FXUS62 KFFC 302015
AFDFFC
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
315 PM EST MON NOV 30 2009
.SHORT TERM /TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
A COLD FRONT MOVING ACROSS THE AREA AT THIS TIME WILL EXIT THE AREA
THIS EVENING. PASSAGE OF THE ASSOCIATED SHORT WAVE WILL END THE
REMAINING LIGHT SHOWERS.
DRY SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE MOVES ACROSS THE AREA TUESDAY.
THE CONCERN WILL THEN BE LOW PRESSURE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP ALONG THE
GULF COAST TUESDAY AND MOVE TO THE TN VALLEY WEDNESDAY AND ACROSS
THE OH VALLEY WEDNESDAY NIGHT. MODELS GENERALLY AGREE WITH JUST SOME
DIFFERENCES OF LOW PRESSURE POSITION AND TIMING. GENERALLY EXPECTING
A HEAVY RAIN EVENT STARTING OVER THE SW CWA TUESDAY NIGHT AND ACROSS
THE AREA ON WEDNESDAY. STRONG LOW AND UPPER JET DYNAMICS ASSOCIATED
SO A PERIOD OF WINDY CONDITIONS CAN BE EXPECTED. JUST ENOUGH
INSTABILITY WILL BE ASSOCIATED WITH THE SYSTEM TO BE CONCERNED WITH
SEVERE WEATHER ON WEDNESDAY...POSSIBLY TUESDAY NIGHT OVER THE SW
CWA...WITH THE GFS INDICATING 200-500 MOST UNSTABLE CAPE.
LOW TEMPERATURES NEAR TO SLIGHTLY BELOW NORMAL TONIGHT AND 5 TO 10
DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL TUESDAY NIGHT. HIGH TEMPERATURES NEAR NORMAL
TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY.
OVERALL CONFIDENCE IS MODERATE TO HIGH.
.LONG TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
THE SURFACE AND UPPER SYSTEM WILL HAVE EXITED FOR THURSDAY WITH
PRECIP NOT EXPECTED. THE PLACE OF SMALL CONCERN WILL BE FAR N GA
THURSDAY AND FRIDAY AS THERE COULD BE WEAK SHORT WAVE ACTIVITY IN
THE SW UPPER FLOW. WILL NEED TO WATCH FRIDAY NIGHT INTO SATURDAY AS
WELL AS MODELS INDICATING A MORE POTENT SHORT WAVE COULD BRING SOME
MIXED PRECIP TO FAR N GA DEPENDING ON THE TIMING. WILL LEAVE OUT OF
THE FORECAST FOR NOW AND JUST WATCH THE PROGRESSION. DRY WEATHER
EXPECTED FOR SUNDAY. GFS INDICATING SOME SMALL PRECIP CHANCES FOR
MONDAY.
&&
.HYDROLOGY...
HEAVY RAIN EVENT EXPECTED LATE TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY.
A HYDROLOGICAL OUTLOOK(ESFFFC) WILL BE ISSUED SHORTLY FOR DETAILS.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
ATHENS 36 60 44 56 47 / 5 0 100 100 50
ATLANTA 36 59 45 58 45 / 5 0 100 100 50
BLAIRSVILLE 32 58 38 51 42 / 0 0 90 100 60
CARTERSVILLE 32 58 44 58 44 / 0 0 100 100 50
COLUMBUS 38 61 50 65 47 / 10 10 100 100 20
GAINESVILLE 36 58 44 53 45 / 5 0 100 100 50
MACON 38 62 49 65 50 / 20 0 100 90 50
ROME 33 57 44 58 44 / 0 0 100 100 50
PEACHTREE CITY 32 59 44 60 45 / 10 0 100 100 40
VIDALIA 46 65 51 69 54 / 30 5 90 70 60
&&
.FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&
$$
BDL
