FXUS64 KLZK 100532
AFDLZK
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
1132 PM CST WED DEC 9 2009
.AVIATION...
VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE TAF PERIOD. WINDS WILL BE
MAINLY NORTHWEST/NORTH AT LESS THAN 7 KNOTS...WITH DECREASING CLOUD
COVER AS COLD HIGH PRESSURE MOVES FURTHER INTO THE REGION. (57)
&&
.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 940 PM CST WED DEC 9 2009/
UPDATE...
CLOUDS STILL LINGERING OVER THE SOUTHEASTERN PORTION OF THE STATE
ARE KEEPING TEMPS UP A BIT...WITH TEMPS ALREADY FALLING INTO THE
MID TEENS ACROSS THE NORTH AND NORTHWEST. FRESHENED UP THE SKY
GRIDS AND INITIALIZED TEMPS/DEW PT...WITH BULK OF FORECAST ON
TRACK. NO NEED FOR MAJOR CHANGES AT THIS TIME.
PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 235 PM CST WED DEC 9 2009/
SHORT TERM...TONIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT
HIGH PRESSURE CONTINUES TO WORK INTO ARKANSAS THIS AFTERNOON. WINDS
CONTINUE TO DECREASE AND THE LAKE WIND ADVISORY WILL EXPIRE AT 22Z.
LOW CLOUDS HAVE DIMINISHED IN THE NORTH THIS AFTERNOON AND NOW
CIRRUS ARE MOVING ACROSS PARTS OF THE STATE. AS THE HIGH
STRENGTHENS...CLOUDS WILL DISSIPATE. CLEAR COLD NIGHT EXPECTED. LOWS
WILL BE IN THE TEENS TO 20S. HIGHS THURSDAY WILL BE IN THE LOWER 30S
NORTH TO THE MID 40S SOUTH.
DRY WEATHER IS EXPECTED FOR THURSDAY AND EARLY FRIDAY. GFS AND NAM
MODELS AGREE THE NEXT SYSTEM WILL BE FURTHER SOUTH...WHICH WILL
SKIRT ACROSS SOUTHERN ARKANSAS FRIDAY AFTERNOON AND SATURDAY. LIGHT
RAIN SHOWERS WILL AFFECT CENTRAL AND SOUTH SECTIONS FRIDAY AND
SATURDAY. A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL MOVE OUT OF THE GULF OF MEXICO
WITH INCREASED MOISTURE. ALL RAIN IS EXPECTED WITH THIS SYSTEM...AND
THE RAIN CHANCES WILL END SATURDAY AFTERNOON.
LONG TERM...SUNDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT
SRN STREAM WL CONT TO BRING UNSETTLED WX TO LOCATIONS MAINLY S OF AR
THRU THE EARLY PART OF THE PD. A WEAK SYS WL BRING NEXT RAIN CHC TO
THE AREA MON AND MON NGT...WITH BEST CHCS OVR SERN AR MON NGT. HIGH
PRES WL BLD INTO THE MID SOUTH THRU THE REST OF THE PD. MODELS HAVE
TRENDED WARMER WITH TEMPS AND NOT BRINGING ANOTHER SHOT OF ARCTIC
AIR SWD INTO THE REGION UNTIL LATER NEXT WEEK.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
BATESVILLE AR 17 38 21 43 / 0 0 10 10
CAMDEN AR 21 45 28 48 / 0 0 10 20
HARRISON AR 13 32 18 42 / 0 0 10 10
HOT SPRINGS AR 20 43 26 46 / 0 0 10 10
LITTLE ROCK AR 20 42 25 46 / 0 0 10 10
MONTICELLO AR 23 45 28 48 / 0 0 10 20
MOUNT IDA AR 19 42 26 46 / 0 0 10 10
MOUNTAIN HOME AR 14 32 18 42 / 0 0 10 10
NEWPORT AR 18 40 22 43 / 0 0 10 10
PINE BLUFF AR 21 44 27 47 / 0 0 10 20
RUSSELLVILLE AR 17 39 23 44 / 0 0 10 10
SEARCY AR 19 41 24 45 / 0 0 10 10
STUTTGART AR 20 43 25 46 / 0 0 10 10
&&
.LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.
&&
$$
AVIATION...60
