FXUS62 KTAE 041429
AFDTAE

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
930 AM EST FRI DEC 4 2009

.DISCUSSION...BASED ON LATEST RADAR TRENDS AND FORECAST EVOLUTION 
OF THE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM CURRENTLY IN THE WESTERN GULF...WE MADE 
SOME MINOR CHANGES IN OUR POP DISTRIBUTION FOR TODAY AND TONIGHT. 
UPDATED ZONES HAVE ALREADY BEEN SENT. FOR TODAY...POPS ARE 
SHARPLY TAPERED FROM SILENT 10% FOR SE ALABAMA AND OUR NORTHERNMOST 
GEORGIA ZONES TO LIKELY FOR THE SOUTHEAST BIG BEND. EVEN IN AREAS 
WHERE THE POPS ARE HIGH...QPF AMOUNTS WILL GENERALLY BE LIGHT. THE 
BEST CHANCE FOR RAIN CONTINUES TO BE THIS EVENING THROUGH THE 
OVERNIGHT HOURS. POPS ARE CATEGORICAL FOR ALL ZONES WITH SLIGHTLY 
HIGHER PERCENTAGES FOR THE SOUTHEAST BIG BEND. 

&&

.MARINE...WINDS AND SEAS ARE CURRENTLY LOW ACROSS THE LOCAL WATERS 
BUT WILL LIKELY RAMP UP TO ADVISORY LEVELS TONIGHT AS THE SURFACE 
LOW DEVELOPS AND TRACKS SOUTH OF THE MARINE AREA. 

&&

.AVIATION...VFR CONDITIONS WITH A MID LEVEL CLOUD DECK OVER THE 
REGION TODAY. PATCHES OF LIGHT RAIN WILL BE POSSIBLE TODAY WITH THE 
BEST CHANCE FOR RAIN THROUGH THE LATE NIGHT HOURS TONIGHT INTO 
SATURDAY MORNING. WINDS WILL BE LIGHT FROM THE NORTH TO 
NORTHEAST.    

&&

.TAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...NONE.
GA...NONE.
FL...NONE.
GM...NONE.

&&

$$

BARRY/MROCZKA