FXUS62 KMLB 120307
AFDMLB

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
1005 PM EST FRI DEC 11 2009

.DISCUSSION...
EC FL LOCATED BETWEEN 1034MB SURFACE HIGH CENTER LOCATED ALONG THE 
CAROLINA COAST AND FRONTAL BOUNDARY ACROSS THE FL STRAITS THIS 
EVENING. SURFACE PGRAD FROM KJAX-KMFL HAS TIGHTENED TO ~7MB BETWEEN 
THE HIGH TO THE NORTH AND FRONT S. A FEW LOCATIONS HAVE BEEN 
REPORTING LIGHT RAIN/SPRINKLES THIS EVENING. SOME INCREASE IN RAIN 
COVERAGE EXPECTED BY EARLY SAT. THIS OCCURRING AS SURFACE BOUNDARY 
STARTS TO LIFT BACK NORTHWARD AND ISENTROPIC UPGLIDE INCREASES AS 
FLOW ABOVE THE SURFACE BACKS TO SSW-SW AND PICKS UP. WILL KEEP CHC 
POPS IN FOR THE OVERNIGHT BUT TREND WX GRIDS TO INDICATE CHANCES 
HIGHER LATE NIGHT/TOWARD SUNRISE. MIN TEMPS WILL HAVE A FAIRLY LARGE 
RANGE NW-SE GIVEN THE ONSHORE NELY FLOW...WITH LOWER 50S NW TO ARND 
70 SE COAST. 

&&

.AVIATION...AREAS MVFR/LCL IFR DUE TO LOW STRATUS AND -RA/BR 
OVERNIGHT.  AFT 12/12Z...CIGS LIFTING TO FL020-030 ALONG AND N OF 
THE I-4 CORRIDOR...AND TO FL030-040 ALONG THE SPACE AND TREASURE 
COASTS...WIDESPREAD MVFR VSBYS IN RA.  

&&

.MARINE...CURRENT HEADLINES LOOK ON TRACK AND NO SIG CHANGES PLANNED.
(PREVIOUS) POOR CONDITIONS OVER THE LCL ATLC WILL DETERIORATE 
FURTHER OVERNIGHT AS A STRONG HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE OVER THE ERN 
SEABOARD PUSHES OFF THE MID ATLC COAST.  WILL PUSH UP THE ONSET OF 
SCA CONDITIONS FOR THE OFFSHORE WATERS FROM 06Z TO 00Z TONIGHT... 
ALSO WILL BRING SCA WINDS INTO THE NEARSHORE WATERS BY 06Z.  BY 
DAYBREAK SAT...SEAS BUILDING TO 5-7FT NEARSHORE AND 6-8FT 
OFFSHORE.    

WEEKEND...SAT LOOKS LIKE A BAD DAY FOR BOATING DUE TO RATHER
STRONG ONSHORE FLOW AND CONSIDERABLE CLOUDS/SHOWERS. HAVE EXPANDED
THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TO INCLUDE THE NEARSHORE WATERS SATURDAY.
SUNDAY LOOKS LIKE THE BETTER BOATING DAY AS THE WINDS VEER TO THE
SOUTH THEN SOUTHWEST AND DECREASE TO 10-15 KNOTS.

MON-TUE...SURFACE RIDGE AXIS ACROSS THE AREA ON MON SHOULD RESULT
IN WINDS 10 KNOTS OR LESS. PRE FRONTAL SOUTH/SOUTHWEST WINDS ON
TUE ARE EXPECTED AT SPEEDS AROUND 15 KNOTS.

&&

.MLB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...NONE.
AM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 1 AM SATURDAY TO 1 AM EST SUNDAY FOR 
     COASTAL WATERS FROM FLAGLER BEACH TO VOLUSIA BREVARD COUNTY 
     LINE OUT 20 NM-COASTAL WATERS FROM SEBASTIAN INLET TO 
     JUPITER INLET OUT 20 NM-COASTAL WATERS FROM VOLUSIA BREVARD 
     COUNTY LINE TO SEBASTIAN INLET OUT 20 NM.

     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 10 AM EST SUNDAY 
     FOR WATERS FROM FLAGLER BEACH TO VOLUSIA BREVARD COUNTY 
     LINE 20 TO 60 NM OFFSHORE-WATERS FROM SEBASTIAN INLET TO 
     JUPITER INLET 20 TO 60 NM OFFSHORE-WATERS FROM VOLUSIA 
     BREVARD COUNTY LINE TO SEBASTIAN INLET 20 TO 60 NM OFFSHORE.

&&

$$

GLITTO/SEDLOCK