FXUS62 KJAX 260132
AFDJAX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
832 PM EST WED NOV 25 2009
.UPDATE...
SURFACE LOW CONTINUES TO PULL NORTH AWAY FROM THE REGION. MUCH
DRIER AIR IN THE LOWER LEVELS HAS PRETTY MUCH BROUGHT AN END TO
RAIN SHOWERS. A FEW LIGHT RAIN SHOWERS ARE STILL POSSIBLE EAST OF
A LINE FROM SAINT AUGUSTINE TO OCALA BUT IT IS ANTICIPATED THAT
THESE SHOWERS WILL BE CAPABLE OF ONLY ONE TO TWO HUNDREDTHS OF AN
INCH OF NEW RAINFALL AT THE MOST. OTHERWISE...ISOLATED SPRINKLES
WILL COME TO AN END THIS EVENING AS MID AND UPPER LEVEL MOISTURE
PULLS AWAY. A COLD FRONT WILL SLIDE THROUGH OVERNIGHT AND SKIES
WILL BECOME MOSTLY CLEAR BY SUNRISE. THIS WILL ALLOW TEMPS TO DROP
DOWN INTO THE 40S LATE TONIGHT. THANKSGIVING DAY WILL BE A
GORGEOUS DAY WITH MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES AND SEASONABLE
TEMPERATURES...HIGHS IN THE MID 60S ACROSS SOUTHEAST GEORGIA AND
UPPER 60S TO LOW 70S ACROSS NORTHEAST FLORIDA.
&&
.AVIATION...TERMINALS ARE EXPERIENCING VFR CONDS WITH CIGS 7KFT
OR HIGHER. SATELLITE SHOWS A BACK EDGE TO THE MID/HI CLOUDS IS
JUST WEST OF FL PENINSULA. SKIES WILL CLEAR BY MORNING. DRIER AIR
IS FILTERING IN AT LOW LEVELS AND FOG WILL BE PATCHY IN NATURE.
HAVE MVFR VIS FOR GNV/VQQ FROM 08Z-12Z.
&&
.MARINE...WINDS HAVE DECREASED BELOW 15KT AT THE BUOYS. SEAS ARE
RUNNING 3-5 FT. HAVE CANCELLED THE SCA FOR OFFSHORE WATERS.
HOWEVER...WINDS WILL INCREASE AGAIN THURS AFTN AS COLD AIR
ADVECTION INCREASES WITH TIGHTENING PRESSURE GRADIENT. HAVE
HOISTED A SCA FOR OFFSHORE LEGS THURS NIGHT THRU FRIDAY.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AMG 42 64 35 62 / 0 0 0 0
SSI 50 66 42 59 / 10 0 0 0
JAX 47 68 39 63 / 10 0 0 0
SGJ 53 68 44 63 / 20 10 0 0
GNV 49 68 38 63 / 10 0 0 0
OCF 51 70 40 63 / 20 10 0 0
&&
.JAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...NONE.
GA...NONE.
AM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 7 PM THURSDAY TO 6 PM EST FRIDAY FOR
ALTAMAHA SOUND GA TO FERNANDINA BEACH FL 20 NM TO 60 NM
OFFSHORE-FERNANDINA BEACH TO ST AUGUSTINE FL 20 NM TO 60 NM
OFFSHORE-ST AUGUSTINE TO FLAGLER BEACH FL 20 NM TO 60 NM
OFFSHORE.
&&
$$
SHULER/TRABERT/PRESNALL
