FXUS62 KFFC 120809
AFDFFC

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
310 AM EST SAT DEC 12 2009

.SHORT TERM /TODAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
A SURGE OF OVERRUNNING MOISTURE AND RAIN EXPECTED TODAY INTO SUNDAY 
AS SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE MOVES OFFSHORE THE E COAST TONIGHT. SHORT 
WAVE ACTIVITY WILL AID MODERATE TO HEAVY RAIN POTENTIAL THIS 
AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. COLD AIRMASS IN PLACE WITH SLEET POSSIBLE AT 
THE ONSET OF PRECIPITATION MAINLY THIS MORNING. RAIN CHANCES 
DIMINISH/END SUNDAY AFTERNOON/NIGHT AS THE MOISTURE EXITS THE AREA.

HIGH TEMPERATURES 15 TO 20 DEGREES BELOW NORMAL TODAY AND NEAR OR 
SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL TONIGHT. THERE IS A 7-14 DEGREES DIFFERENCE 
BETWEEN MAV AND MET MOS GUIDANCE FOR HIGH TEMPERATURES SUNDAY. MET 
MOS IS COOLER AND PROBABLY BETTER BUT WILL USE A 50-50 BLEND.    

OVERALL CONFIDENCE IS MODERATE.

.LONG TERM /MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
MOISTURE AND PRECIP CHANCES RETURN QUICKLY MONDAY AHEAD OF THE NEXT 
COLD FRONT. COLD FRONT MOVES ACROSS AREA TUESDAY INTO TUESDAY NIGHT.
LOOKS LIKE A DRY FORECAST WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY. AM KEEPING THE 
FORECAST DRY ON FRIDAY...HOWEVER THE GFS AND EUROPEAN MODELS DIFFER 
WITH THE GFS INDICATING SOME MOISTURE AND PRECIP POTENTIAL OVER THE 
AREA.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...
BORDERLINE HEAVY RAIN EVENT WITH WIDESPREAD AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 1.5 
INCHES EXPECTED TODAY AND TONIGHT WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS.
1/4 TO 1/2 INCH OR LESS AMOUNTS EXPECTED SUNDAY. FLOOD WATCH WILL BE 
CONTINUED.  

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
ATHENS          37  35  46  36  61 /  90 100  70  10  20 
ATLANTA         37  37  48  42  60 / 100 100  80  10  30 
BLAIRSVILLE     35  35  48  34  61 /  80 100  80  10  20 
CARTERSVILLE    39  37  49  36  60 / 100 100  80  10  30 
COLUMBUS        40  40  59  46  65 / 100 100  70  10  40 
GAINESVILLE     36  34  43  38  57 /  90 100  80  10  20 
MACON           41  41  57  45  64 / 100 100  60  10  40 
ROME            39  39  50  35  60 / 100 100  80  10  20 
PEACHTREE CITY  40  38  52  36  61 / 100 100  80  10  30 
VIDALIA         46  46  63  53  66 / 100 100  60  20  40 

&&

.FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FLOOD WATCH FROM 1 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING FOR 
N AND CENTRAL GA.
&&

$$

BDL