FXUS64 KMEG 272058 AAA
AFDMEG

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
258 PM CST FRI NOV 27 2009

.DISCUSSION...

SKIES REMAIN SUNNY OVER THE FORECAST AREA THIS AFTERNOON WHICH HAS
ALLOWED TEMPERATURES TO INTO THE 50S. HIGH PRESSURE ALONG THE GULF
COAST WILL MOVE EAST TONIGHT. THIS WILL ALLOW WINDS TO BECOME A
LITTLE MORE SOUTHERLY TONIGHT WHICH WILL KEEP TEMPERATURES WARMER THAN
THURSDAY NIGHT. SATURDAY AND SATURDAY NIGHT SHOULD BE DRY AND MUCH
WARMER THAN TODAY AS WARMER AIR MOVES BACK INTO THE REGION. A COLD
FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE FORECAST AREA SUNDAY NIGHT INTO
MONDAY. RAIN SHOULD BEGIN TO MOVE INTO THE FORECAST AREA BY SUNDAY
AFTERNOON WITH RAIN CONTINUING THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT BEFORE ENDING
SOMETIME ON MONDAY. THERE SHOULD BE ENOUGH RAINFALL FROM THIS
FRONT TO KEEP MEMPHIS AND JACKSON TENNESSEE FROM HAVING THE DRIEST
NOVEMBER ON RECORD. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD BACK INTO THE AREA BY
LATE MONDAY NIGHT KEEPING THINGS COOL AND DRY FOR MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH
TUESDAY NIGHT. WEDNESDAYS FORECAST APPEARS TO BE SOMEWHAT TRICKY AS
UPPER LEVEL LOW MOVES THROUGH THE GULF COAST STATES AND A COLD
FRONT SWEEPS THROUGH THE FORECAST AREA. IT APPEARS THAT THERE
SHOULD BE SOME RAIN FOR WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT. MODELS DO
NOT AGREE ON TIMING OF THESE SYSTEMS SO FORECAST CONFIDENCE IS
RATHER LOW. HIGH PRESSURE SHOULD BUILD IN AGAIN FOR THURSDAY
BRINGING ANOTHER ROUND OF DRY AND COOL WEATHER FOR THURSDAY
THROUGH FRIDAY.

ARS

&&

AVIATION...

FOR 18Z TAF CYCLE

VFR CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE THROUGHOUT THE PERIOD. WINDS WILL BE
LIGHT ALSO THROUGHOUT THE PERIOD. TLSJR

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
MEM  44  67  48  64 /   0   0  10  40 
MKL  37  65  44  61 /   0   0  10  40 
JBR  40  63  46  58 /   0   0  10  60 
TUP  36  64  43  64 /   0   0  10  30 

&&

.MEG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...NONE.
MO...NONE.
MS...NONE.
TN...NONE.
&&

$$