FXUS62 KTAE 300221
AFDTAE

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
921 PM EST SUN NOV 29 2009

.UPDATE...EVENING SURFACE ANALYSIS SHOWED HIGH PRESSURE CENTERED
OVER THE LOCAL AREA WITH A RIDGE AXIS EXTENDING WEST ALONG THE
GULF COAST STATES AND A COLD FRONT EXTENDING SOUTHWEST ACROSS THE
MS VALLEY. VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWED A BROAD POSITIVELY TILTED
MID/UPPER TROUGH OVER THE MID-SECTION OF THE COUNTRY AND A LARGE
UPPER LOW CENTERED OVER THE NRN BAJA PENINSULA. PLENTY OF MID TO
UPPER MOISTURE WILL CONTINUE TO STREAM ACROSS OUR REGION OUT
AHEAD OF THESE UPPER FEATURES AS THEY APPROACH FROM THE WEST. HERE
LOCALLY...EXPECT THE DRY AND COOL CONDITIONS TO PERSIST TONIGHT
WITH OVERNIGHT LOWS EXPECTED TO DROP INTO THE 40S THROUGH THE LATE
NIGHT HOURS. OUTSIDE OF A FEW MINOR TWEAKS IN THE GRIDS...THE
PREVIOUS FORECAST REMAINS ON TRACK THIS EVENING AND NO MAJOR
UPDATES ARE NECESSARY.

REFER TO PREVIOUS FORECAST DISCUSSION AND HAZARDOUS WEATHER
OUTLOOK FOR THE DETAILS REGARDING THE SIGNIFICANT WEATHER EVENT
EXPECTED THROUGH THE MID-WEEK PERIOD AS A STRONG GULF LOW AND COLD
FRONT APPROACH FROM THE WEST MONDAY AND TUESDAY.

&&

.AVIATION...THRU 00Z TUES.
HIGH PRESSURE WILL SLIDE TO THE EAST THROUGH PERIOD AS A WEAK COLD 
FRONT APPROACHES FROM THE NORTHWEST. VFR CONDITIONS SHOULD PREVAIL 
THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT HOURS UNDER INCREASING MID AND HIGH LEVEL 
CLOUDS. SCT LOWER LEVEL CLOUDS WILL BE ON THE INCREASE FROM NW TO SE 
WITH THE ADVANCING FRONT DURING MONDAY. GENERAL VFR CONDITIONS TO 
CONTINUE THROUGH THE TAF PERIOD...HOWEVER COULD SEE A BRIEF PERIOD 
OF MVFR CIGS WITH SHOWERS AROUND KDHN BY MIDDAY AND SPREADING TO 
KABY AND KPFN DURING THE AFTERNOON. 

LOOKING INTO THE MIDDLE OF THE WEEK. AN EXTENDED PERIOD OF 
SIGNIFICANT CIG AND/OR VIS RESTRICTIONS ARE EXPECTED BEGINNING 
TUESDAY AFTERNOON INTO WEDNESDAY AS A POTENTIALLY STRONG AREA OF LOW 
PRESSURE MOVES ACROSS THE AREA. THIS AREA OF LOW PRESSURE WILL HAVE 
THE POTENTIAL TO BRING HEAVY RAIN...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS...AND 
STRONG GUSTY WINDS TO THE TERMINALS. PILOTS SHOULD PAY CLOSE 
ATTENTION TO FORECASTS DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO WITH RESPECT TO 
THIS POTENTIAL STORM BEFORE MAKING ANY FLIGHT PLANS.

&&

.TAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...NONE.
GA...NONE.
FL...NONE.
GM...NONE.
&&

$$

AG/RB