FXUS62 KTBW 011504
AFDTBW

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY RUSKIN FL
1004 AM EST TUE DEC 1 2009

.DISCUSSION...THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY IS IN PLACE ACROSS THE TAMPA
BAY AREA THIS MORNING WITH A DEVELOPING LOW PRESSURE AREA IN THE
WESTERN GULF WATERS. A FEW SPRINKLES MOVED OVER THE AREA THIS
MORNING AND COULD CONTINUE TO SEE SOME ISOLATED LIGHT RAIN ACROSS
THE AREA THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. HAVE EXPANDED THE 20 PERCENT
CHANCES ACROSS THE AREA AND WILL SEND THE UPDATE SHORTLY. NO OTHER
CHANGES PLANNED AS TEMPS ON TRACK TO REACH INTO THE LOWER-MID 70S
NORTH AND UPPER 70S-AROUND 80 CENTRAL AND SOUTH. 

EXPECT WEATHER TOMORROW TO START IN THE LATER AFTERNOON HOURS WITH
SOME STRONG GUSTY WINDS AND MAYBE AN ISOLATED TORNADO POSSIBLE.
SOME COASTAL FLOODING MAY ALSO BE POSSIBLE FROM TAMPA BAY NORTH
TOMORROW AS STRONG ONSHORE FLOW CAUSES 2-4 FOOT ABOVE MSL HEIGHTS.
WILL BE ADDING MANATEE COUNTY INTO THE WATCH AS WELL. THE COASTAL
FLOOD WATCH WILL REMAIN IN PLACE FOR WEDNESDAY THROUGH EARLY
THURSDAY.

&&

.AVIATION...BRIEF MVFR VISIBILITIES FROM PATCHY FOG MAY AFFECT THE
TERMINALS THROUGH 14Z THIS MORNING...OTHERWISE MAINLY VFR
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED. LIGHT AND VARIABLE SURFACE WINDS EARLY
THIS MORNING WILL BECOME SOUTHEAST AROUND 10 KNOTS BY LATE MORNING
AND CONTINUE THE WEDNESDAY.

&&

.MARINE...WINDS AND SEAS ARE LIGHT THIS MORNING WITH GENERALLY
E/NE FLOW AT 5 TO 10 KNOTS WITH SEAS AOB 2 FEET. WINDS AND SEAS
WILL BE INCREASING TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY TO ADVISORY LEVELS AHEAD
OF THE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM AND THEN BEHIND THE COLD FRONT. NO
MAJOR CHANGES PLANNED FOR THE UPDATE. 

&&

.TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...COASTAL FLOOD WATCH FROM WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH THURSDAY 
     MORNING FOR CITRUS-HERNANDO-HILLSBOROUGH-LEVY-PASCO-
     PINELLAS-MANATEE.

GULF WATERS...NONE.

&&

$$

SHORT TERM/MARINE/FIRE WEATHER...24/COLSON
LONG TERM/AVIATION...57/MCMICHAEL