FXUS62 KFFC 151033
AFDFFC
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
530 AM EST TUE DEC 15 2009
.SHORT TERM /TODAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
COLD FRONT MOVES ACROSS THE AREA TODAY. PRECIP CHANCES ENDING FOR
MUCH OF THE CWA TODAY AND THE FAR SE CWA THIS EVENING. DRY HIGH
PRESSURE MOVES TO THE EASTERN U.S. FOR WEDNESDAY.
HIGH TEMPERATURES 5 TO 10 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL TODAY AND OCCURRING
THIS MORNING FOR SOME AREAS. HIGHS TEMPERATURES NEAR NORMAL FOR
WEDNESDAY. LOW TEMPERATURES NEAR TO SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL TONIGHT
AND NEAR 5 DEGREES BELOW NORMAL WEDNESDAY NIGHT.
OVERALL CONFIDENCE IS MODERATE TO HIGH.
.LONG TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
THURSDAY STILL LOOKS DRY. GFS AND EUROPEAN DIFFERING AFTER WITH
THE EUROPEAN SPREADING MOISTURE AND PRECIP ACROSS THE AREA THURSDAY
NIGHT AND FRIDAY WITH THE GFS HOLDING PRECIP CHANCES ACROSS CENTRAL
GA ONLY AS BOTH MODELS TRACK SURFACE LOW PRESSURE ACROSS THE GULF OF
MEXICO AND FL. BOTH MODELS DEVELOP AN UPPER TROUGH OVER THE MID U.S.
ON SATURDAY THAT COULD SPREAD ENOUGH MOISTURE OVER N GA FOR SOME
LIGHT SHOWERS AND IF ITS COLD ENOUGH...POSSIBLY LIGHT SNOW SHOWERS.
THIS POSSIBILITY CONTINUES INTO SUNDAY NIGHT. MONDAY GENERALLY LOOKS
DRY AS THE UPPER SYSTEM WILL HAVE PASSED. OVERALL CONFIDENCE IS
LOW.
&&
.HYDROLOGY...
STILL SOME HEAVY RAIN POTENTIAL EARLY TODAY ACROSS THE SOUTHERN
PORTIONS OF CENTRAL GA SO THE FLOOD WATCH WILL BE CONTINUED. ANOTHER
1/2 INCH OF RAIN EXPECTED TODAY ON TOP OF WHAT HAS FALLEN ALREADY.
&&
.AVIATION...
COLD FRONT INTO NORTHWEST GA THIS MORNING...AND WILL CONTINUE ACROSS
THE STATE TODAY. MOST SIGNIFICANT RAIN TODAY SHOULD STAY COLUMBUS TO
MACON AND SOUTH...GRADUALLY SINKING INTO SOUTH GA AHEAD OF THE
FRONT. IFR CEILINGS IMPROVING TO MVFR BY AFTERNOON...AND VFR BY 00Z.
WINDS SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15KT THIS MORNING...BECOMING NORTHWEST 10 TO
20KT BY 18Z.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
ATHENS 63 36 55 30 58 / 40 5 0 0 5
ATLANTA 60 36 54 34 57 / 50 0 0 0 5
BLAIRSVILLE 54 31 49 28 52 / 20 0 0 0 0
CARTERSVILLE 59 33 52 26 57 / 40 0 0 0 5
COLUMBUS 64 42 59 34 61 / 100 0 0 0 5
GAINESVILLE 59 35 54 33 55 / 30 0 0 0 5
MACON 66 40 58 31 60 / 100 10 0 0 5
ROME 57 33 51 26 56 / 30 0 0 0 0
PEACHTREE CITY 64 35 55 28 57 / 50 0 0 0 5
VIDALIA 68 48 59 34 59 / 100 30 0 0 5
&&
.FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FLOOD WATCH THROUGH THIS EVENING FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES:
BLECKLEY...CHATTAHOOCHEE...CRISP...DODGE...DOOLY...EMANUEL...
HOUSTON...JOHNSON...LAURENS...MACON...MARION...MONTGOMERY...
MUSCOGEE...PULASKI...SCHLEY...STEWART...SUMTER...TELFAIR...
TOOMBS...TREUTLEN...WEBSTER...WHEELER...WILCOX.
&&
$$
BDL
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