FXUS62 KTBW 111457
AFDTBW

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY RUSKIN FL
957 AM EST FRI DEC 11 2009

.UPDATE...WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWING FAST WSW FLOW ALOFT WITH SOME
DRIER AIR MOVING OVER THE REGION. 12Z SOUNDING SATURATED THROUGH
12K FT WITH PWAT AT 1.33 INCHES AND THAT DRIER AIR ALOFT. SURFACE
HIGH PRESSURE CENTERED OVER THE DEEP SOUTH WITH STALLED FRONT OVER
THE SOUTHERN TIP OF FL AND THE SOUTHERN GULF. OVERRUNNING CLOUD
SHIELD TO HOLD OVER THE AREA TODAY WITH COOL AND BELOW NORMAL
TEMPS AND AT BEST A 30 POP FOR LIGHT RAIN. LATEST GRIDS AND
FORECASTS CLOSE...NO UPDATES EXPECTED

&&

.AVIATION...LIGHT SHRA/RA CONTINUE ON THE GULF BUT WILL HAVE LITTLE 
IMPACT TO THE TERMINALS EXCEPT IN THE FAR SOUTH WHERE FMY AND RSW
...CLOSER TO THE FRONT...HAVE VC REMARK THIS MORNING. THESE TWO 
SITES WILL STAY MVFR BKN TODAY WHILE BKN VFR PREVAILS TO THE NORTH. 
FRONT LIFTS NORTHWARD TONIGHT WITH MVFR CIG AND VCSH SPREADING 
ACROSS ALL TERMINALS.

&&

.MARINE...4-6 MB GRADIENT OVER THE E GULF BETWEEN HIGH PRESSURE IN
THE SE U.S. AND FRONT OVER THE FLORIDA STRAITS AND SOUTHERN GULF
TO KEEP NE WINDS AND SEAS ELEVATED. LATEST BUOY REPORTS SHOWING
WINDS AROUND 20 KTS IN CENTRAL AND NORTHERN WATERS WITH SEAS NEAR
7 FT WELL OFFSHORE AND WINDS AT 15 TO 20 KTS OVER SOUTHERN WATERS.
WILL HOIST SMALL CRAFT ADVISORIES FOR ALL CENTRAL AND NORTHERN
WATERS...INCLUDING TAMPA BAY FOR THE REST OF TODAY AND KEEP SMALL
CRAFT EXERCISE CAUTION SOUTHERN WATERS AND INCREASE SEAS ALL AREAS
WITH UPDATE.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TPA  66  58  78  65 /  30  40  50  50 
FMY  76  61  83  66 /  30  30  40  40 
GIF  67  58  80  64 /  30  40  50  50 
SRQ  70  59  80  65 /  30  40  50  40 
BKV  62  54  79  61 /  30  40  60  50 
SPG  66  59  78  66 /  30  40  50  50 

&&

.TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...NONE.
GULF WATERS...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 10 PM EST THIS EVENING
FOR ENGLEWOOD TO SUWANNEE RIVER OUT TO 60 NM...INCLUDING TAMPA BAY.

&&

$$

UPDAT/MARINE...25/DAVIS
AVIATION...09/RUDE