FXUS64 KOHX 301211
AFDOHX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN
611 AM CST MON NOV 30 2009
.UPDATE...ADDED AVIATION SECTION.
&&
.AVIATION...LOOK FOR PATCHES OF LIGHT RAIN AND DRIZZLE TO AFFECT
BNA/CSV THIS MORNING AS A COLD FRONT HAS MOVED EAST OF MIDDLE
TENNESSEE. YOU CAN ALSO EXPECT LOW CEILINGS AND LIGHT FOG, BUT
CEILINGS WILL START TO IMPROVE BY MID-MORNING. BY LATE MORNING, WE
SHOULD SEE VFR CONDITIONS AT BNA, AND EARLY AFTERNOON AT CSV.
SKIES WILL CLEAR OUT COMPLETELY DURING THE AFTERNOON, WITH WINDS
DIMINISHING AFTER DARK. THERE MAY BE SOME FOG AT BNA/CSV
OVERNIGHT AS SKIES GO CLEAR AND WINDS BECOME LIGHT/CALM.
&&
.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 318 AM CST MON NOV 30 2009/
DISCUSSION...COLD FRONT IS NEAR A LINE FROM HUNTINGDON WVA TO
NASHVILLE TN TO GREENWOOD MS. THE BACKEDGE OF THE ASSOCIATED
REFLECTIVITY EXTENDS ALONG A LINE FROM GREENVILLE KY TO JACKSON TN
TO DE WITT AR. LOCAL WRF MODEL INDICATES THAT RAIN WILL TAPER OFF
FROM WEST TO EAST TODAY WITH RAIN MOSTLY ENDING IN THE PLATEAU
AROUND MID-AFTERNOON. CLOUDINESS WILL DIMINISH FROM WEST TO EAST
LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. CONCERNING OUR DRIEST NOVEMBER.
LATEST CLIMATE REPORT FOR KBNA SHOWS .28 INCH OF PRECIP THIS MONTH.
HOURLY METARS SHOW AN ADDITIONAL .33 INCH OF RAINFALL SINCE THEN.
THUS...UNOFFICIALLY SPEAKING...IT APPEARS THAT THE NOVEMBER 1949
RECORD WILL STAND FOR THE DRIEST NOVEMBER.
HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE AREA THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH TUE...WAITING FOR
THE UPPER LOW OVER NW MEXICO TO PUSH EWD. AS THE UPPER LOW PUSHES
EWD...A SFC LOW WILL FORM OVER THE WRN GULF EARLY TUE. THIS LOW WILL
PUSH NEWD ACROSS THE SERN STATES ON TUE NGT AND WED. THIS PUSHES
RAIN BACK INTO THE MIDSTATE LATE TUE NGT AND WED. IN THE MEANTIME...
COLD AIR WILL BE POURING INTO THE AREA WITH HIGH TEMPS DROPPING ACCORDINGLY
THROUGH FRI. THERE IS A POSSIBILITY FOR MIXED PRECIP WED NGT AND
THU AM...AS WELL AS A POSSIBILITY OF SNOW/FLURRIES THU NGT. 850MB
TEMPS DROP TO -12C BY MIDNIGHT THU NGT(06Z/4 DEC).
HIGH PRESSURE MOVES EWD ACROSS THE GULF COAST STATES ON FRI/FRI NGT
WITH THE NEXT FRONTAL SYSTEM DUE INTO THE MIDSTATE ON SUN(6 DEC)
&&
.OHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&
$$
ROSE
