FXUS62 KTBW 090122
AFDTBW

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY RUSKIN FL
822 PM EST TUE DEC 8 2009

.UPDATE...FAST WESTERLY FLOW CONTINUES ALOFT AS WATER VAPOR SATELLITE
IMAGERY SHOWING DRY AIR MOVING OVER THE STATE AND GULF. COMPLEX
STORM SYSTEM MOVING WELL NORTH OF THE AREA WITH STATIONARY FRONT
DRAPED OVER N FLORIDA THIS EVENING. LOW LEVEL SOUTHERLY FLOW
KEEPING HUMIDITY AND TEMPS UP AS 00Z SOUNDING SHOWING PWATS UP TO
1.72 INCHES. ANOTHER WARM NIGHT WITH LOW CLOUDS DEVELOPING OVERNIGHT
UNDER 4K FT INVERSION...BUT WITH STRONGER WINDS THAN LAST NIGHT
EXPECT MORE LOW CLOUDS THAN DENSE FOG. LATEST GRIDS AND FORECAST
SHOWING ALL THIS WELL.

&&

.AVIATION...VFR CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST THROUGH THE NIGHT BEFORE SOME 
PATCHY EARLY MORNING FOG DEVELOPS. THE LIMITING FACTOR FOR FOG 
FORMATION WILL BE THE INTENSITY OF THE WINDS JUST BEFORE SUNRISE. 
TERMINALS FROM SRQ NORTHWARD SHOULD SEE HIGHER WINDS COMPARED TO RSW 
AND FMY. THEREFORE...EXPECTING THICKER PATCHES OF FOG FURTHER SOUTH 
WHERE THE WINDS WILL BE THE LIGHTEST. VSBYS ARE EXPECTED TO DROP 
DOWN TO AT LEAST 2SM FOR RSW AND FWY AND TO AROUND 4-5SM FURTHER 
NORTH.

&&

.MARINE...GRADIENT TO INCREASE OVER THE E GULF OVERNIGHT. SCEC
CONDITIONS OVER THE NE GULF EXPECTED WITH WINDS INCREASING TO 15
TO 20 KTS AND BUILDING SEAS. SW FLOW TO INCREASE WEDNESDAY FOR THE
REST OF E GULF WITH ELEVATED CONDITIONS AHEAD OF COLD FRONT. 

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TPA  81  69  79  66 /  10   5  30  40 
FMY  84  69  84  69 /  10   5  20  30 
GIF  84  68  84  65 /  10   5  30  40 
SRQ  83  68  80  67 /  10   5  30  40 
BKV  82  65  81  62 /  10   5  40  40 
SPG  80  69  80  66 /  10   5  30  40 

&&

.TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...NONE.
GULF WATERS...NONE.
&&

$$

UPDATE/MARINE...25/DAVIS
AVIATION...20/BARRON