FXUS64 KLZK 112048
AFDLZK

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
247 PM CST FRI DEC 11 2009

.SHORT TERM...TONIGHT THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT
HIGH PRESSURE CONTINUES TO MOVE EAST THROUGH CENTRAL TENNESSEE. 
WINDS WILL GRADUALLY BECOME SOUTHEAST ON THE BACK SIDE OF THE HIGH. 
SATELLITE IMAGES SHOW A MID LEVEL CLOUD DECK SPREADING NORTHEAST 
ACROSS ARKANSAS. THIS HAS CUT OFF MUCH OF THE HEATING FOR THE REST 
OF THE AFTERNOON BUT WILL HELP TO HOLD TEMPERATURES UP OVERNIGHT. 

MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH BRINGING A SHORT WAVE NORTHEAST 
THROUGH THE AREA LATE TONIGHT AND SATURDAY...WITH THE NAM JUST A BIT 
SLOWER THAN THE GFS. LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE OUT OF THE GULF OF 
MEXICO AS WELL. WITH DRY AIR IN PLACE IT WILL TAKE SOME TIME TO 
MOISTEN THE ATMOSPHERE AND THIS SHOULD ALSO LEAD TO SOME LIGHT SLEET 
AS THE PRECIPITATION BEGINS...MAINLY CENTRAL AND NORTH SECTIONS. 
TEMPERATURES WILL WARM TO ABOVE FREEZING SATURDAY CHANGING ALL 
PRECIPITATION TO LIQUID. THE SYSTEM WILL EXIT THE AREA SATURDAY 
NIGHT. 

DRY AIR WILL RETURN FOR SUNDAY WITH A WARM UP AHEAD OF THE 
NEXT APPROACHING LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM. THIS LOW WILL BRING A COLD 
FRONT THROUGH THE PLAINS SUNDAY AND THE COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH 
ARKANSAS MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT. RAIN CHANCES WILL INCREASE ALONG 
THE COLD FRONT. WARMER TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED FOR SUNDAY AND 
MONDAY ENSURING ALL RAIN.

&&

.LONG TERM...TUESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT
FNTL BNDRY WL BE SHIFTING SE OF AR EARLY ON TUE...WITH SOME 
LINGERING RAIN CHCS NOTED OVR SERN AR. DRIER AND COLDER CONDS WL 
RETURN FOLLOWING FROPA AS HIGH PRES BLDS IN FM THE PLAINS. THE HIGH 
WL GRADUALLY WORK EWD AND WEAKEN OVR THE MID SOUTH DURG THE LATTER 
HALF OF THE WORK WEEK. TEMPS WL SLOLY MODIFY...BUT STILL RMN AT BLW 
NORMAL LVLS THRU MOST OF THE PD.
&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
BATESVILLE AR     29  39  35  51 /  10  60  40  10 
CAMDEN AR         36  42  39  60 /  40  70  30  10 
HARRISON AR       29  41  36  54 /  10  20  20  10 
HOT SPRINGS AR    33  40  37  56 /  30  70  30  10 
LITTLE ROCK   AR  33  39  36  54 /  20  70  40  10 
MONTICELLO AR     35  42  39  59 /  40  70  60  10 
MOUNT IDA AR      33  41  36  57 /  20  60  30  10 
MOUNTAIN HOME AR  27  40  35  52 /  10  30  30  10 
NEWPORT AR        29  39  36  51 /  10  70  60  10 
PINE BLUFF AR     34  40  38  57 /  30  70  50  10 
RUSSELLVILLE AR   33  39  35  54 /  10  40  30  10 
SEARCY AR         33  39  36  52 /  10  70  50  10 
STUTTGART AR      33  39  38  55 /  20  70  60  10 
&&

.LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...51 / LONG TERM...44