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Newton, Texas, United States (75966)
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 Lat: 30.85N, Lon: 93.75W
Wx Zone: TXZ182 ICAO Used: KJAS
Area Discussion for County Warning Area LCH:
FXUS64 KLCH 301610
AFDLCH

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
1010 AM CST MON NOV 30 2009

.UPDATE...
COLD FRONT CURRENTLY EXTENDS FROM NEAR BATON ROUGE SW ACRS SAINT
MARY AND IBERIA PARISHES INTO THE NW GULF. RADAR MOSAIC SHOWS A
BAND OF CONVECTION ALONG THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY WITH AREAS OF 
POST-FRONTAL LIGHT RAIN ACRS SE TX AND SW LA. COOLER AIR HAS
FILTERED INTO THE AREA WITH TEMPERATURES AS OF 10 AM RANGING FROM
THE LOWER 50S OVER THE LAKES AREA OF SE TX TO THE UPPER 60S OVER
EXTREME S CNTRL LA...JUST AHEAD OF THE FRONT.

A BIT OF A TRICKY FORECAST FOR TODAY WITH MODELS UNDERESTIMATING
COVERAGE OF OVERRUNNING PRECIP ACRS SE TX...AND THIS ALONG WITH
CLOUD COVER AND CAA PLAYING HAVOC WITH TEMPERATURES AS WELL. HAVE
INCREASED POPS AREAWIDE TODAY AS PATCHY LIGHT RAIN SHOULD CONTINUE TO
OVERSPREAD THE AREA FROM THE WEST WITH POPS EXPECTED TO TAPER OFF
FROM NORTH TO SOUTH THIS EVENING. ALSO LOWERED MAX TEMPS A FEW
DEGREES AND ADJUSTED HOURLY TEMP/DEWPOINT GRIDS WITH TEMPERATURES
EXPECTED TO REMAIN FAIRLY STEADY OR COOLING THROUGH THIS AFTN.  24

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 556 AM CST MON NOV 30 2009/ 

AVIATION...A COLD FRONT HAS MOVED THROUGH BPT AND WILL MOVE
THROUGH AEX AND LCH WITHIN THE NEXT COUPLE OF HOURS. LIGHT RAIN
ACCOMPANIES THIS FRONT AND WILL GRADUALLY TAPER OFF AROUND MID-DAY.
IFR CIGS CAN BE EXPECTED UNTIL LATE MORNING OR EARLY AFTERNOON AS WELL.
THE ACADIANA TERMINALS LFT AND ARA CAN EXPECT RAIN AHEAD OF THE
FRONT WHICH WILL MOVE THROUGH AROUND MID-MORNING. IFR CIGS AND
RAIN WILL CONTINUE WITH TEMPO MVFR VIS UNTIL EARLY AFTERNOON.
ALTOCU AND CIRRUS CIGS WILL BE THE RULE TNITE. GUSTY NORTHERLY
WINDS IN THE WAKE OF THE FRONT WILL DIMINISH TO LIGHT WINDS TNITE.

SWEENEY

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 439 AM CST MON NOV 30 2009/ 

.HURRICANE SEASON ENDS TODAY...

DISCUSSION...
A STRONG COLD FRONT IS PUSHING THROUGH SOUTHEAST TEXAS AND
SOUTHERN LOUISIANA WITH SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ACCOMPANYING
THIS LATEST FRONT. TEMPERATURES ARE 10 TO 15 DEGREES COOLER BEHIND
THE FRONT WITH WINDS SWINGING AROUND TO THE NORTHWEST. WINDS WILL
INCREASE OVER THE COASTAL WATERS AND A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY HAS
BEEN POSTED FOR TODAY. WHAT IS INTERESTING IS THAT WE WERE
ACTUALLY WARMER THAN MIAMI BEACH WHICH WAS REPORTING 63 DEGREES
WHILE BPT REPORTED 68 AND LAKE CHARLES REPORTED 69 DEGREES.

CHANCES FOR RAIN FALL TOWARDS THE NOON HOUR TODAY ALTHOUGH SOME
CHANCE WILL LINGER INTO THE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT HOURS. SKIES
WILL REMAIN CLOUDY THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT HOURS AS A LOW DEVELOPS
OFF THE COAST OF BROWNSVILLE TEXAS. THIS LOW WILL LIFT NORTHEAST
TOMORROW WITH RAIN CHANCES INCREASING. THE LOW IS EXPECTED OFF
THE LOUISIANA COAST TMRW EVENING. RAINS WILL CONTINUE INTO
WEDNESDAY MORNING BEFORE ENDING AS THE LOW MOVES INTO MISSISSIPPI
DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS.

ANOTHER FRONT...A DRY ONE THIS TIME...WILL PUSH TEMPS IN CNTRL LA
AND LAKES REGION OF SE TX TO NEAR FREEZING BY FRIDAY MORNING.

K. KUYPER

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
KLCH  60  49  56  47 /  60  30  70  70 
KBPT  59  49  55  46 /  50  30  70  70 
KAEX  57  42  53  44 /  50  20  60  70 
KLFT  63  47  58  47 /  80  30  70  70 

&&

.LCH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
LA...NONE.
TX...NONE.
GM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 4 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 6 AM CST 
     WEDNESDAY FOR COASTAL WATERS FROM LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER 
     TO INTRACOASTAL CITY, LA OUT 20 NM-WATERS FROM LOWER 
     ATCHAFALAYA RIVER TO INTRACOASTAL CITY, LA EXTENDING FROM 
     20 NM TO 60 NM.

     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 6 AM CST WEDNESDAY FOR CALCASIEU LAKE-
     COASTAL WATERS FROM CAMERON, LA TO HIGH ISLAND, TX OUT 20 
     NM-COASTAL WATERS FROM INTRACOASTAL CITY TO CAMERON, LA OUT 
     20 NM-SABINE LAKE-WATERS FROM CAMERON, LA TO HIGH ISLAND, 
     TX EXTENDING FROM 20 NM TO 60 NM-WATERS FROM INTRACOASTAL 
     CITY, LA TO CAMERON, LA EXTENDING FROM 20 NM TO 60 NM.

&&

$$

PUBLIC/MARINE...04


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