FXUS62 KFFC 160804
AFDFFC
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
305 AM EST WED DEC 16 2009
.SHORT TERM /TODAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
DRY WEATHER TODAY AND THURSDAY AS SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE MOVES ACROSS
THE EASTERN U.S. HOWEVER...A MOIST HIGH LEVEL FLOW WILL KEEP SKIES
PARTLY CLOUDY TO CLOUDY THROUGH THE PERIOD.
MODELS ARE CONSISTENT WITH BRINGING RAIN CHANCES BACK TO THE AREA
THURSDAY NIGHT AS LOW PRESSURE MOVES ACROSS THE GULF OF MEXICO. BEST
CHANCES WILL BE ACROSS CENTRAL GA. GRADIENT WINDS WILL BE ON THE
INCREASE AS WELL.
HIGH TEMPERATURES NEAR NORMAL TODAY AND THURSDAY GENERALLY FAVORING
THE COOL SIDE OF GUIDANCE. LOW TEMPERATURES NEAR NORMAL TONIGHT AND
SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL THURSDAY NIGHT AND GENERALLY FAVORING A BLEND
OF GUIDANCE.
OVERALL CONFIDENCE IS MODERATE TO HIGH.
.LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
SURFACE LOW PRESSURE MOVES ACROSS THE EASTERN GULF OF MEXICO AND N
FL ON FRIDAY. THIS WILL TARGET CENTRAL GA WITH SIGNIFICANT RAINFALL
WITH LIGHTER AMOUNTS FOR N GA. EFFECTS OF THE SURFACE SYSTEM WILL BE
DIMINISHING ON MONDAY WITH THE HIGHEST CHANCES OVER E GA. THE
EXITING SYSTEM WILL BRINGING A RESURGENCE OF COLD AIR TO THE AREA
AS AN UPPER TROUGH PASSES BY LATE SATURDAY AND BRINGS A COLD NW
UPPER FLOW TO THE AREA. POTENTIAL FOR SHORT WAVES AND SOME MOISTURE
IN THIS FLOW WILL GIVE THE POSSIBILITY FOR RAIN SHOWERS...SNOW
SHOWERS...SPRINKLES OR FLURRIES DEPENDING ON THE TIME OF DAY AND
MAINLY FOR N GA. GFS HAS A BETTER LOOKING SHORT WAVE AND ASSOCIATED
MOISTURE MONDAY MORNING THAT COULD GIVE BETTER POTENTIAL FOR SNOW
OVER N GA AND WILL NEED TO BE WATCHED.
&&
.HYDROLOGY...
ANOTHER RAIN EVENT TARGETING CENTRAL WITH THE HEAVIEST AMOUNTS.
RAINFALL STARTING THURSDAY NIGHT WITH AMOUNTS ABOUT 1/4-1/2 INCH OR
LESS. EXPECTED RAINFALL FRIDAY/FRIDAY NIGHT IN THE 1 TO 1.5 INCH
RANGE.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
ATHENS 57 33 55 36 43 / 0 0 0 30 80
ATLANTA 53 36 55 39 45 / 0 0 0 50 70
BLAIRSVILLE 50 28 51 32 42 / 0 0 0 20 40
CARTERSVILLE 53 28 54 35 47 / 0 0 0 30 50
COLUMBUS 59 37 57 43 48 / 0 0 0 90 90
GAINESVILLE 54 33 53 37 43 / 0 0 0 30 60
MACON 60 33 56 42 47 / 0 0 0 70 90
ROME 52 28 54 34 50 / 0 0 0 20 40
PEACHTREE CITY 55 28 55 37 43 / 0 0 0 60 80
VIDALIA 61 38 58 44 48 / 0 0 0 70 90
&&
.FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&
$$
BDL