DEC 6 2009
...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY EVENING THROUGH LATE
TUESDAY NIGHT...
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL HAS
ISSUED A WINTER STORM WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY
EVENING THROUGH LATE TUESDAY NIGHT.
* TIMING: A SIGNIFICANT WINTER STORM SYSTEM WILL MOVE ACROSS THE
REGION MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH LATE TUESDAY NIGHT. SNOW IS EXPECTED
TO DEVELOP OVER KANSAS BY MONDAY EVENING...THEN SPREAD EAST ACROSS
NORTHEAST KANSAS AND NORTHERN MISSOURI BY TUESDAY MORNING. THE
SNOW...MODERATE TO HEAVY AT TIMES...IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE
THROUGHOUT TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT...BEFORE TAPERING OFF EARLY
WEDNESDAY MORNING.
* MAIN IMPACT: ACCUMULATING SNOW IS POSSIBLE ACROSS FAR NORTHEAST
KANSAS AND NORTHWEST MISSOURI AS EARLY AS LATE MONDAY
NIGHT...SPREADING EASTWARD TUESDAY MORNING. THE SNOW MAY BE HEAVY
AT TIMES...AND WILL LIKELY OCCUR THROUGHOUT THE DAY TUESDAY INTO
TUESDAY NIGHT. SIGNIFICANT SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF AROUND 6 INCHES OR
MORE IS POSSIBLE ACROSS NORTHERN MISSOURI AND FAR NORTHEAST KANSAS
BY LATE TUESDAY NIGHT. THE ACCUMULATING SNOW WILL CREATE DANGEROUS
DRIVING CONDITIONS ACROSS THE AREA.
* OTHER IMPACTS: IN ADDITION...SIGNIFICANT BLOWING SNOW IS POSSIBLE
LATE TUESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY...AS STRONG NORTHERLY WINDS OF 20 TO 30
MPH AND HIGHER GUSTS OVERSPREAD THE REGION. THE BLOWING SNOW MAY
GREATLY REDUCE VISIBILITIES...CREATING EVEN MORE DANGEROUS DRIVING
CONDITIONS.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
A WINTER STORM WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT
SNOW...SLEET...OR ICE ACCUMULATIONS THAT MAY IMPACT TRAVEL.
CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE LATEST FORECASTS.
$$
NRR
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