FXUS61 KCAR 110941
AFDCAR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
441 AM EST FRI DEC 11 2009

.SYNOPSIS...
INTENSE LOW PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE TO LIFT THOUGH THE MARITIMES
TODAY. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD EAST SATURDAY...THEN CROSS THE
REGION SUNDAY.
&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
A TIGHT PRESSURE GRADIENT BETWEEN INTENSE LOW PRESSURE NEAR
NEWFOUNDLAND AND HIGH PRESSURE ACROSS THE MID ATLANTIC REGION WILL
PERSIST ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA TODAY THROUGH TONIGHT. FORECAST
SOUNDINGS INDICATE DEEP ENOUGH MIXING TO HELP DRAW STRONG WINDS
ALOFT TO THE SURFACE. WEST WINDS WILL INCREASE TO SUSTAINED SPEEDS
OF 25 TO 35 MPH...WITH GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH...THIS MORNING. SIMILAR
WINDS WILL THEN PERSIST THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. THUS...A WIND
ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT FOR THE ENTIRE FORECAST AREA TODAY.
OTHERWISE...SKIES WILL BE MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SCATTERED SNOW 
SHOWERS ACROSS THE NORTH/MOUNTAINS TODAY. SKIES WILL BE PARTLY 
SUNNY WITH ISOLATED SNOW SHOWERS DOWNEAST TODAY. MOSTLY CLOUDY
SKIES AND SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS WILL PERSIST ACROSS THE 
NORTH/MOUNTAINS TONIGHT...WITH PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES DOWNEAST. GUSTY
WINDS WILL PERSIST TONIGHT. HIGH TEMPERATURES TODAY WILL RANGE
FROM AROUND 20 NORTH...TO AROUND 30 TO THE LOWER 30S DOWNEAST.
LOW TEMPERATURES TONIGHT WILL RANGE FROM THE SINGLE DIGITS ABOVE
ZERO NORTH...TO 10 TO 15 DOWNEAST.
&&

.SHORT TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
STRONG LOW PRESSURE NORTH OF NEWFOUNDLAND IN COMBINATION WITH A
STRONG RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE ACROSS THE MID ATLANTIC STATES WILL
CONTINUE TO RESULT IN A BRISK WESTERLY FLOW ACROSS THE REGION
THROUGH MUCH OF SATURDAY. SKIES ON SATURDAY WILL BE MOSTLY CLOUDY
ACROSS THE NORTH AND THEN BECOME PARTLY CLOUDY LATER SATURDAY
AFTERNOON. ACROSS DOWNEAST AREAS SKIES WILL BE PARTLY CLOUDY.
WINDS WILL BEGIN TO DIMINISH DURING SATURDAY NIGHT AS THE LOW
CONTINUES TO MOVE NORTHEAST AWAY FROM THE REGION AND THE RIDGE TO
OUR SOUTH BUILDS ACROSS THE STATE. SKIES SATURDAY NIGHT WILL BE
PARTLY CLOUDY REGIONWIDE. CLOUDS WILL BEGIN TO INCREASE DURING
SUNDAY IN ADVANCE OF WEAK LOW PRESSURE APPROACHING FROM THE WEST
WITH THE CHANCE OF LIGHT SNOW DEVELOPING LATER SUNDAY AFTERNOON.
&&

.LONG TERM /SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY/...
A CHANCE OF LIGHT SNOW WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE REGION SUNDAY
NIGHT AND INTO EARLY MONDAY AS AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE TO OUR
SOUTH MOVES EAST. A WEAK RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL THEN BUILD
ACROSS THE REGION LATER MONDAY AND INTO MONDAY EVENING. LOW
PRESSURE WILL THEN APPROACH THE REGION LATER MONDAY NIGHT BRINGING
A CHANCE OF SNOW TO THE REGION. A SECONDARY WAVE OF LOW PRESSURE
MAY DEVELOP ACROSS SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND DURING TUESDAY. THIS COULD
ENHANCE THE CHANCE FOR PRECIPITATION ACROSS THE REGION LATER
TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT. STILL LOTS OF UNCERTAINTY WITH REGARD
TO THIS SYSTEM SO WILL ONLY GO WITH CHANCE POPS ATTM. AN UPPER
TROUGH WILL THEN KEEP COLD AND UNSETTLED WEATHER ACROSS THE REGION
THROUGH THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK.
&&

.AVIATION /07Z FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
OCCASIONAL MVFR CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE NORTH AND
MOUNTAINS TODAY THROUGH TONIGHT. GENERALLY VFR CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED DOWNEAST TODAY THROUGH TONIGHT. STRONG GUSTY WINDS WILL
OCCUR ACROSS THE REGION TODAY INTO TONIGHT. THERE COULD BE SOME
LINGERING MVFR CONDITIONS ACROSS NORTHERN AREAS EARLY SATURDAY.
OTHERWISE VFR CAN BE EXPECTED INTO EARLY SUNDAY. MVFR/IFR
CONDITIONS WILL BE POSSIBLE LATER SUNDAY AND SUNDAY NIGHT IN LIGHT
SNOW. VFR CONDITIONS WILL THEN RETURN MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT. IFR
CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE BY TUESDAY. 
&&

.MARINE...
NEAR TERM: A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE WATERS TODAY
THROUGH TONIGHT. VISIBILITIES COULD BE LOCALLY REDUCED IN ANY SNOW
SHOWERS TODAY.

SHORT TERM: GALE FORCE WINDS CAN BE EXPECTED SATURDAY. WINDS WILL
THEN DIMINISH TO SCA LEVELS SATURDAY NIGHT SCA CONDITIONS WILL BE
POSSIBLE AGAIN EARLY NEXT WEEK.
&&

.CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...WIND ADVISORY FROM 7 AM THIS MORNING TO 7 PM EST THIS EVENING 
     FOR MEZ001>006-010-011-015>017-029>032.
MARINE...GALE WARNING UNTIL 6 PM EST SATURDAY FOR ANZ050>052.

&&

$$
NEAR TERM...NORCROSS
SHORT TERM...DUDA
LONG TERM...DUDA
AVIATION...NORCROSS
MARINE...NORCROSS/DUDA