FXUS65 KLKN 292242
AFDLKN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ELKO NV
242 PM PST SUN NOV 29 2009

.SYNOPSIS...HIGH PRESSURE WILL BRING DRY WEATHER AND ABOVE NORMAL
TEMPERATURES THROUGH THE UPCOMING WEEK. A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM MAY
BRING A SMALL THREAT OF SHOWERS AND COLDER TEMPERATURES NEXT
WEEKEND. &&

.SHORT TERM...TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY. UPPER RIDGE WITH AXIS
ALONG THE WEST COAST WILL BRING BENIGN WEATHER THROUGH WEDNESDAY.
HIGH TEMPS WILL AVERAGE AROUND 4 TO 6 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL.
SUNSHINE WILL BE ABUNDANT AND WINDS LIGHT. 

.LONG TERM...WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH NEXT SUNDAY. MODELS ARE IN 
AGREEMENT TO BEGIN THE LONG TERM PERIOD WITH A RIDGE ALONG THE WEST 
COAST...ALONG WITH A 551DAM LOW CENTERED NEAR 145W AND 38N...JUST 
WEST OF THE RIDGE. MODELS DISAGREE HOWEVER ON HOW TO ADVANCE THE LOW 
EASTWARD. WILL CONTINUE TO TREND THE FORECAST TOWARD THE GFS DUE TO 
ITS GENERAL RUN-TO-RUN CONSISTENCY...WHICH KEEPS THE AMPLIFIED 
RIDGE OFF THE WEST COAST WHILE A WEAKENING TROUGH THAT IS PROGGED TO 
SLIDE DOWN THE EASTERN SIDE OF THE RIDGE INTO THE NORTHERN PORTION 
OF THE GREAT BASIN BY SATURDAY NIGHT. KEPT THE COOLING TREND OVER 
THE WEEKEND ALONG WITH SOME POPS. HOWEVER WITH THE GFS MODEL 
WEAKENING THE TROUGH NEXT SATURDAY...DID BACK OFF SLIGHTLY ON THE 
POPS FOR THE WEEKEND. &&

.AVIATION...BREEZY WINDS THIS AFTERNOON ACROSS CENTRAL NEVADA WILL
DIMINISH AROUND SUNSET. CLEAR SKIES ARE EXPECTED OVERNIGHT TONIGHT
AND AGAIN ON MONDAY...WITH WINDS MONDAY LIGHTER THAN THOSE TODAY. &&

.LKN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE. &&

$$

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