FXUS63 KPAH 221831
AFDPAH

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
1230 PM CST TUE DEC 22 2009

.UPDATE...
REVISED PUBLIC DISCUSSION FOR NOON UPDATE AND AVIATION DISCUSSION 
FOR 18Z TAFS.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
UPDATED FORECAST TO ACCOUNT FOR ONGOING EROSION IN LOW OVERCAST... 
ESPECIALLY OVER WESTERN KENTUCKY AND FAR SOUTHERN ILLINOIS. THIS 
TREND SHOULD CONTINUE INTO THE AFTERNOON HOURS OVER THE REST OF THE 
AREA...ALTHOUGH MID LEVEL CLOUDS SHOULD BEGIN TO OVERSPREAD THE AREA 
THIS AFTERNOON FROM THE WEST. RAISED TEMPERATURES INTO THE 50S IN 
AREAS WHERE THE SUN HAS ALREADY BROKEN THROUGH...MAINTAINED 40S 
ELSEWHERE. WARM ADVECTION PRECIPITATION ALSO DEVELOPING OVER FAR 
SOUTHEAST MISSOURI...AND MOST OF THIS WILL REMAIN VERY LIGHT. AS A 
RESULT...EXPANDED THE CHANCE OF SPRINKLES FROM SOUTHEAST MISSOURI 
INTO SOUTHWEST ILLINOIS FOR THIS AFTERNOON.

&&

.AVIATION...
LOW CLOUDS AND FOG WILL CONTINUE TO ERODE THIS AFTERNOON...WITH KCGI 
AND KEVV BECOMING VFR WITHIN A FEW HOURS AFTER HIGH NOON. VFR LOW 
AND MID LEVEL CLOUDS WILL BEGIN TO OVERSPREAD THE REGION THIS 
AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT AHEAD OF THE NEXT WEATHER SYSTEM. BAND OF 
SPRINKLES OVER SOUTHEAST MISSOURI COULD IMPACT KCGI WITHIN THE NEXT 
FEW HOURS...BUT KEPT MENTION OUT OF FORECAST FOR NOW DUE TO LOW 
IMPACT. POTENTIAL FOR SHOWERS WILL ESCALATE OVER WESTERN TERMINALS 
LATE TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY MORNING...MAINLY IMPACTING KCGI AND KPAH. 
KEVV AND KOWB SHOULD REMAIN DRY THROUGH MIDDAY WEDNESDAY. WINDS 
THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD WILL BE SOUTHEASTERLY AT 5 TO 10 KNOTS.

&&

.PAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
KY...NONE.
MO...NONE.
IL...NONE.
IN...NONE.

&&

$$

RJP