FXUS62 KMFL 291930
AFDMFL
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
230 PM EST SUN NOV 29 2009
.DISCUSSION...HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE FROM THE ATLANTIC TO CENTRAL AND
NORTH FLORIDA WILL MOVE SLOWLY EAST AS A BACK DOOR COLD FRONT
MOVES INTO NORTH FLORIDA MONDAY NIGHT AND STALLS. ON TUESDAY A MID
LEVEL LOW OVER WEST TEXAS DEVELOPS A SURFACE LOW OVER THE
NORTHWEST GULF AND MOVES TO THE MOBILE AREA BY LATE TUESDAY
EVENING AND THEN BOTH LOWS MOVE NORTHEAST UP THE APPALACHIAN
MOUNTAINS WEDNESDAY AS A COLD FRONT MOVES INTO CENTRAL FLORIDA
LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THROUGH SOUTH FLORIDA BY NOON OR EARLY
AFTERNOON THURSDAY. A SQUALL LINE WILL PRECEDE THE FRONT AND MOVE
THROUGH SOUTH FLORIDA WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY EVENING. SOME STORMS
MAY BE STRONG OVER THE NORTHERN SECTIONS AS A LOW LEVEL JET MOVES
OUT WEDNESDAY EVENING. ACTIVITY WILL WEAKEN AS IT PROPAGATES
SOUTHEAST. ONLY SHOWERS AND A FEW THUNDERSTORMS MAINLY SOUTHEAST
SECTIONS WILL OCCUR OVER SOUTH FLORIDA THURSDAY. IT WILL DRY OUT AND
COOL FOR FRIDAY THROUGH SATURDAY AND THEN THE ATMOSPHERE BEGINS
MODIFYING NEXT SUNDAY AGAIN. THE TEMPERATURES WILL BE NOT QUITE AS
COLD (BY 5 DEGREES OR SO) AS THIS LAST FRONT. WILL STAY WITH THE
HIGHEST POPS WEDNESDAY NIGHT BUT THERE WILL BE CHANCES OF RAIN
TUESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.
&&
.MARINE...NE TO SE WINDS 5 TO 10 KTS EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY FOR
GOOD BOATING CONDITIONS. BY TUESDAY NIGHT EAST WINDS WILL
INCREASE TO 15 TO 20 KTS AND SEAS TO 4 FT. BY WEDNESDAY AND
WEDNESDAY NIGHT IN ADVANCE OF FRONT, WINDS WILL BECOME SOUTH NEAR
AND ABOVE 20 KTS WITH SEAS UP TO 6 FT GULF STREAM AND OUTER GULF
WATERS. WINDS WILL BECOME WEST 20 TO 25 KTS THURSDAY AND THEN
NORTHWEST 10 TO 15 KTS BY THURSDAY NIGHT EXCEPT 15 TO 20 KTS OVER
THE GULF STREAM FRIDAY.
&&
.FIRE WEATHER...NO CONCERNS NOW AS THE RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WILL BE
45 PERCENT OR ABOVE WHICH IS ABOVE THE WARNING CRITERIA LEVEL.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
WEST PALM BEACH 60 81 62 80 / - 10 10 10
FORT LAUDERDALE 67 81 66 80 / - 10 10 10
MIAMI 66 82 66 81 / - 10 10 10
NAPLES 59 81 62 81 / - 10 10 10
&&
.MFL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...NONE.
AM...NONE.
GM...NONE.
&&
$$
LONG TERM...18/GR
SHORT TERM/AVIATION...54/BNB
