FXUS62 KJAX 300132
AFDJAX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
832 PM EST SUN NOV 29 2009
.UPDATE...THE 00Z SOUNDING SHOWS STRONG SUBSIDENCE INVERSION ABOVE
THE SURFACE AND IS LIKELY CULPRIT FOR DRIER AIR MIXING DOWN DURING
THE AFTN. DEW PTS HAVE QUICKLY RECOVERED AND ARE CURRENTLY IN UPR
40S TO LOW 50S. MSAS STREAMLINE ANALYSIS SHOWS FLOW HAS SHIFTED TO
SELY AS SFC HIGH SHIFTS EWD. QUIET NIGHT IS EXPECTED WITH TEMPS
NEAR NORMAL. CURRENT TEMP/DWPT GRIDS ARE LOOKING GOOD AND DO NOT
PLAN ANY UPDATES. PATCHY FOG IS POSSIBLE BUT NOT ENUF TO ADD TO
FCST AND THAT IS IN PART DUE TO WAVES OF DENSE CIRRUS STREAMING
ACRS THE NRN GULF OF MEX AND THE SOUTHEAST ASSOCIATED WITH THE SRN
JET STREAM.
&&
.AVIATION...WILL PROBABLY HAVE PATCHES OF FOG TONIGHT DESPITE
THE HIGH CLOUDS AND DRY AIRMASS...DUE TO A DEVELOPING LOW LEVEL
INVERSION JUST ABOVE GROUND LEVEL. HAVE CONTINUED WITH PREVIOUS
FORECAST OF MVFR VSBY AT VQQ AND GNV AFTER 06Z. ALL AREAS SHOULD BE
VFR AFTER 15Z MON.
&&
.MARINE...NO HEADLINES.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AMG 44 73 46 65 / 0 10 20 10
SSI 51 72 52 65 / 0 0 10 10
JAX 45 74 51 67 / 0 0 10 20
SGJ 51 74 55 69 / 0 0 10 20
GNV 42 74 50 70 / 0 0 10 20
OCF 42 75 52 71 / 0 0 10 20
&&
.JAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...NONE.
GA...NONE.
AM...NONE.
&&
$$
MT/PP/PK