FXUS63 KLBF 250948
AFDLBF

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTH PLATTE NE
348 AM CST WED NOV 25 2009

.SYNOPSIS...
A CLIPPER WILL MOVE ACROSS THE MIDWEST TODAY WITH THE ASSOCIATED COLD
FRONT TO BRING A LITTLE RAIN OR SNOW EARLY THEN CLEARING.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
FORECAST CHALLENGE IS TEMPERATURES IN THE NEAR TERM. THROUGH 96
HOURS MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT THEN DIVERGE AS A SPLIT FLOW
PATTERN DEVELOPS BEYOND. IN THE NEAR TERM...TODAY THE COLD FRONT
WILL PUSH SOUTHEAST EARLY THIS MORNING WITH GUSTY NORTHWEST WINDS
TO USHER IN COLDER AIR FOR TODAY. AT 09Z THE COLD FRONT WAS
PUSHING SOUTH WITH A RAIN SNOW MIXTURE FALLING SOUTH OF HIGHWAY 2.
TIF...LBF AND OGA WERE ALL REPORTING RAIN WHILE OFFICE VIEW
INDICATES SOME SNOW IS ALSO FALLING. THE FRONT PUSHES SOUTH EARLY
WITH THE PRECIPITATION TO END FROM THE NORTH TO SOUTH ACROSS THE
SOUTHWEST THROUGH 15Z. TODAY NORTHWEST WINDS WILL ALSO APPROACH
WIND ADVISORY FOR PORTIONS OF THE NORTH CENTRAL WITH THE NAM
SOLUTION A LITTLE MORE ROBUST...WHERE CUSTER COUNTY MAY HIT
ADVISORY CRITERIA FOR A COUPLE OF HOURS...THAT WILL BE MONITORED
FOR LATER UPDATES. BEYOND THIS MORNING CLOUDS WILL GRADUALLY CLEAR
FOR MOSTLY SUNNY CONDITIONS INTO THE AFTERNOON.

FOR THE HOLIDAY PERIOD LITTLE IMPACTS WILL BE SEEN AS THE UPPER
RIDGE BUILDS EAST TO THE PLAINS. WARMER AIR WILL BE DRAWN EAST AS
THE RIDGE BUILDS EAST TO BRING A WARMUP TO WELL ABOVE NORMAL
READINGS BY FRIDAY. ON FRIDAY TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO BE INTO
THE 60S AS H85 TEMPS REACH AOB 12 DEG C. FRIDAY NIGHT INTO
SATURDAY THE H85 THERMAL RIDGE MOVES EAST WITH A FRONTAL BOUNDARY
DEVELOPING EAST SATURDAY NIGHT INTO SUNDAY. MOISTURE WILL BE
LIMITED WITH THIS SYSTEM AS THE GULF REMAINS CLOSED OFF FOR A
GENERALLY DRY FORECAST THROUGH DAY 5. THE MODEL SPREAD INCREASES
DURING THIS TIME WITH FEW CHANGES MADE FOR THE PERIOD.

&&

.AVIATION...

A FAST MOVING CLIPPER SYSTEM WILL MOVE SOUTHEASTERLY 
FROM EASTERN SOUTH DAKOTA INTO THE MID MISSISSIPPI VALLEY TODAY AND 
THIS EVENING. SOME SCATTERED HIGH CLOUDINESS IS POSSIBLE AT THE KLBF 
TERMINAL THROUGH 15Z THIS MORNING...WITH CLEAR SKIES THEREAFTER. FOR 
THE KVTN TERMINAL...CLEAR SKIES AND UNLIMITED VISIBILITIES ARE 
EXPECTED TODAY AND TONIGHT. GUSTY NORTHWESTERLY WINDS ARE EXPECTED 
ACROSS WESTERN AND NORTH CENTRAL NEBRASKA TODAY AS THE CLIPPER 
SYSTEM MOVES EAST. NORTHWESTERLY WINDS RANGING FROM 20 TO 30 KTS 
WITH SOME GUSTS APPROACHING 35 KTS ARE LIKELY TODAY AT BOTH THE KLBF 
AND KVTN TERMINALS. WIND SPEEDS THIS AFTERNOON WILL PEAK AT THE KVTN 
TERMINAL DURING THE 18Z TO 21Z TIME FRAME AND 19Z TO 23Z TIME FRAME 
AT KLBF. WINDS WILL DIMINISH QUICKLY TOWARD SUNSET WITH LIGHT 
WESTERLIES FORECAST FOR TONIGHT. 

&&

.LBF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM/EXTENDED...KECK
AVIATION...CLB