FXUS64 KLZK 240523
AFDLZK
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
1123 PM CST WED DEC 23 2009
.AVIATION...
WIDESPREAD MODERATE TO HEAVY RAINFALL CONTINUES ACROSS MUCH OF AR
LATE THIS EVENING. EMBEDDED THUNDERSTORMS ALSO OCCURRING...MAINLY
ACROSS THE SRN HALF OF THE STATE. CIGS AND VIS WILL CONTINUE TO BE
MVFR WITH THE RAINFALL...DIPPING TO IFR WITHIN THE HEAVIEST RAIN
OR STORMS. WINDS WILL BE NERLY ACROSS NRN SITES THROUGH MUCH OF
THE PERIOD BEFORE SWITCHING TO NW AS A STRONG COLD PASSES THROUGH.
THIS FRONT WILL DROP TEMPS ENOUGH TO CHANGE RAIN TO SNOW OR A MIX
OF SNOW AND SLEET ACROSS NRN AND WRN SITES AFTER 00Z TOMORROW.
FURTHER SOUTH...WINDS WILL BE MORE ERLY OVERNIGHT...THEN TURNING
SRLY THURSDAY BEFORE THE FRONTAL PASSAGE. SERN SITES MAY SEE A
BRIEF BREAK IN RAINFALL TOMORROW AFTERNOON BEFORE THE FRONTAL
PASSAGE. WINDS BEHIND THE FRONT WILL BE VERY BREEZY...SUSTAINED
15-20 KTS...WITH GUSTS 25-30 KTS.
&&
.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1001 PM CST WED DEC 23 2009/
UPDATE...
CURRENT FCST RMNS ON TRACK. WIDESPREAD RAIN AND EMBEDDED TSRA WL
CONT TO AFFECT MUCH OF THE FA OVERNIGHT. WHILE SOME STRONG/SVR
STORMS WILL STILL BE POSSIBLE OVR PARTS OF SRN AR...MAIN CONCERN
TNGT WL BE THE HVY RAIN THREAT. SOME LOCATIONS HAVE ALREADY PICKED
UP 3 TO 4 INCHES OF RAIN SINCE THIS AFTN.
UPDATED HRLY TEMPS TO REFLECT CURRENT TRENDS. ACTUALLY REWORKED
TEMPS TO REFLECT A STEADY OR SLOLY RISING TREND OVERNIGHT AS THE
STORM SYS APCHS FM THE SW. NO OTHER CHGS TO FCST ATTM. /44/
CLIMATE...
THE RAINFALL RECORDED SO FAR TODAY IN LITTLE ROCK AS OF MID
EVENING WAS ENOUGH TO MAKE 2009 THE WETTEST YEAR ON RECORD FOR THE
CITY.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
BATESVILLE AR 50 53 30 38 / 100 100 20 10
CAMDEN AR 56 57 31 45 / 100 100 20 10
HARRISON AR 51 52 23 32 / 100 100 60 20
HOT SPRINGS AR 54 55 30 40 / 100 100 20 10
LITTLE ROCK AR 53 55 31 41 / 100 100 20 10
MONTICELLO AR 55 59 33 45 / 100 100 20 10
MOUNT IDA AR 52 55 28 39 / 100 90 30 10
MOUNTAIN HOME AR 51 51 27 35 / 100 100 50 20
NEWPORT AR 50 55 32 39 / 100 100 20 10
PINE BLUFF AR 53 58 32 43 / 100 100 20 10
RUSSELLVILLE AR 52 54 27 37 / 100 90 30 10
SEARCY AR 52 55 31 40 / 100 100 20 10
STUTTGART AR 52 56 33 42 / 100 100 20 10
&&
.LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
LAKE WIND ADVISORY FROM 6 AM THURSDAY TO 6 PM CST FRIDAY FOR
ARKANSAS-BAXTER-BOONE-BRADLEY-CALHOUN-CLARK-CLEBURNE-CLEVELAND-
CONWAY-DALLAS-DESHA-DREW-FAULKNER-FULTON-GARLAND-GRANT-HOT
SPRING-INDEPENDENCE-IZARD-JACKSON-JEFFERSON-JOHNSON-LINCOLN-
LOGAN-LONOKE-MARION-MONROE-MONTGOMERY-NEWTON-OUACHITA-PERRY-PIKE-
POLK-POPE-PRAIRIE-PULASKI-SALINE-SCOTT-SEARCY-SHARP-STONE-VAN
BUREN-WHITE-WOODRUFF-YELL.
FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING FOR ARKANSAS-BAXTER-
BOONE-BRADLEY-CALHOUN-CLARK-CLEBURNE-CLEVELAND-CONWAY-DALLAS-
DESHA-DREW-FAULKNER-FULTON-GARLAND-GRANT-HOT SPRING-INDEPENDENCE-
IZARD-JACKSON-JEFFERSON-JOHNSON-LINCOLN-LOGAN-LONOKE-MARION-
MONROE-MONTGOMERY-NEWTON-OUACHITA-PERRY-PIKE-POLK-POPE-PRAIRIE-
PULASKI-SALINE-SCOTT-SEARCY-SHARP-STONE-VAN BUREN-WHITE-WOODRUFF-
YELL.
&&
$$
AVIATION...62
