FXUS64 KBRO 111021
AFDBRO
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BROWNSVILLE TX
421 AM CST FRI DEC 11 2009
.DISCUSSION...LOW CLDS WILL HOLD TOUGH AGAIN TDA AS OVERRUNNING
SCENARIO REMAINS IN PLACE. COASTAL LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM TO OUR SE
ACROSS THE GULF OF MEXICO WATERS WILL ALSO BEGIN TO SLIDE NWD WITH
CENTER DUE EAST OF US TNGT ACROSS THE NW GULF WATERS. CHC FOR
SHOWERS AND AREAS OF DRIZZLE THRU THE DAY WITH SOME PATCHY FOG
THRU THE MRNG IN A FEW SPOTS...ALTHOUGH LEFT OUT FOG WORDING UNTIL
TNGT. MOST OF THE SUSTAINED SHOWER ACTIVITY HAS REMAINED JUST OFFSHORE
EARLY THIS MRNG. THIS ACTIVITY HAS BEEN MOVG NWD WITH THE MOST
HEAVIEST PCPN REMAINING NEAR THE COAST OR OFFSHORE THRU TDA. AS
LOW PRESSURE CONTINUES NWD TNGT TO OUR NE...PCPN CHC WILL DECREASE
WITH LEFTOVER LOW CLDS AND AREAS OF DRIZZLE AND FOG CONTINUING
OVRNGT. HAVE LEFT 10 POPS IN FOR SAT MRNG FOR THE ANY LEFTOVER
PCPN...BUT TREND WILL BE TWD DRYING BY THEN. CLDS ARE EXPECTED TO
REMAIN INTO THE WEEKEND WITH TEMPS REMAINING NEAR NORMAL TO BELOW
NORMAL THRU SAT. READINGS WILL MODERATE ON SUN WITH THE POTENTIAL
FOR MORE BREAKS IN THE CLDS AS THE NORTHERLY FLOW VEERS
SOUTHEASTERLY BY DAYS END. WARMER YET EARLY NEXT WEEK ON MON AHEAD
OF S/W TROF SLIDING THRU THE FOUR CORNERS REGION. NEXT WX MAKER
FOR DEEP SOUTH TX WILL BEGIN TO ENTER THE PICTURE AT THIS TIME IN
THE FORM OF A COLD FRONT SLIDING SWD THRU THE STATE OF TX. FRONT
PROGGED TO PUSH THRU OUR CWA EARLY TUE BRINGING WITH IT INCREASED
CHC FOR PCPN. THE COOLER NORTHERLY FLOW WILL RETURN POST FRONT THE
MIDDLE TO LATTER HALF OF NEXT WEEK ACROSS DEEP SOUTH TX.
&&
.AVIATION...IFR CIGS WILL PREVAIL OVER THE REGIONAL AIRPORTS THIS
MORNING BECOMING MVFR BY THIS AFTERNOON AND CONTINUING TONIGHT.
AREAS OF DRIZZLE ARE POSSIBLE THROUGHOUT THE DAY. WINDS WILL BE
MODERATE FROM THE NORTHEAST TODAY BECOMING LIGHT TONIGHT.
&&
.MARINE...BUOY 42020 REPORTED NORTHEAST WINDS AT 19 KNOTS GUSTING TO
23 KNOTS WITH SEAS 8.9 FEET WITH A PERIOD OF 7 SECONDS. A SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE GULF OF MEXICO WATERS EAST
OF PADRE ISLAND THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING DUE TO STRONG WINDS AND ROUGH
SEAS. MARINE CONDITIONS WILL IMPROVE IN THE WEEKEND AND EARLY NEXT
WEEK AS HIGH PRESSURE BRIEFLY PREVAILS...BUT THE PASSAGE OF ANOTHER
COLD FRONT THROUGH THE LOWER TEXAS COAST TUESDAY MAY REQUIRE A SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORY AT THAT TIME.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
BAYVIEW/PORT ISABEL 63 53 64 54 / 50 30 10 10
BROWNSVILLE 60 50 64 55 / 40 30 10 10
HARLINGEN 59 51 62 54 / 50 30 10 10
MCALLEN 56 50 63 52 / 40 30 10 10
RIO GRANDE CITY 55 48 64 51 / 50 30 10 10
SOUTH PADRE ISLAND 64 52 65 55 / 50 30 10 10
&&
.BRO WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...NONE.
GM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL NOON CST TODAY FOR GMZ150-155-170-175.
&&
$$
THIS PRODUCT IS ALSO AVAILABLE ON THE WEB AT:
HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BROWNSVILLE
SYNOPTIC/GRIDS...VIPOND-57
MARINE/AVIATION/MESO...FLATT-65
