FXUS64 KLZK 031150
AFDLZK
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
550 AM CST THU DEC 3 2009
.AVIATION...
HIGH PRESSURE AND DRIER AIR CONTINUE TO MOVE INTO THE STATE.
NORTHWEST WINDS CONTINUE AND SOME GUSTING IS NOTED IN NORTH
CENTRAL ARKANSAS. SATELLITE IMAGES SHOW THE LOW CLOUDS IN THE
NORTH DISSIPATING. CLEAR SKIES ARE EXPECTED IN THE NORTH TODAY
WITH CIRRUS CLOUDS CENTRAL AND SOUTH. PATCHY FOG IN THE SOUTH IS
EXPECTED TO LIFT THIS MORNING...AND MVFR CONDITIONS WILL BECOME
VFR. VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ELSEWHERE THROUGH THE PERIOD.
MOISTURE WILL RETURN MOSTLY IN THE CENTRAL AND SOUTH TONIGHT IN
THE MID LEVELS.
&&
.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 355 AM CST THU DEC 3 2009/
SHORT TERM...TODAY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT
LAST OF THE PRECIP SHIFTED OUT OF ERN AR EARLY WED EVENING. HIGH
PRES WL CONT TO DROP SWD THRU THE PLAINS STATES OVR THE NEXT 24 TO
48 HRS...KEEPING TEMPS WELL BLW NORMAL ACRS THE MID SOUTH. EXPECT A
HARD FREEZE OVR MUCH OF THE FA TNGT AND AREAWIDE FRI NGT...WITH LOWS
IN THE UPR TEENS AND 20S.
A NEW UPR TROF RMNS PROGGED TO SWING EWD ACRS AR LATE FRI AND FRI
NGT. ABUNDANT MID AND HIGH LVL CLOUDS WL INCRS OVR THE AREA AHEAD OF
THIS SYS. MODELS CONT TO INDC SOME LGT PRECIP DVLPG OVR SERN AR...
MAINLY FRI NGT. ONLY EXPECT SOME SPRINKLES OR FLURRIES WITH THIS
FEATURE...WITH MORE SIG PRECIP RMNG SE OF THE FA.
UPR SYS MOVES QUICKLY OFF TO THE E OF THE REGION BY SAT. HIGH PRES
IS FCST TO MOVE SLOLY EWD ACRS AR SAT. THE HIGH WL BE FAR ENOUGH E
OF THE AREA BY SAT NGT AND SUN FOR SELY WINDS TO RETURN. STAYED A
FEW DEGREES BLW MOS TEMPS AS MODELS TEND TO MODIFY AN ARCTIC AIRMASS
TOO QUICKLY.
A DVLPG STORM SYS WL APCH WRN AR LATE SUN AND WORK ACRS THE AREA SUN
NGT. ONLY LOOKING SOME LGT PRECIP ATTM...WITH TEMPS COLD ENOUGH FOR
A RN/SN MIX POSSIBLE OVR NRN AR. WL CONT TO MONITOR MODEL TRENDS IN
THE COMING DAYS.
LONG TERM...MONDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY
AN UPPER LOW WILL BE LOCATED IN THE UPPER MIDWEST TO BEGIN THE
PERIOD WITH SOUTHWEST FLOW ALOFT OVER THE MID SOUTH. THIS LOW WILL
SLIDE THROUGH THE GREAT LAKES AS ANOTHER ENTERS THE ROCKIES. THIS
TROUGH WILL MOVE OUT OF THE ROCKIES TUESDAY AND THROUGH ARKANSAS
WEDNESDAY.
MODELS LOOK SIMILAR FOR THE EXTENDED PERIOD. A COLD FRONT WILL BE
EXITING EAST ARKANSAS MONDAY MORNING. LIGHT RAIN WILL BE ENDING IN
THE SOUTHEAST. HIGH PRESSURE MOVES IN BRIEFLY MONDAY BUT MOISTURE
RAPIDLY RETURNS WITH A LOW MOVING OUT OF THE ROCKIES. WILL BRING
SLIGHT CHANCE POPS INTO THE AREA MONDAY NIGHT. PRECIPITATION CHANCES
INCREASE TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT AS THE COLD FRONT MOVES EAST AND
THE LOW MOVES THROUGH THE AREA. INCLUDED RAIN MIXING WITH SNOW OR
SNOW MONDAY NIGHT INTO TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY IN
THE NORTH. PRECIPITATION WILL MOVE OUT OF THE AREA WEDNESDAY. BELOW
NORMAL TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH THE EXTENDED
PERIOD.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
BATESVILLE AR 42 25 38 22 / 0 0 10 10
CAMDEN AR 48 27 45 23 / 0 0 10 20
HARRISON AR 39 19 38 17 / 0 0 0 0
HOT SPRINGS AR 47 26 42 22 / 0 0 10 10
LITTLE ROCK AR 45 26 42 24 / 0 0 10 10
MONTICELLO AR 47 28 43 26 / 0 0 10 20
MOUNT IDA AR 45 24 41 20 / 0 0 10 10
MOUNTAIN HOME AR 41 21 39 19 / 0 0 10 0
NEWPORT AR 42 26 39 25 / 0 0 10 10
PINE BLUFF AR 46 27 42 26 / 0 0 10 10
RUSSELLVILLE AR 44 25 40 22 / 0 0 10 10
SEARCY AR 44 26 39 24 / 0 0 10 10
STUTTGART AR 45 28 41 27 / 0 0 10 10
&&
.LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.
&&
$$
AVIATION...51
