FXUS65 KABQ 011008
AFDABQ
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
307 AM MST TUE DEC 1 2009
.DISCUSSION...
AS ONE STORM MOVES BY TO OUR S TODAY AND LOSES ITS IMPACT ON NM
WEATHER TONIGHT...ANOTHER SYSTEM FROM THE N WILL BRING SNOW TO THE
E AND COLD TEMPERATURES AREA WIDE. ANOTHER STORM POSSIBLE LATE IN
THE WEEKEND OR EARLY NEXT WEEK. WELCOME TO DECEMBER...AND WINTER.
STORM OVER NRN MEXICO TO CONTINUE TO DRIFT E TODAY AND TONIGHT...
BRINGING SOME MORE SNOW TO SC AND SE AREAS. WILL LET THE SW MTNS
AND SAN FRAN VALLEY WARNING/ADVY EXPIRE AT 400AM. WILL END ADVYS
FOR SC HIGHLANDS AND TULAROSA VALLEY AT NOON. REST OF WARNINGS
AND ADVISORIES AS IS...EXCEPT TO ADD CURRY COUNTY TO AN ADVISORY.
FAIRLY IMPRESSIVE BAND OF PRECIP WITH CONTINUED COOLING CLOUD
TOPS HOLDING TOGETHER AS IT MOVES N INTO ROOSEVELT COUNTY. DRY
AND COOL W AND N.
SNOW WILL END IN THE SE LATE TON WHILE ANOTHER AREA BEGINS IN THE
NE. SNOW WILL CONTINUE TO SPREAD S WED AND WED NIGHT AND CONTINUE
THU INTO FRI OVER MUCH OF THE E AS THE NEXT SYSTEM DIVES S FROM
THE NRN ROCKIES. PLENTY OF COLD AIR BEHIND THIS SYSTEM AND HAVE
LOWERED TEMPS SIGNIFICANTLY OVER ALL OF CWA THU THROUGH MOST OF
THE WEEKEND. SECOND SURGE OF COLD AIR FOR THE E ON SAT NIGHT AND
SUN.
ANOTHER STORM MAY IMPACT NM LATE WEEKEND OR EARLY NEXT WEEK WITH
MORE COLD AIR. CHJ
&&
.AVIATION...
SNOW WILL CONTINUE TO OVERSPREAD THE SOUTHEAST PLAINS AND PARTS OF
THE EAST CENTRAL PLAINS THIS MORNING AS THE UPPER LEVEL LOW SOUTH OF
NM TRACKS EAST NORTHEASTWARD. PRECIPITATION WILL COME TO AN END IN
THE SOUTHWEST MOUNTAINS AND LOWER RIO GRANDE VALLEY BY THIS
AFTERNOON...WHEN TEMPERATURES SHOULD WARM ENOUGH FOR A MIXTURE OF
RAIN AND SNOW ON THE SOUTHEAST AND EAST CENTRAL PLAINS. THE RUIDOSO
AREA WILL CONTINUE TO EXPERIENCE PERIODS OF SNOW THROUGHOUT THE DAY.
THE TRICKIEST TAF FORECAST TODAY WILL BE KTCC...WHERE SIGNIFICANT
SNOW IS POSSIBLE DEPENDING ON THE TRACK OF THE UPPER LOW. AT THIS
TIME...SHOWERS THERE LOOK TRANSITORY WITH A BETTER CHANCE OF MORE
PERSISTENT PRECIP FARTHER SOUTH NEAR CLOVIS. WIDESPREAD MVFR AND IFR
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ON THE SOUTHEAST PLAINS...AND OCCASIONALLY
ON THE EAST CENTRAL PLAINS TODAY. AFTER SUNSET A NORTHERLY WIND
SHIFT WILL OCCUR ACROSS THE PLAINS AS A BACK DOOR COLD FRONT DROPS
RAPIDLY SOUTHWARD. A FEW SNOW SHOWERS WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE
EAST WITH THE FRONT...AND SOME VERY LOW CLOUDS COULD OVERSPREAD
PARTS OF CURRY COUNTY AND THE SOUTHEAST PLAINS INCLUDING KROW TOWARD
SUNRISE.
NEXT AVIATION DISCUSSION SCHEDULED FOR 22Z. 44
&&
.FIRE WEATHER...
SIGNIFICANT SNOW ACCUMULATION WILL BE POSSIBLE ON THE PLAINS OF DE
BACA...ROOSEVELT AND POSSIBLY CURRY COUNTY TODAY AND ESPECIALLY THIS
MORNING. THE THREAT FOR SIGNIFICANT SNOW ACCUMULATION IN THE SW
MOUNTAINS AND LOWER RIO GRANDE VALLEY WILL END THIS MORNING AS THE
UPPER LOW SOUTH OF NM GRADUALLY EXITS EAST NORTHEASTWARD INTO TX.
BREEZY NW WINDS WILL DEVELOP THIS AFTERNOON ACROSS WESTERN AND
CENTRAL AREAS...AND THIS WILL RESULT IN SOME FAIR TO GOOD
VENTILATION DESPITE CHILLY TEMPERATURES. VENTILATION WILL REMAIN
FAIR TO GOOD ALONG AND WEST OF THE CENTRAL MOUNTAIN CHAIN
WEDNESDAY...AND ALSO ON THE FAR EASTERN PLAINS WHERE SURFACE WINDS
WILL BE A LITTLE BREEZY BEHIND A BACK DOOR COLD FRONT THAT WILL DROP
SOUTHWARD THROUGH THE EAST TONIGHT.
AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH WILL DROP FAIRLY SLOWLY SOUTHWARD THROUGH NM
LATE WEDNESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT WITH SOME VERY COLD AIR.
SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS WILL DEVELOP IN THE SANGRES WEDNESDAY...THEN
SPREAD TO MUCH OF THE AREA ALONG AND EAST OF THE CENTRAL MOUNTAIN
CHAIN WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT...BEFORE GRADUALLY
DIMINISHING ON THE EAST CENTRAL PLAINS FRIDAY. AN INCH OR TWO OF
SNOW ACCUMULATION WILL BE POSSIBLE ON THE PLAINS...WITH HIGHER
ACCUMULATIONS IN THE SANGRES.
DRIER WEATHER IS EXPECTED SATURDAY WITH WARMING TEMPERATURES.
HOWEVER...ANOTHER UPPER TROUGH AND SURFACE COLD FRONT ARE EXPECTED
TO DROP SOUTHWARD INTO THE STATE LATE SUNDAY OR EARLY IN THE COMING
WORK WEEK.
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&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
FARMINGTON...................... 50 21 46 16 / 0 0 0 0
DULCE........................... 49 15 43 10 / 0 0 5 5
CUBA............................ 47 12 42 8 / 0 0 0 5
GALLUP.......................... 50 14 47 9 / 0 0 0 0
EL MORRO........................ 48 13 46 9 / 0 0 0 0
GRANTS.......................... 51 12 48 10 / 0 0 0 0
QUEMADO......................... 49 14 49 10 / 0 0 0 0
GLENWOOD........................ 52 23 55 20 / 5 0 0 0
CHAMA........................... 45 10 37 0 / 0 0 5 5
LOS ALAMOS...................... 49 18 41 13 / 0 0 5 5
PECOS........................... 47 17 38 12 / 0 0 5 10
CERRO/QUESTA.................... 46 12 35 6 / 0 5 10 10
RED RIVER....................... 41 9 28 0 / 0 5 20 10
ANGEL FIRE...................... 43 7 30 -1 / 0 10 20 20
TAOS............................ 50 10 37 4 / 0 5 10 10
ESPANOLA........................ 54 14 44 10 / 0 0 5 5
SANTA FE........................ 48 21 41 16 / 0 0 5 10
SANTA FE AIRPORT................ 50 22 42 18 / 0 0 5 10
ALBUQUERQUE FOOTHILLS........... 53 26 48 23 / 0 0 0 5
ALBUQUERQUE HEIGHTS............. 53 29 49 26 / 0 0 0 5
ALBUQUERQUE VALLEY.............. 56 21 51 18 / 0 0 0 5
ALBUQUERQUE WEST MESA........... 55 23 51 20 / 0 0 0 5
LOS LUNAS....................... 53 18 52 16 / 0 0 0 5
RIO RANCHO...................... 54 26 50 23 / 0 0 0 5
SOCORRO......................... 47 21 50 18 / 5 0 0 0
SANDIA PARK/CEDAR CREST......... 51 15 45 12 / 0 0 0 5
MORIARTY/ESTANCIA............... 50 15 42 8 / 0 0 0 5
CLINES CORNERS.................. 43 21 36 17 / 5 0 5 20
GRAN QUIVIRA.................... 46 20 45 16 / 10 0 0 5
CARRIZOZO....................... 43 21 47 18 / 40 5 0 5
RUIDOSO......................... 35 18 42 19 / 60 5 0 10
CAPULIN......................... 52 16 30 10 / 0 10 20 50
RATON........................... 53 19 32 9 / 0 20 20 50
LAS VEGAS....................... 47 19 33 10 / 0 10 20 30
CLAYTON......................... 53 21 31 13 / 5 5 10 30
ROY............................. 48 18 36 14 / 5 10 10 40
CONCHAS......................... 49 26 41 17 / 10 5 10 30
SANTA ROSA...................... 47 24 44 17 / 10 5 5 30
TUCUMCARI....................... 48 25 39 18 / 20 10 5 30
CLOVIS.......................... 40 26 39 21 / 60 30 5 20
PORTALES........................ 40 25 41 20 / 60 30 5 20
FORT SUMNER..................... 44 23 43 19 / 30 10 5 20
ROSWELL......................... 39 31 47 28 / 70 20 5 10
PICACHO......................... 41 25 46 22 / 60 5 5 10
ELK............................. 37 20 43 19 / 60 10 5 10
&&
.ABQ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY UNTIL 4 PM MST THIS AFTERNOON FOR THE
FOLLOWING ZONES...NMZ535>538.
WINTER STORM WARNING UNTIL 4 PM MST THIS AFTERNOON FOR THE
FOLLOWING ZONES...NMZ526-539-540.
WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY UNTIL NOON MST TODAY FOR THE FOLLOWING
ZONES...NMZ524-525.
&&
$$
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