FXUS64 KTSA 061707
AFDTSA

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
1107 AM CST SUN DEC 6 2009

.AVIATION...
CONCERNING TAF SITES KTUL/KRVS/KMLC/KXNA/KFYV/KFSM.
MVFR CIGS CAN BE EXPECTED FOR ALL TAF SITES FOR MOST OF THE VALID
TAF PERIOD. AN UPPER DISTURBANCE SLIDING EAST NORTHEAST ACROSS
KANSAS WILL AID IN BRINGING A SURFACE COLD FRONT INTO THE AREA
TONIGHT. LIGHT RAIN AND/OR DRIZZLE WILL BE POSSIBLE BY LATER THIS
AFTERNOON AND EVENING....WITH A CHANGEOVER TO FREEZING DRIZZLE
POSSIBLE ACROSS THE NW AR TAF SITES AS THE COLDER AIR BEGINS TO
MOVE IN AFTER 06Z AND MOISTURE LINGERS. ANY DRIZZLE OR FREEZING
DRIZZLE SHOULD BE EAST OF THE AR TAF SITES AFTER THE 09Z-10Z TIME
FRAME.

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1045 AM CST SUN DEC 6 2009/ 

DISCUSSION...
CURRENT FORECAST IN GOOD SHAPE. ONLY MINOR ADJUSTMENTS INCLUDE
RAISING TEMPS ACROSS THE THE FAR WRN ZONES A DEGREE OR TWO AS
CLOUDS COVER HAS BEEN A LITTLE THINNER IN THOSE AREAS...IF NOT
TEMPORARILY ABSENT. EXPECT CLOUDS TO FILL IN... BUT THERE MAY BE
JUST ENOUGH SUN TO ALLOW TEMPS TO SNEAK UP THAT EXTRA DEGREE OR 
SO. AS THE UPPER DISTURBANCE SLIDES EAST ACROSS KS TODAY...EXPECT
LOW CHANCE FOR LIGHT RAIN AND DRIZZLE TO DEVELOP ALTER THIS
AFTERNOON...AND MAY EVEN BECOME FREEZING DRIZZLE THIS EVENING
AFTER THE FRONT GOES THROUGH AND TEMPERATURES DROP.

NO OTHER ADJUSTMENTS MADE TO FIRST PERIOD ELEMENTS.
UPDATED ZFP/PFM/AFM ALREADY SENT.

 &&

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TUL   29  41  34  45 /  10  10  20  50 
FSM   31  48  38  47 /  40  10  30  50 
MLC   30  47  38  51 /  10  10  30  40 
BVO   26  41  31  41 /  10  10  20  60 
FYV   31  43  34  46 /  30  10  20  60 
BYV   29  42  34  44 /  30  10  20  60 
MKO   31  45  35  46 /  10  10  20  50 
MIO   30  41  32  44 /  20  10  20  60 
F10   30  44  35  48 /  10  10  20  40 
HHW   34  51  41  53 /  20  10  40  40 

&&

.TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...NONE.
AR...NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...99
LONG TERM....15
AVIATION...23