FXUS62 KMLB 220239
AFDMLB

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
939 PM EST MON DEC 21 2009

.UPDATE DISCUSSION...
TEMPERATURES ARE NOT FALLING VERY QUICKLY THIS EVENING...AVERAGING
3-5 DEGREES WARMER THAN MOS. DEWPOINTS ALSO RUNNING A COUPLE
DEGREES ABOVE MOS. BUT WATER VAPOR IMAGERY AND IR SAT SHOW WESTERN
EDGE OF CIRRUS SHIELD ADVANCING PRETTY STEADILY EASTWARD ACROSS
THE EASTERN GULF OF MEXICO. EXPECT SIGNIFICANT THINNING OF THE
CIRRUS IN MANY AREAS TO ALLOW TEMPS TO DROP MORE QUICKLY OVERNIGHT
SO WILL NOT MAKE SIGNIFICANT CHANGES TO TEMPS. THINK FREEZING
TEMPS ARE UNLIKELY BUT PATCHY FROST IS A GOOD BET ESP IN WIND
PROTECTED AREAS AND WHERE SKIES CLEAR FOR A PROLONGED PERIOD.
BASED ON FCST UPPER DIV...IT IS POSSIBLE THAT A BAND OF CIRRUS
MAY LINGER ACROSS PARTS OF OUR NORTHERN SECTIONS AND CENTRAL
SECTIONS MAY BECOME MOSTLY CLEAR. ONLY MINOR TWEAKS MADE TO
GRAPHICAL FCST...NO UPDATE TO ZFP NEEDED. 

&&

.AVIATION...
VFR ALL SITES THRU 23/00Z. NW LAND BREEZES BECOME NE LATE MORNING
AS HIGH PRESSURE CENTERED OVER AL/N FL/GA SHIFTS INTO THE
ATLANTIC.

&&

.MARINE...
NO SIG CHANGES. NORTH WINDS 10 TO 15 KNOTS WILL SHIFT TO THE NE
AROUND 10 KNOTS TUE. THE GRADIENT MAY TIGHTEN ENOUGH IN THE SOUTH
TO REACH 10-15 KNOTS IN THE AFTN. THIS COULD PRODUCE SEAS UP TO 5
FT IN THE GULF STREAM. NO HEADLINES ANTICIPATED.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DAB  36  65  47  73 /   0   0  10  10 
MCO  38  64  47  74 /   0   0  10  10 
MLB  43  66  52  73 /   0   0  10  10 
VRB  45  68  53  75 /   0  10  10  10 
LEE  36  64  45  73 /   0   0  10  10 
SFB  36  65  47  75 /   0   0  10  10 
ORL  40  66  49  74 /   0   0  10  10 
FPR  46  68  54  75 /   0  10  10  10 

&&

.MLB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...NONE.
AM...NONE.

&&

$$

SHORT TERM...KELLY
AVIATION...WIMMER