FXUS64 KTSA 282110
AFDTSA

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
310 PM CST SAT NOV 28 2009

.DISCUSSION...
AFTER A DELIGHTFUL AFTERNOON...SOME CHANGES ON TH WAY FOR THE LAST 
PART OF THE  HOLIDAY WEEKEND. A COLD FRONT...CURRENTLY SITUATED ACROSS 
IA AND EXTENDING INTO NW KS WILL CONTINUE TO PUSH ITS WAY TOWARDS 
THE REGION TONIGHT WITH THE HELP OF SOME TAIL END SW ENERGY 
ASSOCIATED WITH AN UPPER SYSTEM PUSHING ITS WAY ACROSS THE UPPER 
MIDWEST. MOISTURE WILL BE ON THE INCREASE AND EXPECT SHOWER ACTIVITY 
TO DEVELOP MOSTLY SUNDAY...WITH THE BETTER CHANCES FOR RAIN ACROSS 
SE OK AND NW AR AS THE MOISTURE IN THAT AREA WILL BE A LITTLE 
DEEPER. DRY DAYS EXPECTED MONDAY AND TUESDAY WITH COOLER 
TEMPERATURES IN STORE AS HIGH PRESSURE SETTLES OVER THE ARE AND 
CENTERS ITSELF ACROSS THE SRN PLAINS BY TUESDAY MORNING. NEXT UPPER 
SYSTEM WELL ORGANIZED BY THAT TIME ACROSS THE SW CONUS. THIS FEATURE 
WILL MOVE TO THE NORTHEAST WITH TIME...AND WILL LIKELY TRACK SOUTH OF 
THE RED RIVER PER GFS/ECMWF. GFS STILL A LITTLE FASTER WITH THE 
TIMING...BUT PRECIP SHOULD END WEDNESDAY BY EVENING/NIGHT. LOW LEVEL 
THICKNESS PROGS STILL SUPPORT RAIN...HOWEVER THE POSSIBILITY OF SOME 
MIXED PRECIP BEARS WATCHING..ESPECIALLY IF A SLOWER TREND DEVELOPS 
WHICH WOULD WARRANT KEEPING PRECIP CHANCES IN OVERNIGHT AND INTO 
THURSDAY MORNING. COOLER...BUT DRIER WEATHER ANTICIPATED FOR THE 
REMAINDER OF THE EXTENDED.               

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TUL   50  53  35  53 /  10  50  20   0 
FSM   52  60  37  51 /  10  70  50  10 
MLC   55  58  37  54 /  10  60  20   0 
BVO   49  53  30  52 /  10  50  20   0 
FYV   50  56  33  49 /  10  70  30  10 
BYV   49  57  34  48 /  10  70  40  10 
MKO   50  56  35  51 /  10  50  20   0 
MIO   49  53  33  50 /  10  50  10   0 
F10   53  55  35  53 /  10  50  20   0 
HHW   56  62  42  55 /  10  70  50  10 

&&

.TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...NONE.
AR...NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...99
LONG TERM....23