FXUS64 KOUN 020521
AFDOUN
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
1121 PM CST TUE DEC 1 2009
.AVIATION...
/06Z TAFS/... RAIN WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT PORTIONS OF THE AREA
OVERNIGHT INTO WED MORNING. THE RAIN MAY MIX WITH SLEET AND/OR
SNOW IN A FEW LOCATIONS. HOWEVER... NO SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF
FROZEN PRECIP ARE EXPECTED. PRECIP WILL GRADUALLY END FROM WEST TO
EAST.
&&
.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 930 PM CST TUE DEC 1 2009/
DISCUSSION...FAIRLY WIDESPREAD LIGHT PRECIP CONTINUES THIS EVENING
IN ADVANCE OF UPPER LOW MOVING THROUGH WEST TX. INITIAL BAND OF
PRECIP ACROSS PARTS OF SW/CNTRL OK EARLIER IN THE EVENING HAS
WEAKENED WITH MORE WIDESPREAD RAIN NOW SPREADING NORTHWARD THROUGH
SCNTRL OK. EXPECT PERECIP TO CONTINUE OVERNIGHT AS LOW CONTINUES
EASTWARD ACROSS TX. STILL SOME POTENTIAL FOR MIXED PRECIP LATER
TONIGHT AS PER FORECST SOUNDINGS AND TEMPS PROGS AND WILL THIS IN
FORECAST. HOWEVER...SURFACE TEMPS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN AOA
FREEZING SO IMPACTS WILL REMAIN MINIMAL.
PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 530 PM CST TUE DEC 1 2009
AVIATION...
/0Z TAF/... RAIN WILL CONT ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE AREA TONIGHT
INTO WEDNESDAY. HOWEVER... CHANCES TOO LOW FOR MENTION IN TAFS FOR
WED MORNING. THE RAIN MAY ALSO MIX WITH SLEET AND/OR SNOW
TONIGHT... BUT THE LIKELIHOOD OF THIS OCCURRING WILL ALSO BE TOO
LOW SO DID NOT MENTION IN TAF.
PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 347 PM CST TUE DEC 1 2009/
DISCUSSION...
TWO FEATURES ARE WORTHY OF ATTENTION IN THE SHORT TERM.
FIRST... THE LOW PRESSURE CENTER ALOFT NOW MOVING OUT OF
SOUTHWEST TX HAS BEEN RESPONSIBLE FOR GENERATING WIDESPREAD LIGHT
RAIN ACROSS FAR SOUTHWEST OK AND WESTERN NORTH TX THIS AFTERNOON.
A FEW REPORTS OF ISOLATED LIGHT SLEET HAVE BEEN RECEIVED AS WELL.
AS THIS CLOSED LOW MOVES NORTHEAST OVERNIGHT...THE HIGHEST PRECIP
CHANCES WILL CONTINUE TO BE IN THE SOUTHERN PORTION OF THE CWA.
FORECAST SOUNDINGS SUGGEST A CHANCE FOR SOME LIGHT SLEET MIXED
WITH RAIN TONIGHT. RAPID MID LEVEL COOLING...BUT WITH A MARKED
LAYER OF ABOVE FREEZING AIR AT THE SURFACE...INDICATE A CHANCE FOR
A FEW SNOWFLAKES IN THE EARLY MORNING HOURS MAINLY ACROSS ROUGHLY
THE SOUTHWESTERN THIRD OF THE CWA.
SECOND...A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL MOVE INTO NORTHWEST OK VERY
EARLY TOMORROW MORNING...LIKELY CLEARING THE SOUTHEASTERN CORNER
OF THE CWA BY AROUND NOON. PRECIP CHANCES WILL QUICKLY DECREASE
BEHIND THE FRONT.
SREF GUIDANCE POINTS TO ANOTHER CHANCE FOR SNOW IN SOUTHERN AND
WESTERN PORTIONS OF THE CWA FROM THURSDAY NIGHT INTO FRIDAY AS A
SHORT WAVE TROUGH APPROACHES. ANY SNOW FROM THIS WEAK UPSLOPE FLOW
EVENT SHOULD BE LIGHT...BUT THIS BEARS WATCHING.
NO CHANGES WERE MADE TO THE FORECAST BEYOND FRIDAY.
TAYLOR
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
OKLAHOMA CITY OK 36 47 27 42 / 60 20 10 10
HOBART OK 34 46 25 44 / 60 20 10 10
WICHITA FALLS TX 35 49 30 47 / 70 20 10 10
GAGE OK 28 42 15 37 / 10 10 10 20
PONCA CITY OK 36 47 21 43 / 50 20 10 10
DURANT OK 40 49 30 46 / 80 40 10 10
&&
.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
&&
$$
02/25/25
