FXUS64 KSHV 240332
AFDSHV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
932 PM CST WED DEC 23 2009

.DISCUSSION...
UPDATES OUT FOR NEW TORNADO WATCH 806 UNTIL 12Z/6AM. WARM FRONT
DRAPED NORTH OF THE I-20 CORRIDOR WITH MOISTURE PLENTY THICK ON
THE SOUNDING...BUT STILL SOME DRY AIR ALOFT. THE AFTERNOON ROUND
OF TSTM ACTIVITY IS STILL LIFTING OUT ACROSS THE NORTHERN
TIER...WHILE MORE DEVELOPMENT COMING IN OVER THE SOUTHWEST CORNER.
MEANWHILE...THE FRONT AND UPPER LOW COMING OUT INTO CENTRAL TX...NOW
PAST ABILENE. FLASH FLOODING IS A GREAT CONCERN INTO THE
OVERNIGHT AS WELL AS THE TORNADO THREAT. SEVERAL AREAS QUITE
SOAKED FROM FIRST ROUND. AS THE SQUALL LINE DEVELOPS AND MOVES OUR
WAY...WE WILL TRANSITION INTO AN INCREASED DAMAGING WIND THREAT FROM
ANY BOWING SEGMENTS BY DAYBREAK. /24/

&&

.AVIATION...
MVFR CIGS FOR MOST WITH CONVECTIVE ISSUES AS WELL BRINGING DOWN
VSBY AND VARYING SFC WINDS. SOUTHEAST FLOW OVERNIGHT WILL SHIFT TO
SOUTHWEST ALONG THE FRONT AND REMAIN RATHER GUSTY INTO THE
AFTERNOON WITH GUSTS AROUND 30 KTS LIKELY AS THE COLD AIR SPREADS
BACK INTO THE REGION AFTER DAYBREAK. WE/LL KEEP MVFR AT LEAST AS
COLD AIR DEEPENS AND WIND VEER MORE WESTERLY DURING THE AFTERNOON.
VFR EXPECTED BEYOND TOMORROW AND INTO THE WEEKEND. /24/

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SHV  56  56  30  47  30 / 100  70  10  10  10 
MLU  60  60  31  47  30 / 100  70  10  10  10 
DEQ  54  54  25  43  26 / 100  70  20  10  10 
TXK  54  54  29  43  30 / 100  70  20  10  10 
ELD  57  57  29  46  28 / 100  70  20  10  10 
TYR  49  49  28  45  30 / 100  70  10  10  10 
GGG  51  51  26  47  30 / 100  70  10  10  10 
LFK  52  55  30  50  31 / 100  70  10  10  10 

&&

.SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...LAKE WIND ADVISORY FROM 6 AM TO 6 PM CST THURSDAY FOR THE 
     FOLLOWING ZONES: ARZ050-051-059>061-070>073.

     FLASH FLOOD WATCH UNTIL 6 AM CST THURSDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING 
     ZONES: ARZ050-051-059>061-070>073.

LA...LAKE WIND ADVISORY FROM 6 AM TO 6 PM CST THURSDAY FOR THE 
     FOLLOWING ZONES: LAZ001>006-010>014-017>022.

     FLASH FLOOD WATCH UNTIL 6 AM CST THURSDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING 
     ZONES: LAZ001>006-010-012>014.

OK...LAKE WIND ADVISORY FROM 6 AM TO 6 PM CST THURSDAY FOR THE 
     FOLLOWING ZONES: OKZ077.

     FLASH FLOOD WATCH UNTIL 6 AM CST THURSDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING 
     ZONES: OKZ077.

TX...LAKE WIND ADVISORY FROM 6 AM TO 6 PM CST THURSDAY FOR THE 
     FOLLOWING ZONES: 
     TXZ096-097-108>112-124>126-136>138-149>153-165>167.

     FLASH FLOOD WATCH UNTIL 6 AM CST THURSDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING 
     ZONES: TXZ096-097-108>112-124>126-136>138-150-151-153.

&&

$$

24