FXUS63 KPAH 100945
AFDPAH

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
345 AM CST THU DEC 10 2009

.DISCUSSION...
LIGHT SNOW AND CLOUDS WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE AWAY FROM THE EVV TRI
STATE REGION THIS MORNING. A FRIGID ARCTIC AIR MASS WILL
CONTINUE TO INVADE THE PAH FCST AREA THROUGH FRI MRNG. BEING THAT
THE AREA WILL BE NEAR THE CENTER OF HIGH SFC PRESSURE...WE WENT
WITH THE COOLER GUIDANCE FOR TONIGHT. 

TEMPS SHOULD BE AOB THIS MRNGS READINGS. INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK...THE
MID/UPPER PATTERN IS PROGGED TO TRANSITION FROM MOSTLY ZONAL TO A
WSW TO ENE ONE. A DISTURBANCE IN THE PATTERN LATER IN THE WEEKEND
MAY PRODUCE LIGHT SHOWERS. A SECOND SYSTEM MON/EARLY TUE IS
PROGGED BY THE GFS/ECMWF TO HAVE THE ADDITIONAL FORCING OF A COLD
FRONT. THE MODELS NOW SHOW A SIGNIFICANT SIGNAL FOR A WARMUP AHEAD
OF THE FRONT...WITH TEMPS IN THE 50S POSSIBLE MOST AREAS BY MON
BEFORE FROPA. NO CHANGES WERE MADE BEYOND DAY 5...BUT THE WARMUP
IS NOW BETTER REPRESENTED IN THE CURRENT FCST. THE COLUMN MAY
COOL ENOUGH FOR A RAIN SNOW MIX IMMEDIATELY BEHIND THE FRONT MON
NIGHT/TUE.

&&

.AVIATION...
KCGI AND KPAH TAF SITES WILL SEE VFR CONDITIONS THROUGHOUT THE 
FORECAST PERIOD. HIGH MVFR CIGS AND FLURRIES AT KEVV AND KOWB WILL 
END BY 10Z...THEN VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL. WEST TO NORTHWEST 
WINDS AT 10 TO 20 MPH SHOULD CONTINUE THROUGH 00Z...THEN DECREASE TO 
AROUND 10 MPH FROM THE SAME DIRECTION. 

&&

.PAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
KY...NONE.
MO...NONE.
IL...NONE.
IN...NONE.
&&

$$

PUBLIC...DB
AVIATION...JAP